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AI & MACHINE LEARNING
IN ECOMMERCE
Andraž Štalec
25 % increase in retail e-commerce sales in 2017
RECORD NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS & REVENUE
Statista 2018
WHY IS THIS HAPPENING?
Need to understand the bigger picture
THE TIDE IS SHIFTING

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This document introduces artificial intelligence, discussing what AI is, how it differs from traditional machines through cognitive thinking and dynamic analysis of situations, and some key advantages like reducing human error and enabling constant work. It also outlines business applications of AI like virtual assistants, chatbots, and tools for HR, logistics, and e-commerce. While noting future potential, it acknowledges concerns about the impact on jobs, security risks from hacking, and unpredictability.

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Media consumption vs spend 2016
eMarketer 4/16 & IAB 2016
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
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Time Spent Ad Spend
3 things that will redefine your digital focus
BUDGETS WILL
SHIFT TO
ONLINE
BUILD
AWARENESS
AND INTENT
ONLINE
DELIVER BETTER
ROI
TO SUSTAIN THESE SHIFTS COMPANIES WILL RELY ON
DATA TO GROW AND OPTIMIZE THEIR BUSINESSES
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Artificial intelligence is transforming supply chain management by optimizing business processes and establishing agile supply chains. AI can help with inventory control and planning by accessing real-time information on customer demands and inventory levels. It can also help with transportation network design challenges like routing and scheduling through techniques like genetic algorithms and ant colony optimization. Expert systems allow purchasing managers to evaluate suppliers and make more informed make-or-buy decisions. Overall, integrating AI offers competitive advantages through predictive analytics and more efficient supply chain management.

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This document discusses artificial intelligence (AI) in marketing. It begins with introductions to AI and marketing. It then outlines the AI implementation process in marketing, including using customer data and machine learning to predict customer actions and segment audiences. The document discusses why AI marketing is important for understanding customers, forecasting sales, and creating personalized experiences. It provides examples of how to use AI for various marketing tasks like content generation, dynamic pricing, and chatbots. It also covers the types of AI applications, key features, and benefits, such as improving customer engagement and working faster. In conclusion, the document argues that AI is a powerful marketing tool that can help create personalized customer experiences and experiences continued marketing success.

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TRADITIONAL RETAIL VS ECOMMERCE
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much higher than online
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population is slowing down
Number of users
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are entering the market
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one-time customers are not
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CPA
GM CPA <= GM
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decreasing.
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GM
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sum of all costs connected to the customer
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GM
GM
GM
MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC
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CLC
CLVP = (P × AOV) × AGM) × ALT
The tricky part is calculating your CLV

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03
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2 31 4 5 6 7
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score
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2
3
1
High value
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2 main usecases of AI
Insights
Use AI to deliver better and deeper
actionable insights for your business.
User experience
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users, automate processes and scale
the business.
Customer clusters
segmented by purchase
behavior, CES & LTV Size of clusters
How are your customers
segmented?
Roadmap to ML in Ecommerce
Prevent churn
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based on deviation
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SaaS Ecomm metrics
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Anomaly
Detection
Customer
Support
Product
Recommend
ation
Personalizati
on
SearchDynamic
Pricing
06 01
02
0304
05
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BARS ARE RISING
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Webtrekk´s presentation at the Marketing Insights & Big Data event 2014, Utrecht. Be prepared, focus and look for small changes that drive big bucks. E.g. measuring impact TV commercials on online revenue. For more info please contact Fred Pellenaars, Country manager Benelux fred.pellenaars@webtrekk.com +31 6 347 11 500

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According to Gartner, each year businesses see 1/5th of their marketing budgets go to waste due to inaccurate data and reporting that leads to ineffective marketing decisions and under-performing campaigns. In this presentation, we will guide you through a proven and efficient process that standardizes the tracking and measurement of marketing campaigns. By eliminating siloes, boosting productivity, and addressing existing and future data accuracy challenges, this approach ensures reliable insights that drive informed decisions and deliver higher marketing return on investment (ROI).

GOOD ENOUGH IS JUST NOT GOOD ENOUGH!
2 areas that we need to focus on for growth in 2018 and beyond
EXCEPTIONAL
LIFETIME
EXPERIENCE
BETTER
PERFORMANCE
AND ROI
Thank you
01 02 03 04
Email
andraz@red-orbit.com
Twitter
@andrazstalec
LinkedIn
Andraz Stalec
Web
www.red-orbit.com
Red Orbit, Jožeta Jame 12,1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
W: www.red-orbit.com |E: info@red-orbit.com | T: +386 (0)590 75 680

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BRIGADA ESKWELA OPENING PROGRAM KICK OFF.pptx
 

Machine Learning & AI in e-commerce

  • 1. AI & MACHINE LEARNING IN ECOMMERCE Andraž Štalec
  • 2. 25 % increase in retail e-commerce sales in 2017 RECORD NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS & REVENUE Statista 2018
  • 3. WHY IS THIS HAPPENING?
  • 4. Need to understand the bigger picture THE TIDE IS SHIFTING
  • 5. Media consumption vs spend 2016 eMarketer 4/16 & IAB 2016 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Print Radio TV Desktop internet Mobile internet Time Spent Ad Spend
  • 6. 3 things that will redefine your digital focus BUDGETS WILL SHIFT TO ONLINE BUILD AWARENESS AND INTENT ONLINE DELIVER BETTER ROI
  • 7. TO SUSTAIN THESE SHIFTS COMPANIES WILL RELY ON DATA TO GROW AND OPTIMIZE THEIR BUSINESSES
  • 8. ENTERING THE 3RD PHASE OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
  • 10. HUGE ADVANCEMENTS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
  • 12. AI AS A UTILITY Brains not distracted as humans are
  • 16. AI is not a plug-in Enhance Scale Automate Build processes manually
  • 17. 4 pillars of AI future Data Technology Process People
  • 18. 4 pillars of AI future Data Technology Process People
  • 19. The problem of No Data vs the problem of Big Data TRADITIONAL RETAIL VS ECOMMERCE
  • 20. Entry barriers offline are much higher than online Entry barriers Number of competitors Number of competitors is rapidly increasing Growth of online user population is slowing down Number of users Returning customers Number of returning customers is in decline as new competitors are entering the market Cost of advertising is rising and one-time customers are not profitable anymore One-time customers Main difference between offline and online retail
  • 21. One-time customer revenue stream CPA GM CPA <= GM The only way your business could be profitable is achieving CPA much lower then your Gross Margin.
  • 22. One-time customer revenue stream CPA GM CPA > GM Due to increased competition CPCs are increasing and CRs are decreasing.
  • 23. Shift to retention model CAC GM CLV <= CLC Sum of GM from all customer transactions should be higher then sum of all costs connected to the customer GM GM GM GM GM MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC MRC CLV CLC
  • 24. CLVP = (P × AOV) × AGM) × ALT The tricky part is calculating your CLV
  • 25. The SaaS Ecommerce Funnel Acquire Activate Retain Grow Referrals 2nd purchase1st purchase
  • 26. How do you measure churn in ecommerce? Customer aquisition Retention Customer churns
  • 27. Retention for other ecommerce sites 3 months 6 months
  • 28. The SaaS Ecommerce Funnel Acquire Activate Retain Grow Referrals 1st purchase 2nd purchase Customer Engagement Score
  • 29. Customer Engagement Score 01 02 03 043% 35% 10% 50% 05 10% Days since last session Sessions with product views Interest-based browsing Adds to cart Email engagement rate
  • 30. Active vs. churned customers
  • 31. Active vs. churned customers active churned
  • 32. WITH NEW FOCUS NEW KPIs ARISE
  • 33. Top Ecommerce metrics 2 31 4 5 6 7 CLV CAC Customer profitability score Repeat rate Retention rate AOV CES
  • 35. Gather and prepare the data Transactional data from client‘s ERP 3rd party data for enrichment Behavioral and demographic data from Google Analytics
  • 39. Ecommerce segmentation K-means clustering based on RFV Create distribution for new features like ALT Add them to clusters to create more acurate segments Clustering: 2 3 1 High value High Frequency Grey zone Home run Grey zoneDead zone
  • 40. WHY THE HELL ALL THIS TALK ABOUT DATA?
  • 41. 2 main usecases of AI Insights Use AI to deliver better and deeper actionable insights for your business. User experience Use AI to deliver better experience to users, automate processes and scale the business.
  • 42. Customer clusters segmented by purchase behavior, CES & LTV Size of clusters How are your customers segmented? Roadmap to ML in Ecommerce Prevent churn and re-engage users based on deviation in their behavior Predict LTV of newly acquired users and bid accordingly Customer transitions Between clusters SaaS Ecomm metrics like churn, retention, ALT, CES
  • 44. BARS ARE RISING Product quality + Customer support + Transparency
  • 45. GOOD ENOUGH IS JUST NOT GOOD ENOUGH!
  • 46. 2 areas that we need to focus on for growth in 2018 and beyond EXCEPTIONAL LIFETIME EXPERIENCE BETTER PERFORMANCE AND ROI
  • 47. Thank you 01 02 03 04 Email andraz@red-orbit.com Twitter @andrazstalec LinkedIn Andraz Stalec Web www.red-orbit.com Red Orbit, Jožeta Jame 12,1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia W: www.red-orbit.com |E: info@red-orbit.com | T: +386 (0)590 75 680

Editor's Notes

  1. We live in a tremendous time … yet, retailers find it harder to sustain growth & profitability Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/379046/worldwide-retail-e-commerce-sales/
  2. Our world is becoming fully digitalized Consumers are moving from offline to online
  3. Entering the 3rd phase of digital tranfsormation: 1st = making information accessible 2nd = mobile & social media + how they connect people https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=31&v=shDMy232MAA
  4. 3rd = world of AI Leading companies moving from mobile first to AI first strategy
  5. Road to AI ni implementacija AI toolov ampak postaviti sistem (procese) na roke (manual) in jih potem avtomatizirati in izboljšati z AIjem; tako kot postavljaš GH in potem avtomatiziraš
  6. Enter the AI era: There are 4 pillars of AI future
  7. With explosion of data, online advertising and ecommerce are becoming increasingly measureable and actionable. eCommerce, like traditional retail involves taking in a lot of data and trying to make the best decisions based on the data that you have. In a retail store data is relatively limited, you might know how many customers come in the store each day (or at least be able to estimate it), but it’s hard to keep track of how many customers try things on, how long the average customer stays in a store, or how many items they look at during each visit. Online, it‘s much easier to track customer metrics because the data is easily accessible. You can tell exactly how long the average person spends on your site, which items they look at, what they add to their cart, and what they end up buying in the end. Unlike brick-and-mortar retail where the complexity comes in when you’re trying to collect data, online the complexity is making sense of all the data this is coming in.
  8. Need to shift to retention model, where customer profitability is a key metric CLV = SUM of all GMs CLC = CAC + MRC CAC MRC = cost of running business – servers, licences, client retention, staff One key component is keeping MRC as low as possible -> renention should not depend on advertising
  9. P = average monthly purchases AOV =  Average Order Value AGM = Average Gross Margin ALT = Average LifeTime in months
  10. Steep function
  11. Create clusters using RFV or AOV and Freq Add ALT so you get segmnets based on LTV
  12. https://techblog.commercetools.com/top-5-machine-learning-applications-for-e-commerce-268eb1c89607
  13. Section titles.