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Jo-fai Chow, H2O.ai
From Rapid Prototypes to an
End-to-End Model Deployment
An AI Hedge Fund Use Case
London Artificial Intelligence and Deep Learning Meetup
September 23 | 5:30 PM BST
+
Confidential2
Agenda
• About Us
– H2O.ai, team, community
• Numerai
– AI hedge fund, tournament, community
• H2O Driverless AI
– Why it is useful for the Numerai tournament
• Workflow Automation
– Simple end-to-end workflow
– My real-world example
• Learning Resources
• What’s Next?
• Q & A
Confidential3
Goals • For you
– An overview of Numerai
– Key features in H2O Driverless AI for
machine learning
– A simple end-to-end example
– An overview of my real-world workflow
– Knowing how to get started with Numerai
and Driverless AI
• For me
– Getting more people to give Numerai and
H2O Driverless AI a try
About Us

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5
Founded in Silicon Valley 2012
Funding: $147M | Series D
Investors: Goldman Sachs, Ping An,
Wells Fargo, NVIDIA, Nexus Ventures
We are Established
We Make World-class AI Technology
We are Global
H2O Open Source Machine Learning at Scale
H2O Driverless AI: Automatic Machine Learning
H2O Q: AI platform for business users
Mountain View, NYC, London, Paris, Ottawa,
Prague, Chennai, Singapore
240 1K
20K 180K
Universities
Companies Using
H2O Open Source
Meetup Members
Best AI Team
H2O.ai Snapshot
We are Passionate about Customers
4X customers, 2 years, all industries, all continents
Aetna/CVS, Allergan, AT&T, Capital One, CBA, Citi,
Coca Cola, Bradesco, Disney, Franklin Templeton,
Genentech, Kaiser Permanente, Lego, Merck, Pepsi,
Reckitt Benckiser, Roche
66
Our Team is Made up of the World’s Leading Data Scientists
Your projects are backed by 10% of the World’s Data Science
Grandmasters and a Team of Experts who are relentless in solving your
critical problems.
7
• Automatic feature engineering, ML training
and interpretability, from ingest to
deployment
• Open and Extensible AutoML
• User licenses on a per seat basis annually
• GUI-based interface, along with R & Python
API, for end-to-end data science
• A new and innovated platform to make
your own AI apps
• Rapid & Easy SDK to build interactive, low
latency AI apps
• Easy and intuitive platform to have AI
answer your question
The H2O.ai Platform
In-memory, distributed
machine learning algorithms with
H2O Flow GUI
Open Source
H2O open source engine
integration with Spark
H2O Driverless AI H2O Q
• 100% open source – Apache V2 Licensed
• Enterprise support subscriptions
• Interface using R, Python on H2O Flow
H2O ModelOps
• AI deployment platform built for DevOps and MLOps
• Scalable to support high throughput and low latency
model scoring environments
• Comprehensive model monitoring
Highly flexible and scalable
model deployment and
monitoring platform.
App Marketplace
8
H2O.ai
is Empowering
Companies to
Be AI Companies
222 Fortune 500
use H2O
Open Source
8 Of top 10
Banks
7
4
Of top 10
Insurance
companies
Of top 10
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From SOTA in Kaggle to
enterprise-ready platforms.
Our mission is to
democratise AI for everyone.
State-of-the-Art
Confidential10
Studied Civil Engineering and Water Management
Taught myself open-source R/Python in 2013
Discovered H2O in 2014
Joined H2O in 2016
Background
Roles
Data Scientist / Sales Engineer /
Community Manager / Customer Success Manager
Current: Senior Data Science Evangelist
1st 40+
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and Asia
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Confidential11
Studied Civil Engineering and Water Management
Taught myself open-source R/Python in 2013
Discovered H2O in 2014
Joined H2O in 2016
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Roles
Data Scientist / Sales Engineer /
Community Manager / Customer Success Manager
Current: Senior Data Science Evangelist
1st 40+
100+ 11K
Cities in Europe, US,
and Asia
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Workshops
London Meetup
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About Numerai
https://medium.com/numerai/numerais-master-plan-1a00f133dba9
https://medium.com/numerai/invisible-super-intelligence-for-the-stock-market-3c64b57b244c
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https://docs.numer.ai/tournament/learn
https://medium.com/numerai/encrypted-data-for-efficient-markets-fffbe9743ba8
Note: data is obfuscated
Numerai turns the predictions from
participants into real-world decisions for
the hedge fund (buying/selling stocks)

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https://numer.ai/tournament
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NOW WHAT?
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Confidential31
Six
Simple
Steps
1. Download data from Numerai
2. Upload training and test datasets to a
Driverless AI instance
a. Test-drive Driverless AI at aquarium.h2o.ai
(free!)
3. Create a new regression experiment
a. Use a custom metric (Spearman’s rank
correlation)
b. Exclude “id”, “era” & “data_type”
4. Automatic machine learning
a. Feature transformation and selection
b. Hyperparameters tuning + ensembles
c. Model documentation
5. Use the final model to make predictions
6. Submit predictions to Numerai
Confidential32
Step 1 - Download Data from Numerai
Download
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https://numer.ai/tournament
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Step 2 - Upload Data - Drag and Drop Datasets
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Step 3 - Using a Custom Metric
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https://github.com/woobe/numerati/blob/master/custom_scorer/spearman_correlation.py
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Tournament
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Step 4 - Automatic Machine Learning
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Step 4 - Automatic Machine Learning
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Bringing Partners, Teams & Systems Together through APIsBringing Partners, Teams & Systems Together through APIs
Bringing Partners, Teams & Systems Together through APIs

Presentation from the technology track at I Love APIs London 2016 featuring Oliver Ogg, Marks & Spencer and Andrew Braithwaite, Laterooms.com. APIs are the modern day version of the Rosetta stone. Learn how to provide standardisation and uniformity for partners and internal teams that want to build their own apps but need to access various IT systems and apps that each speak their own dialects. This session includes case studies from Laterooms and Marks and Spencer and will cover how they help external teams build APIs, and evangelise an API economy organisation.

apisapi management#iloveapis2016-london
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Step 4 - Automatic Machine Learning
Training final models with a lower learning rate in
order to achieve better generalisation. That’s why
there are more bars (i.e. longer training time) when
compared to the models for feature evolution.
final models
models for feature evolution
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Step 4 - Automatic Machine Learning
Improved performance due to careful
training of final models and ensemble
DAI tested 2780 features on
100+ models. It found that only
154 features are needed for the
best performance (SpearmanR).
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Step 5 - Making Predictions
Using the final model from the
experiment to score the test dataset.
Include “id” column in the output
(common requirement for data
science competitions like Kaggle and
Numerai)
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Step 6 - Upload Predictions to Numerai
One more manual step - changing the column name
Upload the CSV to Numerai.
DONE!

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Deep-Dive: How Can APIs Help You Innovate? (Partner Ecosystems)

The document discusses how APIs can help organizations innovate by building ecosystems. It outlines how early integration approaches required point-to-point connections but APIs now allow maximum reuse and open the door to more partners. The document presents examples of how Phillips Hue, Swisscom, and The World Bank used Apigee Edge to build successful digital ecosystems and external developer programs through their API strategies. It emphasizes that ecosystems require frictionless experiences for developers and visibility into the digital value chain.

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Platform approach to scaling machine learning across the enterprise
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We will walk through how we are scaling and democratizing the development of intelligent products based on AI with a platform approach. From the culture needed to shape this mindset, to execution which resulted into reducing the time it takes to productionize machine learning by 50%. We will discuss how we leveraged product mindset, coupled with data, to enable data scientists to be 50% more productive, while scaling the knowledge across our internal builder community.

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MuleSoft Meetup - 7.pptx
MuleSoft Meetup - 7.pptxMuleSoft Meetup - 7.pptx
MuleSoft Meetup - 7.pptx

The document outlines an agenda for the Manchester MuleSoft Meetup Group meeting. The agenda includes introductions of organizers, sponsors, and a new attendee poll. It then covers two main topics: API Specification Automation via Platform APIs and 7 Steps to Achieving Effective API Insights. Each topic includes a presentation and Q&A section. The document provides details on the speakers and their backgrounds. It concludes with announcements about Anypoint Studio and Anypoint Flex Gateway updates.

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(Optional) Model Documentation
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(Optional) Model Documentation
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(Optional) Model Documentation
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(Optional) Model Documentation

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This document provides an overview of a MuleSoft meetup on API-led connectivity. It includes introductions of the organizers and agenda. The agenda discusses designing RESTful reusable APIs, how API-led fits into architecture, and an example use case. It also covers when system APIs may be useful, such as to address security issues, improve error handling, reduce complexity, and improve third party APIs. The document emphasizes that core or business APIs are the essential layer and other layers like system or process APIs are optimizations that need only be built if necessary.

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The document discusses 7 steps to achieving effective API insights: 1. Identify the problem of ensuring API metrics evolve in a "virtuous" rather than "vicious" way. 2. Select meaningful metrics that are understandable, measurable, and can drive tangible outcomes. 3. Align metrics to business outcomes and objectives to ensure long-term API value. 4. Apply metrics in practice by connecting them to business goals, establishing a frequency, tracking trends over time, and avoiding "vanity" measures. 5. Instrument metrics and visualize them on a single dashboard using tools like Anypoint Monitoring and the Elastic Stack to provide insights. 6. Measure outcomes around people, processes, the application platform,

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Building a Digital Products Portfolio for Real Business Results
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Building a Digital Products Portfolio for Real Business Results

Today's enterprise strives to deliver exceptional customer experience, business process efficiency, and customer profitability. Given an enterprise's existing set of products, how do you define a portfolio of digital products to drive innovation and deliver real business results? How does business strategy shape a digital products portfolio? What technical and organizational processes & structures are common among successful digital products? Join Michael Leppitsch and Dan Tortorici for a discussion of what a digital products portfolio looks like, how a portfolio is shaped by your business strategy and by your consumer, and how a robust digital products portfolio leads to customer adoption, satisfaction, and profitability. Join to discuss: - Digital products and how they shape customer experience and behavior - Influences that inform and shape successful digital product portfolios - Common traits and patterns in successful digital products

product portfoliodigital assetsapi management
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The Goal

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This document provides an overview of H2O.ai, an AI company that offers products and services to democratize AI. It mentions that H2O products are backed by 10% of the world's top data scientists from Kaggle and that H2O has customers in 7 of the top 10 banks, 4 of the top 10 insurance companies, and top manufacturing companies. It also provides details on H2O's founders, funding, customers, products, and vision to make AI accessible to more organizations.

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Confidential53
Training
1. Download data from Numerai
2. Data munging (R + data.table)
3. Upload data to Driverless AI
4. Try different modelling strategies
5. Save artifacts (scoring pipelines, report)
6. Run constrained optimisation
a. Different strategies: Sharpe, Sortino, feature
exposure, drawdown …
b. Maximum ten models (strategies) allowed
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Python and R Client for Driverless AI
https://docs.h2o.ai/driverless-ai/latest-
stable/docs/userguide/index.html
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Download Artifacts from Each Experiment
Scoring pipeline
(Ready to be used in production)
Out-of-fold Predictions
Out-of-sample Predictions
Model Documentation
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Constrained Optimisation for Different Strategies
(Same Base Models with Different Weights)
This is actually one of the most interesting parts (in my opinion). I will write a blog post about it.
Higher Average Rank Correlation
Lower Sharpe Ratio (i.e. more volatile)
Lower Average Rank Correlation
Higher Sharpe Ratio (i.e. more stable)

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The document discusses LLMOps (Large Language Model Operations) compared to traditional MLOps. Some key points: - LLMOps and MLOps face similar challenges across the development lifecycle, but LLMOps requires more GPU resources and integration is faster due to more models in each application. Evaluation is also less clear. - The LLMOps field is around the 5th generation of models, with debates around proprietary vs open source models, and balancing privacy, cost and control. - LLMOps platforms are emerging to provide solutions for tasks like prompting, embedding databases, evaluation, and governance, similar to how MLOps platforms have evolved.

Confidential57
Scoring 1. cronR (cron job scheduler)
2. Download latest data from Numerai
a. Every Sunday morning
3. Data munging
4. Score new data
5. Apply model weights from optimisation
6. Prepare and submit predictions
7. Send notification to my phone
Confidential58
Automated Workflow
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Monitoring 1. cronR (cron job scheduler)
2. Download latest daily scores
a. Tuesday to Saturday
3. Data munging
4. Render HTML -> Push to GitHub
a. Output: https://www.jofaichow.co.uk/numerati/
b. Code: https://github.com/woobe/numerati
5. Send notification to my phone
6. Compare different strategies
7. (Go back to the training step if needed)
Confidential60
Numerati Dashboard - Compare My Own Models
https://www.jofaichow.co.uk/numerati/

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Compare All the Models
Confidential62 Confidential62
Automate your workflow
Stake on your predictions
if you feel confident
Earn $NMR
if your predictions are good
Repeat
weekly
+
Quick Recap
Confidential64 Confidential64
If you think your model is
good, stake on it.
Make yourself accountable
for your model predictions.

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Confidential69 Confidential69
Automate your workflow
Stake on your predictions
if you feel confident
Earn $NMR
if your predictions are good
Repeat
weekly
+
Confidential70 Confidential70
Don’t risk money you
can’t afford to lose.
You can submit predictions
to Numerai without staking.
Learning Resources
Confidential72
Learning Resources
• Numerai
– tournament, doc, chat, forum, signals, twitter
– (Almost) Daily Discussion on Twitch https://www.twitch.tv/prof_jtaylor
– Numerai’s Master Plan (link)
– Meta Model Contribution (link)
– Build the World's Open Hedge Fund by Modeling the Stock Market by
Carlo Lepelaars (link)
– Evaluating Financial Machine Learning Models on Numerai by Suraj
Parmar (link)
• H2O Driverless AI
– Learning Center (https://training.h2o.ai/)
– AI & ML Courses (https://training.h2o.ai/ai-and-ml-foundations-courses)
– Driverless AI Tutorials (https://training.h2o.ai/driverlessai-tutorials)
– Test-drive for free (https://aquarium.h2o.ai/) (Try the simple workflow!)

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This document discusses using large language models (LLMs) for text classification tasks. It begins by describing how LLMs are commonly used for text generation and question answering. For classification, models are usually trained supervised on labeled data. The document then explores using LLMs for zero-shot classification without training, and techniques like fine-tuning LLMs on tasks to improve performance. It provides an example of fine-tuning an LLM on a financial sentiment dataset. The document concludes by describing H2O.ai's LLM Studio tool for fine-tuning and a few Kaggle competitions where LLMs achieved success in text classification.

LLM Interpretability
LLM Interpretability LLM Interpretability
LLM Interpretability

1) Generative AI (GenAI) enables the creation of novel content by learning patterns in unstructured data rather than labeling outputs like traditional AI. 2) Both traditional and generative AI models lack transparency and may contain biases, but generative models can additionally hallucinate or leak private information. 3) To interpret generative models, researchers evaluate accuracy globally by checking for hallucinations or undesirable content, and locally by confirming the quality of individual responses.

Never Reply to an Email Again
Never Reply to an Email AgainNever Reply to an Email Again
Never Reply to an Email Again

Luiz Pizzato, Executive Manager Artificial Intelligence, Commonwealth Bank H2O Open Source GenAI World SF 2023

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New Features in Driverless AI 1.9
https://www.h2o.ai/blog/exploring-the-next-frontier-of-automatic-machine-learning-with-h2o-driverless-ai/
Visit our Virtual Booth!
Confidential74
Q & A
Get your free H2O.ai Intro Pack now:
• Access to free and online courses on AI / ML
• A 21-day free trial license of Driverless AI
• Tailored content about your use-cases
• Invites to our upcoming virtual events
• A link to book a meeting directly with one of
our Customer Engagement Managers
Contact Eve-Anne Trehin
eve-anne.trehin@h2o.ai or visit our virtual booth

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