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Questions tagged [expected-value]

The expected value of a random variable is a weighted average of all possible values a random variable can take on, with the weights equal to the probability of taking on that value.

2 votes
0 answers
94 views

$E(XY)$ for a truncated bivariate normal

If $(X, Y)$ follows a bivariate Gaussian distribution with mean ${\bf \mu}$ and covariance ${\bf \Sigma}$ with truncation bounds $(a_x, b_x, a_y, b_y)$, can we compute $E(XY)$ in closed form? If not, ...
knrumsey's user avatar
  • 8,392
0 votes
0 answers
18 views

Expected average distance in greedy matching on a circle

Now we have several independent and identically distributed random variables following the uniform distribution on the interval [0, 1].They are denoted as $x_1, x_2, x_3, ..., x_m$ and $y_1, y_2, ..., ...
user11850847's user avatar
2 votes
3 answers
105 views

Scaling the conditioned random variable does not change conditional distribution, why?

Given two random variables $X$ and $Y$, I know intuitively that $$ \mathbb{E}[X\,|\,Y]=\mathbb{E}[X\,|\,cY], $$ where $c$ is some non-random constant. My intuition tells me that scaling the ...
Resu's user avatar
  • 229
0 votes
0 answers
41 views

Expectation of Mahalanobis Distance and its logarithm

Suppose: \begin{equation} X \sim \mathcal{N}(X, \mu, \Sigma_x) \text{ st. } \Sigma_x \sim \mathcal{IW}(\Sigma_x; \Psi, v) \end{equation} Where $\mathcal{IW}$ is the Inverse-Wishart distribution. This ...
Snowy Baboon's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
40 views

Describing guaranteed profit situations which are stronger than just 'superfair wager'

Context. I am tutoring a final year secondary school student in mathematics. To illustrate the principles of card-counting in a situation of sampling without replacement, I've decided to show her a ...
microhaus's user avatar
  • 2,550
10 votes
2 answers
1k views

Expected value of the square root of a lognormal variable

Let $X$ be a positive, lognormal random variable with known mean $\mu_X$ and variance $\sigma_X^2$. Since $X$ is a lognormal random variable, I know its pdf and moment-generating function (mgf). pdf: $...
LJ Beinhauer's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
20 views

Question on the proof step in the theorem 1 of the Gap statistic paper

From the Gap statistic paper, during the proof for the theorem 1, we can see the below equality (p. 422), $\begin{aligned} \operatorname{var}(X) & =\frac{1}{2} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \int_{-\...
kurtkim's user avatar
  • 303
0 votes
0 answers
42 views

When the expected value of the gradient of function is equal to the expected value of the function multiplied by the gradient itself?

I'm having doubts on the conditions of an equality. Considering $f(X,w): \mathbb{R}^n \xrightarrow{} \mathbb{R}^n$ a function of n-variate random variable $X$ with an unknown distribution $p(x)$ and $...
GM_'s user avatar
  • 1
1 vote
1 answer
17 views

Gambling in multiple rounds with a maximum permitted bankroll and favorable or unfavourable probabilities

This is based on a deleted question, with the premises clarified to my understanding. You are gambling in a casino with particular rules: Bets are paid off at even amounts, so if you win a round you ...
Henry's user avatar
  • 40.5k
1 vote
0 answers
26 views

Calculating Expectation using the Linearity of Expectation law and sum of indicator random variables

I'm attempting to complete the problem sets for the Stanford CS109 Statistics course from 2021 as I follow along with the lectures. I'm stuck on a particular problem in one of these problem sets. I ...
fragorl's user avatar
  • 111
2 votes
1 answer
60 views

Expectation and variance of bivariate skew normal distribution

I am fitting a bivariate skew normal distribution to a 2D data through the sn package in R. I get a $2 \times 1$ vector of ...
Kasthuri's user avatar
  • 163
0 votes
0 answers
21 views

Guessing the size of a set based on number of repeated random draws

I am trying to study a problem in algebraic number theory through a set of computational experiments. I have an enormous (say, of size $X$) family $\mathcal{F}$ of polynomials and I'm trying to ...
davidlowryduda's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
105 views

Mean Squared Error for point estimation

I am attempting to understand Mean Squared Error when evaluating point estimators for particular parameters of interest. The book we are reading for class states the following: The mean squared error (...
Harry Lofi's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
25 views

Interpretation of expected wealth in Kelly betting paper

This is a sub-question of another StackOverflow question. Kelly betting on horse races with uncertainty in probability estimates (Metel 2017) describes an "ECC" variant of the Kelly method ...
Reinderien's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
76 views

Using Law of iterated expectations, I want to calculate mean of Y, E(Y)

I obtain insights into calculating the conditional mean and variance of Y given X, denoted as E(Y|X) and Var(Y|X) respectively. Building upon this knowledge, I want to answer the follow-up question ...
firmo23's user avatar
  • 149

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