Questions tagged [expected-value]
The expected value of a random variable is a weighted average of all possible values a random variable can take on, with the weights equal to the probability of taking on that value.
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analytical asymptotic approximation of the expected maximum, mean, and minimum distance of nearest neighbours in unit ball
Say I uniformly at random distribute $x = n^3$ (independent identically distributed) points in a ball of radius $r=1$ in $\mathbb{R}^3$.
What can be said about the expected maximum, minimum, and mean ...
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how can predictive distributions be considered as expectations?
I guess that the prior and posterior predictive distributions can be considered expectation of $p(y|\theta )$ (in case of prior predictive distribution) and $p(\widetilde{y}|\theta )$ (in case of ...
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Expectation of binomial random variable
Having trouble understanding something I read in a paper recently.
Say we have $X \sim \operatorname{Binomial}(N,p).$ The paper states:
$$E[X \mid N,p] = Np$$ (so far so good)
and
$$E[X] = \mu p$$
...
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I don't think this is conditional dependence, so what is it?
I am looking for the name of the following phenomenon. There are three random variables, $X,Y,Z$. We have $P(X,Y) \neq P(X)P(Y)$ and $P(Y,Z) \neq P(Y)P(Z)$. In other words, $X$ and $Y$ are dependent, ...
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I would like some insight into what I have been working on here
I work in roofing sales which involves door-knocking at the entry level. Our daily numbers are printed in our GroupMe chat for our branch. I took it upon myself to do some analysis on those numbers. ...
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Expectation under convex order by multiplying
I am trying to understand if the following statement is true, or the conditions under it is satisfied. Let $M,N$ and $X>0$ be random variables. If the following inequality holds for any concave non-...
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Computing a Confidence Interval for E[X] when PMF is given
I am given a Probability Mass Function for a discrete random variable.
From the PMF I computed the Expected Value $E[X]$, the Variance $V[X]$ and the Standard Deviation $S[X]$.
Here is an example (the ...
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Expected Value Chi Square distribution
I'm trying to simulate the distribution from the sample variance $s^2$ and compare it with the theoretical distribution.
Therefore, I perform a fairly simple simulation (upfront, I'm not a ...
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Expectation under convex order
I am trying to understand if the following statement is true. Let $M,N$ and $X$ be random variables. If the following inequality holds for any concave non-decreasing function $u$
\begin{equation}
\...
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Distribution of outcomes of multiple binomial distributions
I have a sample of 50 subjects, where every subject completes a task with two possible outcomes (left or right hand use, with 50% probability) 30 times. On an individual level, this leads to a ...
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Expected value of a decreasing function of two random variables
My question is exactly equal to the question posted at Expected value of decreasing function of random variable versus expected value of random variable with just one extra assumption: the two random ...
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Bayesian Fubini Tonelli
I am working on a bayesian framework where I place a Gaussian Process on my function $f\sim GP$ and have data $D^n=\{(X_i,Z_i,W_i)\}^n$.
I then have the posterior measure $\mu(f|D^n)$. The posterior ...
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Validating binary prediction model
Suppose we have a model that predicts for binary event $e$ ($0$ or $1$) with a single output $p$ (the expected probability $e$ occurs).
If we are able to compare $p$ with the true value of $e$ ($0$ or ...
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Deriving home vs away goals - using total expected goals and home/draw/away probabilities
In the context of a football ("soccer") match, if I have the following for a single game:
Probability of Team A winning
Probability of Team B winning
Probability of a draw
The total goals ...
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$E[(X+Y)^{a}] > E[(X)^{a}]$?
Assume I have two strictly positive i.i.d. random variables, $X$ and $Y$. Under what conditions is the following inequality true?
$$E[(X+Y)^{a}] > E[(X)^{a}], \hspace{2mm} a \in (0,1)$$
Should have ...
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