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0 answers
13 views

How to choose default uninformative prior in the R Package BAS

I'm conducting a Bayesian multilevel logistic regression based on the Rpackage BAS. I'm a beginner in Bayesian statistics. But in bas.glm, I don't understand and I don't know how to specify my prior. ...
KB02's user avatar
  • 1
1 vote
0 answers
27 views

how can predictive distributions be considered as expectations?

I guess that the prior and posterior predictive distributions can be considered expectation of $p(y|\theta )$ (in case of prior predictive distribution) and $p(\widetilde{y}|\theta )$ (in case of ...
Sherlock_Hound's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
26 views

How to obtain likelihood ($P(B/R)$ given the prior $P(R)$ and the posterior $P(R/B)$

I am working on a topic related to multiple-choice response. I would like to measure the efficiency of the information source (or a student’s information search) and I believe Bayesian statistics is ...
Francisco 's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
41 views

Does the example given correspond to a prior predictive check?

Could someone explain to me precisely what is meant by prior predictive check, in Bayesian inference? In some documents, one uses observed data (“in which we ...
Andrew's user avatar
  • 189
1 vote
1 answer
39 views

How to decide the parameters of a Gamma distribution for a Gamma-Poisson model?

In Bayesian inference, the Gamma-Poisson model uses usually a Gamma($\alpha$,$\beta$) prior on the $\lambda$ parameter of the Poisson distribution. Are there any rules for setting appropriate values ​​...
Andrew's user avatar
  • 189
0 votes
0 answers
17 views

Strange Variance Term for Normal Prior $w^2\sigma^2$

I've attached two screenshots, one with the question and one with the answer. It seems to me that the prior is wrong and it should include $w^2$ not $w^2\sigma^2$ I apologise for, including such a ...
CormJack's user avatar
  • 161
1 vote
1 answer
44 views

BIC with non-negligible priors

I want to do model selection based on the best-fit/MAP/marginal posterior I find from an MCMC and likelihood maximization. I have a likelihood $\mathcal{L}(X|\theta)$, some informative priors $\pi(\...
ojima's user avatar
  • 13
0 votes
1 answer
72 views

Avoid singular fits in mixed models in R with blme - checking layman's priors

While fitting linear mixed models, I would like to avoid zero random-effects (ranef(model)) and cluster-level SD estimates (...
Imsa's user avatar
  • 43
0 votes
0 answers
13 views

Turning a list of cost into categorical probability mass distribution

Background Given a noisy dataset $D$, I have to solve a classification problem where the possible anserwer is $i\in\{1,\dots,N\}$. So far I can get pretty decent result with an algorithm that, based ...
matteogost's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
19 views

How should uncertainties be treated when scaling data for optimisation

I have a large dataset for which I am using Bayesian statistics for parameter estimation and model selection (using MultiNest for more detail). This involves setting a prior over which the nested ...
shram's user avatar
  • 33
9 votes
2 answers
426 views

How is data generated when using an improper prior

Let $X$ be an $\mathcal{X}$ valued random variable. We are doing Bayesian statistics. Suppose that $\theta$ is a $\Theta$ valued random variable with known prior distribution $\Pi$ and that the ...
温泽海's user avatar
  • 456
0 votes
0 answers
23 views

Random sequence generator algorithm non informative piror distribution

I want to conduct a Bayesian statistical analysis of a sequence generation phenomenon. The sequences generated contain elements from a known alphabet. Working on that, I have tried to define the prior ...
Guilhem Nespoulous's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
32 views

How to interpret a noninformative joint prior?

I am currently working on a homework assignment and have the following question: $\theta_1$ and $\theta_2$ are parameters of interest and $y_1$ and $y_2$ are the likelihood functions which are $\text{...
ak_mng's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
0 answers
35 views

How to derive conditional destribution of MVN variable

I am working with following model specifications (Regression_ Modelle, Methoden und Anwendungen-Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg (2009), p. 147): $$Y \sim MVN(X\beta, \sigma^2I)$$ $$\beta|\sigma^2 \...
BlankerHans's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
66 views

Full conditional posteriors

so up to now I dealt with posteriors in the form of: $$p(\theta|x) \propto p(x|\theta) p(\theta)$$ No we started to model a linear regression with the bayesian approach: $$Y \sim MVN(X\beta, \sigma^2I)...
BlankerHans's user avatar

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