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Successful Adoption of Machine
Learning
Rudradeb Mitra | http://www.linkedin.com/in/mitrar/
Brief Bio
• 2002: Published first research paper on AI in an International conference.
• 2003-2009: Worked in Germany, Belgium and Scotland at Research Labs,
Universities and Startups on AI/ML.
• 2010: Graduated from University of Cambridge, UK
• 2010-2017: Built 6 startups.
• 2017-: Writer. Product Mentor of Google Launchpad. Democratization and
Decentralization of building ML products.
What is Machine Learning?
• Learning: Algorithms that can find patterns in past data and predict future patterns.
• Three kinds of Learning: Supervised, Unsupervised and Reinforcement.
How to build successful Machine Learning products?

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Machine learning is the study of algorithms and statistical models that allow computer systems to perform tasks without being explicitly programmed. It builds mathematical models from sample data to make predictions or decisions. There are four main types of machine learning: supervised learning, unsupervised learning, semi-supervised learning, and reinforcement learning. Machine learning has various applications including web search, computational biology, finance, e-commerce, robotics, and social networks. Key elements of machine learning systems include representation, evaluation, and optimization techniques.

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- Machine learning is a field of study that gives computers the ability to learn without being explicitly programmed by using example data. It is a form of artificial intelligence. - There are three main types of machine learning: supervised learning where examples are labeled, unsupervised learning where unlabeled examples reveal inherent groupings of data, and reinforcement learning where an agent learns from trial and error using rewards. - Machine learning has many applications including web search, computational biology, finance, robotics, and social networks. It involves collecting and preparing data, developing models, and evaluating models to make predictions on new data.

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Step I
• Select the right problem to solve
How to select the right problem?
"Stop identifying cats and start creating value"
• Bayesian error (Lowest possible error) rate is >80%
• Bayesian error rate is <20%
@copyright: Rudradeb Mitra
Next steps
• Selecting the right approach (intuitive or abstract thinking)
• Collecting the data (adoption)
• Selecting the right algorithm
• Building the product (including training and testing the data).

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Machine learning involves using algorithms and large datasets to allow systems to learn from data and improve their performance. There are several types of machine learning including supervised learning for classification and prediction tasks using labeled examples, unsupervised learning like clustering to find hidden patterns in unlabeled data, and reinforcement learning where an agent learns from delayed rewards. Applications of machine learning span many domains like retail for customer segmentation, finance for credit scoring, medicine for diagnosis, and web mining for search engines. The field is growing rapidly due to increased data and computing power enabling complex models to be learned from data rather than being explicitly programmed.

Three class of problems
• Solving problems that were thought unsolvable
• Solving problems that were thought not a problem
• Improving upon existing systems (error rate >70%)
Problem 1: Improving upon an existing system
Case study: Better risk premiums for young drivers
• Young drivers have high premiums so insurance companies fight
it difficult to attract new customers.
The problem
In partnership with:

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Next steps
• Selecting the right approach: "If we can know how someone is driving then we can
calculate better risk"
• Collecting the data: How do we get users driving data?
• Selecting the right algorithm
• Building the product (including training and testing the data)
Collecting the data
Driver’s app
Record a trip Trip feedback
Goals & challenges Rewards
1. Provide incentives

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Automated machine learning uses algorithms to automate the machine learning workflow including data preprocessing, model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and evaluation to build an optimal machine learning model with little or no human involvement. It can save time by automating repetitive tasks and help identify the best performing models for various types of machine learning problems like classification, regression, and clustering. Automated machine learning tools provide an end-to-end experience to build, deploy, and manage machine learning models at scale with minimal coding or machine learning expertise required.

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2: Cannot force to adopt and let users be in control
vs
• How?
3. Educate your customers
4. Create a community
Results

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Machine learning is a subfield of artificial intelligence (AI) that focuses on the development of algorithms and statistical models that enable computer systems to learn and make predictions or decisions without being explicitly programmed. In essence, machine learning allows computers to automatically discover patterns, associations, and insights within data and use that knowledge to improve their performance on a task.

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Data but ...
• Do not know who is a good or a a bad driver as we do not have labeled data.
Unsupervised learning
Picture taken from: http://www.ai-junkie.com/ann/som/som1.html
Find patterns in data
Problem 2: Problems that were thought unsolvable
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cleaner sale process.
The problem
Successful adoption of Machine Learning
Next steps
• Selecting the right approach: "If we can know how remotely find rooftops of the
people and create a simulator"
• Collecting the data: "Use solar satellite images" (public data)
• Making the algorithm: "From solar images to calculating rooftop energy potential".
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But in reality...
In Germany and
most of Western world
In India
And google object detection does not work...
Plus the problem is slightly more complicated with
obstacles
Water tanks
Turbo
ventilator
Mumpty
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types of obstacles.
•Edges of the roof - We want to train a machine to learn
to identify the edges.
•Type of roof
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Supervised learning
What algorithm to use?
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Problem 3: Problems that were not a problem
Case study: Loans to people without bank account
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The problem

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Next steps
• Selecting the right approach: "How can we predict future behavior?"
• Collecting the data: "Why would users give data?" (because want to get loans)
• Making the algorithm
• Building the product (including training and testing the data)
Future behavior of income earnings
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• Family background
• Current address
• Current job and salary
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Summarizing it all
• Select the right problem.
• Select the right approach through intuitive thinking.
• Collect data via incentivizing users to share data, do not get data behind their
backs.
• Select the right algorithm(s).

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Key challenge in Machine Learning adoption
How do you get data and make users adopt?
Machine Learning is NOT rocket science
Adoption
How to collect data?
Abstract Thinking
Feel free to contact:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/mitrar/
mitra.rudradeb@gmail.com
Challenges are in
Algorithm
How to use deal with
incompleteness?
What data to collect?

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Successful adoption of Machine Learning

  • 1. Successful Adoption of Machine Learning Rudradeb Mitra | http://www.linkedin.com/in/mitrar/
  • 2. Brief Bio • 2002: Published first research paper on AI in an International conference. • 2003-2009: Worked in Germany, Belgium and Scotland at Research Labs, Universities and Startups on AI/ML. • 2010: Graduated from University of Cambridge, UK • 2010-2017: Built 6 startups. • 2017-: Writer. Product Mentor of Google Launchpad. Democratization and Decentralization of building ML products.
  • 3. What is Machine Learning? • Learning: Algorithms that can find patterns in past data and predict future patterns. • Three kinds of Learning: Supervised, Unsupervised and Reinforcement.
  • 4. How to build successful Machine Learning products?
  • 5. Step I • Select the right problem to solve
  • 6. How to select the right problem? "Stop identifying cats and start creating value" • Bayesian error (Lowest possible error) rate is >80% • Bayesian error rate is <20%
  • 8. Next steps • Selecting the right approach (intuitive or abstract thinking) • Collecting the data (adoption) • Selecting the right algorithm • Building the product (including training and testing the data).
  • 9. Three class of problems • Solving problems that were thought unsolvable • Solving problems that were thought not a problem • Improving upon existing systems (error rate >70%)
  • 10. Problem 1: Improving upon an existing system Case study: Better risk premiums for young drivers
  • 11. • Young drivers have high premiums so insurance companies fight it difficult to attract new customers. The problem
  • 13. Next steps • Selecting the right approach: "If we can know how someone is driving then we can calculate better risk" • Collecting the data: How do we get users driving data? • Selecting the right algorithm • Building the product (including training and testing the data)
  • 15. Driver’s app Record a trip Trip feedback
  • 16. Goals & challenges Rewards 1. Provide incentives
  • 17. 2: Cannot force to adopt and let users be in control vs
  • 18. • How? 3. Educate your customers
  • 19. 4. Create a community
  • 21. What Machine Learning Algorithm to use
  • 22. Data but ... • Do not know who is a good or a a bad driver as we do not have labeled data.
  • 23. Unsupervised learning Picture taken from: http://www.ai-junkie.com/ann/som/som1.html Find patterns in data
  • 24. Problem 2: Problems that were thought unsolvable Case study: Decentralized energy via Solar rooftop
  • 25. • Solar adoption is low as the sales process is like 1960s vacuum cleaner sale process. The problem
  • 27. Next steps • Selecting the right approach: "If we can know how remotely find rooftops of the people and create a simulator" • Collecting the data: "Use solar satellite images" (public data) • Making the algorithm: "From solar images to calculating rooftop energy potential". • Building the product (including training and testing the data)
  • 29. But in reality... In Germany and most of Western world In India
  • 30. And google object detection does not work...
  • 31. Plus the problem is slightly more complicated with obstacles Water tanks Turbo ventilator Mumpty
  • 32. •Type of obstacle in rooftop - We have identified 5-6 types of obstacles. •Edges of the roof - We want to train a machine to learn to identify the edges. •Type of roof Machine Learning to the rescue
  • 34. What algorithm to use? Open source code and community!
  • 35. Problem 3: Problems that were not a problem Case study: Loans to people without bank account
  • 36. • 70% of people in Vietnam don't have a bank account. The problem
  • 37. Next steps • Selecting the right approach: "How can we predict future behavior?" • Collecting the data: "Why would users give data?" (because want to get loans) • Making the algorithm • Building the product (including training and testing the data)
  • 38. Future behavior of income earnings • Education level • Family background • Current address • Current job and salary
  • 39. Unsupervised learning Picture taken from: http://www.ai-junkie.com/ann/som/som1.html Find patterns in data
  • 40. Summarizing it all • Select the right problem. • Select the right approach through intuitive thinking. • Collect data via incentivizing users to share data, do not get data behind their backs. • Select the right algorithm(s).
  • 41. Key challenge in Machine Learning adoption How do you get data and make users adopt?
  • 42. Machine Learning is NOT rocket science Adoption How to collect data? Abstract Thinking Feel free to contact: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mitrar/ mitra.rudradeb@gmail.com Challenges are in Algorithm How to use deal with incompleteness? What data to collect?