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28 votes
3 answers
4k views

Confidence Interval for variance given one observation

This is a problem from the "7th Kolmogorov Student Olympiad in Probability Theory": Given one observation $X$ from a $\operatorname{Normal}(\mu,\sigma^2)$ distribution with both parameters unknown, ...
Jonathan Christensen's user avatar
23 votes
1 answer
43k views

Why is chi square used when creating a confidence interval for the variance?

This is a very basic question. Why do we use a chi square distribution? What is the meaning of this distribution? Why is this the distribution used for creating a confidence interval for the variance? ...
nafrtiti's user avatar
  • 675
12 votes
2 answers
3k views

How can I pool bootstrapped p-values across multiply imputed data sets?

I am concerned with the problem that I would like to bootstrap the p-value for an estimate of $\theta$ from multiply imputed (MI) data, but that it is unclear to me how to combine the p-values across ...
tomka's user avatar
  • 6,624
10 votes
3 answers
715 views

How to get confidence interval for the population variance?

I have data that is reasonably assumed to be iid samples from some distribution. Our goal is to put a confidence interval on the population variance. Notationally, we have IID $X_i, i = 1, ..., n$ ...
travelingbones's user avatar
9 votes
4 answers
3k views

Would a $(1-\alpha)100\%$ confidence interval for the variance be narrower if we knew the mean a-priori?

Let's say we know the mean of a given distribution. Does this affect the interval estimate of the variance of a random variable (which is otherwise computed using the sample variance)? As in, can we ...
martianwars's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
932 views

Are group effects in a mixed effects model assumed to have been picked from a normal distribution?

Say we're interested in how student exam grades are affected by the number of hours that those students study. We sample students from several different schools. We run the following mixed effects ...
luciano's user avatar
  • 14.5k
8 votes
1 answer
483 views

Can I use a confidence interval of poisson mean for its variance

In a Poisson distribution the mean equals the variance. I would like to find a confidence interval of the variance. Is my reasoning below correct? Using the central limit theorem I construct a 95% ...
Hugh's user avatar
  • 4,079
7 votes
2 answers
2k views

Using bootstrap for glm coefficients variance estimation (in R)

I am fitting a GLM model (in R), and would like to get an estimation of the variability of the coefficients estimated by the model. If I understand it correctly the method to use in such a case is ...
Tal Galili's user avatar
  • 21.8k
6 votes
3 answers
5k views

95% confidence interval for a given data set

I have a data set $\mathcal{S}$, which is univariate. I would like to discover the data points which can be thought of as outliers of $\mathcal{S}$. I use $\bar{\mathcal{S}}+2*\sigma(\mathcal{S})$ ...
user3269's user avatar
  • 5,222
6 votes
2 answers
3k views

Putting a confidence interval on the mean of a very rare event

I'm simulating an extremely rare event (the detection of weighted photon packets in a highly absorbing material). For example, I may simulate the transmission of 1e9 photons and only detect 10 of them ...
gallamine's user avatar
  • 373
6 votes
1 answer
146 views

Error bars on log of big numbers

I am calculating a quantity of the following form: $\mu = \log( \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} e^{\phi(X_i)} )$ via MC. $X_i$ are iid and I can sample them. I want to give error bars\ confidence ...
Yair Daon's user avatar
  • 2,634
5 votes
2 answers
519 views

Understanding the role of the chi-squared distribution in the confidence interval for the variance

In my textbook they have this inequality: $$ \chi_{1-\frac{\alpha}{2}}^2 < \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma^2} < \chi_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}^2$$ which later becomes this statement: $$\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi_{\...
poli-sci's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

Variance of unbiased estimator for the shape parameter of Pareto distribution

I'm interested in getting the error bounds of the unbiased estimator of the shape parameter ($\alpha$) using maximum likelihood method of Pareto distribution. The unbiased estimator is known to be ...
Dovini Jayasinghe's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
45 views

In Regression Through the Origin, why do the CIs of the slope depend on datapoints with zero x value?

I'm working with a Regression Through the Origin model as described in this reference. The model is $Y_i = \beta X_i + \epsilon$ and the least squares estimate of $\beta$ is $\hat\beta = \frac{\sum ...
Ryan Moulton's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
9k views

Confidence interval for the standard deviation on a bimodal distribution

I have a bimodal distribution, and I wish to estimate the mean and standard deviation of the population (well, these could be 2 sub-populations according to the shape). With the mean I have no ...
user52407's user avatar

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