SlideShare a Scribd company logo
The power of
probabilistic thinking in
SEO
@bertiecharlton
Andrew Charlton
Managing Director of Crawl
SEOs are no better than
a coin toss at predicting
SEO performance.
@bertiecharlton
SEOs are also no better at predicting which of
two pages should rank for a keyword.
@bertiecharlton
PAGE 1?
PAGE 2?
https://moz.com/blog/can-you-guess-which-page-ranks-better
SEOs are also no better at predicting which of
two pages should rank for a keyword.
@bertiecharlton
PAGE 1?
https://moz.com/blog/can-you-guess-which-page-ranks-better
PAGE 2?
46%

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would allow me to best
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How often
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How long it
takes to tune
a piano.
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year a piano
tuner works.
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x =
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