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Canadian Immigration Tracker
2018 to April 2024
Working Draft - Key Slides
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
Programs Examined
• Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees
• TR to Permanent Resident transition
• Asylum Claimants
• Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS),
Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment,
spouses)
• Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other
workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA)
• Study Permits (international students)
• Settlement Services
• Citizenship
• Visitor Visas
2
April 2024 Highlights
• PRs: Admissions Increase from 34,780 in March to 42,535 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022 in parentheses):
Economic - PNP 124.1% (117.9%), Economic - Federal 49.1% (1.3%), Family 3.8% (-2.6%), Refugees -1.7% (-25.6%)
• Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Decrease from 42,721 in September to 41,235 in October. October year-over-year change (change from 2020): 7.4%
(4.6%).
• Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: Decrease from 10,311 in April (1,036 Arrima) to 8,776 in May (2,791 Arrima). May year-over-year change (change from 2022): 41.8% (654.0%)
• TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Increase from 18,120 (52 percent of all PRs) to 26,520 (62.3% of all PRs) in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): 142.3% (59.1%)
• Temporary Residents:
• TRs/IMP: Decrease from 84,770 in March to 49,650. April year-over-year (change from 2022): Agreements: -12.3% (-39.9%), Canadian Interests: -47.2% (65.4%), Other IMP Participants 96.0% (290.2%), Not stated
-8.1% (15.2%)
• TRs/TFWP: Increase from 17,730 in March to 26,205 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): Caregivers 0.0% (-4.2%), Agriculture -4.4% (-2.4%) and Other LMIA 1.3% (106.0%).
• Students: Increase from 42,090 in March to 65,725 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2023): -13.4% (47.0%)
• Applications: Slight increase from 33,287 in March to 35,471 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2021): -32.1% (-9.6%)
• Web Get a study permit: Decline from 57,596 in April to 54,672 in May. May year-over-year change (change from 2022): -39.8% (-45.5%)
• Asylum Claimants: Stable from 15,600 in March to 15,570 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): 108.9% (158.2%)
• Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc): Remain low level, decline from 139 in March to 85 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2021): 0% (-97.0%).
• Settlement Services (2023): Increase from 1,941,480 in 2022 to 2,960,330 in 2023 (most recent data, services, not unique clients). 2023
year-over-year (change from 2021): 52.5% (53.3%)
• Citizenship: Decline from 34,230 in March to 31,376 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): 106.1% (10.0%)
• Applications (2023): From 264,231 in 2022 to 317,538 in 2023. 2023 Year-over-year change (change from 2021): 20.2%% (36.3%)
• Visitor Visas: Increase from 155,242 in March to 165,639 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): -5.5% (47.2%).
3
Change Across Major Programs
2023 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline
4
PR Applications
PR Admissions-PNP
PR Admissions-Fed
TR2PR
Temporary Workers IMP
Temporary Workers TFWP
Asylum Claimants
Study Permit Applications
Study Permit Holders
Citizenship Applications (2023)
New Citizens
Settlement Services (2023)
Visitor Visas
0% 75% 150% 225% 300%
38.1%
26.7%
113.7%
22.2%
92.2%
132.8%
170.5%
123.8%
226.2%
165.4%
30.8%
69.6%
3.5%

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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - March 2023
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - March 2023Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - March 2023
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Latest monthly update of suite of immigration and related programs for March 2023 (web and some other date April 2023). Highlights: PRs: Admissions decline from 49,490 in February to 44,780 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021 in parentheses): Economic - PNP 45.3% (257.4%), Economic - Federal 2.2% (52.4%), Family 6.0% (122.2%), Refugees -1.7% (92.5% Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: Decline from 22,636 (1,636 Arrima) in March to 8,020 (1,020 Arrima) in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2020): 386.4% (-54.8%) TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Decline from 32,265 in February (some double counting) to 26,230 in March (about 60 % of all PRs). March year-over-year change (change from 2020): 26.6% (107.8%) Temporary Residents: TRs/IMP: Increase from 56,800 in February to 74,135 in March. March year-over-year (change from 2021): Agreements: -28.8% (-31.4%), Canadian Interests: 94.8% (50.5%), Other IMP Participants 550.8% (202.5%), Not stated 492.7% (2,066.5%) TRs/TFWP: Increase from 13,290 in February to 19,395 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): Caregivers -5.0% (-52.9%), Agriculture 3.4% (4.7%) and Other LMIA 154.2% (101.9%). Students: Increase from 22,495 in February to 28,200 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): 9.4% (23.7%) Applications: Increase from 58,410 in February to 70,875 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): 55.3% (60.8%) Asylum Claimants: Slight increase from 10,040 in February (half at border) to 11,570 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): 90.3% (803.9%) Irregular arrivals: Decrease from 4,575 in February to 4,173 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): 66.8% (11,491.7%). Settlement Services: Seasonal decrease from 143,805 in June to 11528,249,500 in July (most recent data). July year-over-year (change from 2020): 23.0% (29.1%) Web “Find immigrant services near you”: Slight increase from 5,075 in March (outside Canada) to 5,452 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2021): 4.7% (-46.7%). In Canada: -6.7% (-45.7%) Citizenship: Stable from 28,233 in February to 28,249 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): -32.2% ((920.9%) Visitor Visas: Increase from 130,050 in February (Ukrainians 11% of total) to 159,307 in March. March year-over-year change (change from 2021): 79.8% (3,558.9%).

immigrationmigrationcitizenship
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - April 2022.pdf
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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - April 2022.pdf

April 2022 is the two-year first full month comparison. As a result, the changes are particularly dramatic given the full impact of travel restrictions such as the shut-down of citizenship, the virtual shutdown of visas and the impact on permanent resident arrivals and Temporary Foreign Workers. The number of Permanent Residents admissions declined slightly in April, as did the number of TR2PR transitions, the latter continuing a trend since December 2021, suggesting that the “transition pool” may be drying up. Temporary foreign workers, both IMP and the TFWP also increased, the former returning to pre-pandemic levels, the latter showing both the seasonal increase in agriculture workers as well an increase compared to pre-pandemic levels for workers with a LMIA, suggesting an impact of labour shortages. The number of students continues to increase, well beyond pre-pandemic levels. Students from India comprise more than 40 percent of all study permits. This reflects in part that many of these students, particularly at private colleges, using study as an immigration pathway. Unfortunately, IRCC data for post-secondary studies is not broken down by type of institution. While citizenship dipped in April compared to March, it is too soon to tell whether this is a blip or a sign of operational difficulties. The number of Ukrainians arriving in Canada, mainly under the Canada-Ukraine authorization for emergency travel continued to increase, more than tripling from March to almost 68,000.

immigrationintegrationcitizenship
Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - Updated February 2021
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My regular monthly update. Slide 3 summarizes the changes. Overall, the trend of increased transitions from temporary to permanent residents continued in February and given recent policy and operational changes (lowering of Express Entry minimum CRS score, recently announced targets for healthcare and other essential workers, international students) this trend will likely continue for the balance of the year. All of these changes, advisable or not, will help the government achieve (or partially achieve) its 2021 target of 401,000 new immigrants. Moreover, these changes should also address the imbalance between the higher skilled, who transition at a higher (and increasing rates) and the lower skilled, with lower transition rates). Interestingly, IMP data now shows a large percentage of “Other IMP Participants.” Typically, this was less than 50 per month but jumped to over 3,000 in February, perhaps due to delayed coding against the individual programs. In contrast to the relative return to traditional levels of new immigrants, the number of new citizens remains much lower than pre-COVID, from an average of about 21,000 in 2019 to an average of about 6,000 from June 2020 when the program was restarted. Web statistics show an increase of interest compared to last year for all programs save citizenship.

covid19immigrationcitizenship
Change Across Web Hits
2023 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline
5
Get a Study Permit
Get a Work Permit
Immigrate to Canada
Find immigrant Services
Apply for Citizenship
-45% -30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60%
-36.3%
47.5%
-7.6%
55.5%
18.5%
Permanent Residents
6
Express Entry & Arrima Invitations—2018-24
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades Healthcare
STEM Trades Transport Agriculture French
General QC Arrima 7
PR Applications: Region of Citizenship —2018-23
35,000
70,000
105,000
140,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
8
Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, a six month time lag is used. May 2021 surge driven by
applications from India (corrected from previous version)

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This document summarizes immigration trends in Canada from 2018 to July 2021. It shows that while immigration levels began recovering in 2021 from pandemic lows in 2020, admissions of permanent residents and temporary residents in 2021 remain below pre-pandemic levels in 2019. Permanent resident admissions increased most for economic immigrants and family class immigrants in July 2021 compared to previous years. Meanwhile, asylum claims and international student permits grew substantially in July 2021, but settlement services and citizenship applications continued declining from pre-pandemic levels.

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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - January 2023.pdf
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The government continues to make progress on backlogs although the percentage failing to meet service standards has not improved but deteriorated slightly: temporary residence 53 percent, permanent residence 56 percent and citizenship 27 percent. The backlog of visitor visas remains high at 70 percent (January 31 data). Most programs show a seasonal increase following the Christmas holiday slowdown with the exception of students, asylum claimants (but irregular arrivals continued to increase) and visitor visas. Of particular note is the dramatic increase in TR2PR transitions; after trending downwards in 2022, the number increased six-fold, accounting for more than 60 percent of all PRs.

immigrationcitizenshipmigration
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - January 2022
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This presentation provides the latest operational data on permanent and temporary immigration to Canada, broken down by major programs and countries, along with citizenship and visitor visas. The government's focus remains largely on Permanent Residents and "feeder groups" such as international students and other temporary residents. While minimal progress has been made on reducing backlogs, operational levels have largely recovered to pre-pandemic levels.

canadaimmigrationcitizenship
Admissions: PRs by Categories—2018-24
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
9
Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenship—2018-24
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
10
Admissions: PRs Canada Total
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-35%
0%
35%
70%
105%
140%
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees
69.6%
27.5%
30.8%
69.6%
-25.6%
-2.6%
1.3%
117.9%
-1.7%
3.8%
49.1%
124.1%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
11
Admissions: PNP Provinces
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC
60.9%
48.9%
77.2%
56.4%
88%
82.9% 86.9%
17.7%
88.7%
-26%
-2.6%
34.5%
196.2%
254.1%
58.7%
120%
63.4%
162%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
12

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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - July 2022
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A few changes to the standard deck of note. Monthly update delayed slightly given citizenship data delays. I have removed the separate slide on Provincial Nominee Program admissions given that the admissions chart separates the economic class by federal and Provincial Nominee Program (can send those interested the data tables). Given the large numbers of temporary residents, I have added charts (slides 27 and 30) comparing the changes by province for both IMP and TFWP, year-over-year, 2022 compared to 2020, and 2021 compared to 2018. With respect to the 2021 compared to 2018, the most notable increases have been in Atlantic Canada and Ontario for IMP, and Quebec and Atlantic Canada for TFWP. These numbers are in the context of remaining high levels of processing backlogs for the vast majority of IRCC programs although some progress is being made. July Permanent Residents admissions continue at over 40,000 per month with the greatest year-over-year increases for Provincial Nominee Program and refugees. TR2PR transitions declined slightly compared to June, roughly accounting for 40 percent of all admissions (some double counting). The greatest increase since 2020 for TRs/IMP continues to be with respect to Canadian Interests for for TRs/TFWP with respect to permits requiring a LMIA. While International student permits have largely returned to seasonal patterns, the number of applications has increased the most compared to 2020. The number of new citizens slightly declined to less than 30,000. The number of visitor visas declined with once again, Ukrainians forming one-third of visas issued.

immigrationcitizenshipcanada
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - June 2023 .pdf
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Given IRCC delays in issuing citizenship data, have combined the May and June report. At the half year mark, the government is on target to meet the levels plan for Permanent Residents (however misguided), with 263,000 to date or 57 percent of 465,000. The percentage of Temporary Residents transitioning to Permanent Residents averages about 50 percent for both time periods. The number of temporary residents continues to grow, with 385,000 compared to 185,000 for the January-June 2002 period for the International Mobility Program and 114,000 compared to 75,000 for the Temporary Foreign Workers program. The same pattern applies to International students: 242,000 compared to 202,000 for the January-June 2002 period. For asylum claimants: 53,000 compared to 37,000. Unlike the above, the number of new citizens has no impact on housing, healthcare and infrastructure as they are virtually all here in Canada. Interestingly, this is the only program that has seen a decline in the January-June periods: 177,000 compared to 184,000 although still historically strong.

immigrationcitizenshipcanada
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - February 2022.pdf
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My regular monthly update. Main observations: With the holiday period over, February data indicates that IRCC is resuming more normal operations but large backlogs remain. The percentage of Provincial Nominee Program admissions increased to over one-quarter of all economic class immigrants, the highest since early 2021. The overall trend of most new Permanent Residents being former Temporary Residents continued. The impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and subsequent influx of Ukrainians under the temporary and refugee streams is not yet captured but no visitor visas were issued in Russia (pre-pandemic 2019, an average of 804 per month, post-pandemic 2021, an average of 206 per month). No major changes in temporary workers (IMP and TFWP) but the changes announced Workforce Solutions Road Map – changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker Program to address labour shortages) will likely result in further increases becoming apparent in the next few months. The citizenship program is operating at higher levels than previously and thus slow progress in reducing the backlog (in the absence of IRCC publishing citizenship application data, unlike permanent resident and study permit application data, hard to make a definitive assessment). The further relaxation of travel and other COVID-related restrictions continues to result in visitor visas reverting to pre-pandemic levels.

canadaimmigrationcitizenship
Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-40%
20%
80%
140%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK
-21.3%
33.7%
128.9%
21.1%
-5.1%
101.3%
-29.9%
6.5%
-37.3%
67.8%
-9.3%
34.8%
-5.1%
5.7%
-17.9%
18.3%
9.6%
2.1%
64%
32.2%
28.3%
-49.7%
88%
6.4%
32.2%
38.5%
-18%
36.4%
121.9%
45.9%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
13
Admissions: Temporary to Permanent Residents
By Program—2018-24
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
14
Admissions by Province: TRs to PRs
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
154.4%
81.9%
110.8%
415.3%
197.7%
53.6%
296.6%
42.7%
153.4%
211.4%
160.9%
31.4%
1.8%
131.5%
117.1%
279.2%
356.7%
228.3%
68.4%
192.8%
424.5%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
15
Admissions: TRs to PRs
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
0%
60%
120%
180%
240%
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
122.8%
132.7%
176.6%
170.9%
93.2%
49.1%
33.8%
73%
221.3%
146%
110.7%
153.4%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
16

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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - March 2022
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March 2022 marks two-years since the COVID measures and lockdowns began. As a result, the two-year comparisons become more striking. The government’s not wishing the “crisis to go to waste” by increasing immigration levels by about one-third compared to pre-pandemic 2019 continues, with just over 40,000 admissions in March, across all categories. However, there is a declining trend of temporary residents transitioning to permanent residents, suggesting an “inventory” decline. The planting season can be seen in the increase of Temporary Foreign Workers in the agriculture sector, both in terms of the regular seasonal patterns as well as the COVID disruption in March 2020. The citizenship program continues to increase the number of new citizens and thus starting to reduce backlogs or at least move to restoring normal processing times. The introduction of streams for Ukrainians fleeing the Russian invasion is seen in the dramatic jump in visas issued to Ukrainians, mainly under the Canada-Ukraine authorization for emergency travel, from a pre-pandemic average of 648 per month in 2019 to 21,465 March 2022.

immigrationcitizenshipintegration
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2023.pdf
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September  2023.pdfCovid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September  2023.pdf
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2023.pdf

The document provides data and analysis on Canadian immigration trends from 2018 to September 2023 across various programs. Some key highlights include: - Permanent resident admissions have declined in 2022 compared to 2018 baseline levels, with decreases in economic and family class admissions in September 2023 compared to the same period in 2021 and 2022. - Express Entry invitations have decreased in October 2023 compared to previous years. - Asylum claims have increased sharply in September 2023 compared to prior years, driven mainly by increases from India, Mexico, and Nigeria. - Temporary residents and international mobility program participants have declined in September 2023 compared to 2021 and 2022 levels.

canadaimmigration#cdnimm
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2021
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2021Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2021
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2021

Quick overview: - Advisably or not, IRCC has caught up to 2019 levels and will, as we have shared, likely come close to target of 400,000, with bulk coming from TR transitions - TRs still below pre-covid levels - Student applications and admissions higher than pre-covid - Asylum claimants creeping up given reduced travel restrictions. Irregular arrivals at Roxham Road also up. - Citizenship ramping up but still significantly below 2019 - Visas have increased given reduced travel restrictions

immigrationcitizenshipcovid19
Two-Step Immigration
TR2PR Percent Total Admission
0
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
22.5%
45%
67.5%
90%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Percent TR2PR Total Admissions
17
Asylum Claimants
18
Asylum Claimants: Of
fi
ce Type 2018-24
4,500
9,000
13,500
18,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Airport Border Inland Other
19
Note: The “other claim of
fi
ce” surge in September-November likely re
fl
ected delays in classi
fi
cation, most of these were likely Inland
Asylum Claimants: Irregular Arrivals
RCMP Interceptions as Percent Total Asylum Claimants—2018-24
0
1,250
2,500
3,750
5,000
15%
30%
45%
60%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Percent Claimants Irregular Arrivals
20

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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - August 2022
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NEW DATA on Settlement Services, showing an overall decline compared to the pre-pandemic with only partial recovery. Afghanistan and Ukraine have shown the greatest increase given the number of refugees from those two countries. Pre-arrival information and orientation, language assessment and resettlement assistance have increased the most. While the government has made some progress in reducing backlogs with respect to temporary residents and citizenship, it has not made progress with respect to Permanent Residents. PRs: Decline compared to July. YTD 308,000, 2021 same period 222,000. TRs/IMP: Increase compared to July. YTD 280,000, 2021 same period, 228,000. TRs/TFWP: Slight decrease compared to July. YTD 100,000, 2021 same period 90,000. Students: Large seasonal increase compared to July (may reflect processing issues). YTD 366,000, 2021 same period 295,000. Asylum claimants: Stable. YTD 53,000, 2021 same period 10,000. Settlement Services (July): Decrease compared to June. YTD 1,031,000, 2021 same period 918,000. Citizenship: Increase compared to July. YTD 248,000, 2021 same period 55,000. Visitor Visas. Increase compared to July. YTD 752,000, 2021 same period 67,000.

immigrationcitizenshipmigration
Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - october 2021 draft
Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - october 2021 draft Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - october 2021 draft
Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - october 2021 draft

Key trends from October IRCC operational data: Number of permanent resident admissions on track to be close to 2021 target of 401,000, largely due to two-step immigration by temporary residents. Transition from temporary residents to permanent residents accounts for about three quarters of all permanent resident admissions.The economic class forms a slightly increasing percentage (from 57% in 2019 to 62% in 2021 YTD). Interestingly, applications continue to decline in recent months, perhaps reflecting increased recognition that other programs, such as students, offer better pathways to permanent residency. Temporary Residents - IMP shrunk in October, both with respect to October 2020 and October 2019, Temporary Residents - TFWP while overall numbers remained stable, caregivers dropped significantly in contrast to agriculture and LMIA. Students: Seasonal decline of study permits as well as applications. Asylum Claimants: Small increase in the number of asylum claimants, mainly at airports given reduced travel restrictions. Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc) remain small in number.à Citizenship: Significant increase from 13,525 in September to 19,124 in October, approaching more traditional levels. Visitor Visas: Remain much lower than normal, about one-third of traditional levels, October 2021 compared to 2019 average.

immigrationcitizenshipmigration
Canadian Immigration Tracker - Key Slides - October 2023.pdf
Canadian Immigration Tracker - Key Slides - October 2023.pdfCanadian Immigration Tracker - Key Slides - October 2023.pdf
Canadian Immigration Tracker - Key Slides - October 2023.pdf

Highlights: Percentage of former temporary residents transitioning to permanent residency partially bouncing back after September (from 32 to 39 percent, 2023 January to August average 65 percent). Year to date: 404,000 of which 212,000 are former temporary residents. Temporary residents (IMP): Year to date 757,000 compared to 484,000 in comparable 2022 period Temporary residents (TFWP): Year to date 172,000 compared to 124,000 in comparable 2022 period Asylum claimants continue to grow significantly, reflecting easing of visa requirements and other factors: Year to date 117,000 compared to 70,000 in comparable 2022 period. Unclear whether visa exemption for Mexico will remain tenable given sharp increase and rumblings in US border states regarding increasing arrivals from Canada: Year to date 22,000 compared to 12,000 in comparable 2022 period. The number of new citizens remains strong, largely driven by virtual ceremonies being the default option (almost 90 percent of new citizens participated in virtual ceremonies). Year to date: 317,000 largely the same as the comparable 2022 period.

canadaimmigrationcitizenship
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
Airport Border Inland
184.9%
43.3%
491.9%
414.9%
-63.8%
424.5%
162.4%
-27.2%
121.3%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
21
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-350%
0%
350%
700%
1,050%
1,400%
India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti USA
-61.2%
356.5%
255%
3%
165.8%
140.3%
4.6%
141.9%
666.5%
152.8%
-100%
-27.1%
-73%
380%
248%
-17.8%
1,247.4%
104.8%
-30.7%
931.8%
-100%
153.1%
-64.8%
213%
135.1%
1.4%
884.6%
51.8%
-71.3%
357%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
22
Note: USA no longer in top 25
Temporary Residents
23
IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders—2018-24
35,000
70,000
105,000
140,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Agreements Cdn Interests Other IMP Vulnerable Not Stated Caregivers
Agriculture LMIA 24

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IRCC is well on the way to meeting its 2021 target of some 400,000 Permanent Residents: To date 221,360 Jan-Aug 2021 compared to 228,410 in 2019, with close to 40,000 in July and August. The vast majority are transitioning from temporary residency, primarily the PGWP and IMP. Great percentage increase is, not surprisingly, with respect to Afghans, both in terms of applications (from an average of 200 in the first six months of the year to close to 8,000 in August) and admissions (from an average of 170 to over 1,000). The number of Temporary Residents/IMP continues to increase, particularly with respect to “Canadian interests” (post-graduate employment accounting for more than half, spouses of skilled workers accounting for 9 percent, and intra-corporate transferees 3 percent). On the other hand, the number of Temporary Foreign Workers Program decreased, reflecting lower demand in the agriculture sector. Applications for study permits have largely recovered from pre-pandemic levels (down only 5 percent), as have the number of study permits issued albeit to a lessor extent (down 13 percent). Asylum Claimants slightly increased but still more than three-quarters down from pre-pandemic levels. The number of new citizens seems to be stuck around 9-10,000 per month, compared to pre-pandemic numbers of about 20,000. Visitor Visas issued increased sharply from monthly average of 4,200 in the first six months of the year to close to 40,000 in August, likely reflecting increased vaccinations and reduced travel restrictions.

immigrationcitizenshipcanada
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This document summarizes immigration statistics from 2018 to October 2022. It examines trends in permanent residents, temporary residents, asylum claimants, citizenship, and other programs. For permanent residents, admissions have declined for economic immigrants but increased for refugees. Express Entry invitations have increased substantially year-over-year. Temporary residents under international mobility programs and temporary foreign worker programs have generally increased since 2020. Asylum claims and irregular border crossings have sharply risen. Web traffic for immigration programs is up compared to pre-pandemic levels.

immigrationcitizenshipmigration
Integration - General Deck 2022 data
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This is an updated version of my earlier deck with 2022 numbers across immigration, citizenship, settlement and multiculturalism, OECD integration indicators and polling data. The narrative has also been updated to reflect the ongoing shift to two-step immigration, and arguably a shift from an immigration-based country to a migration-based country.

immigrationsettlementcitizenship
Temporary Residents by Program Canada
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA
338.8%
35.7%
-45.4%
162.1%
-46.4%
106%
-2.4%
-4.2%
65.4%
-39.9%
1.3%
-4.4%
0%
-47.2%
-12.3%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
25
IMP by Region of Citizenship—2018-24
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania
26
IMP by Citizenship
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018
base year
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan
18%
58.1%
41.3%
-26.6%
-12.1%
24.4%
55.1%
51.1%
-27%
417.8%
71.2%
42.2%
197.9%
38.7%
78.6%
55.4%
146.3%
39.9%
30.7%
51.1%
6.5%
-27.1%
22.5%
22.9%
21.4%
17.4%
-37.8%
-18.6%
13.3%
-61%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
27
IMP by Province
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
164.1%
198.8%
147.9%
236.1%
282.2%
161.9%
288.4%
106.9%
217.3%
133%
206.7%
74.3%
60.2%
132.8%
-4.7%
26.7%
-27.6%
-22.8%
-47.3%
5.1%
-24.1%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
28

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We now have complete 2022 data for all programs (save settlement services). The government continues to make progress on backlogs although the percentage failing to meet service standards has largely not improved: temporary residence 45 percent, permanent residence 48 percent and citizenship 28 percent. The backlog of visitor visas, highlighted in recent media articles, remains high at 70 percent (Dec 31 data). All programs show a seasonal decrease in December except where noted. PRs: 435,000 in 2022 compared to 404,000 in 2021. Drop in TR2PR transitions, from 279,000 in 2021 to 177,000 in 2022. Quebec 69,000 in 2022, compared to 50,000 in 2021 (despite public debates). TRs/IMP: 494,000 in 2022 compared to 326,000 in 2021. TRs/TFWP: 137,000 in 2022 compared to 106,000 in 2021. Students: December end-of-year increase. 576,000 in 2022 compared to 469,000 in 2021. Asylum claimants: Increased in December compared to November. 92,000 in 2022 compared to 25,000 in 2021. I have added a slide on "irregular arrivals" and their percentage of total asylum claimants, Settlement Services (July): Decrease compared to June. YTD 1,031,000, 2021 same period 918,000. Citizenship: 369,000 in 2022 compared to 137,000 in 2021. Visitor Visas. Stable compared to November. 1,238,000 in 2022 compared to 236,000 in 2021.

immigrationmigrationcitizenship
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The government continues to make progress on backlogs but the significant not-meeting service standards: temporary residence 44 percent, permanent residence 45 percent, citizenship 72 percent, visitor visas 70 percent in backlog (November 30 data). PRs: Decrease compared to October. YTD 412,000, 2021 same period 360,000. Of note, an ongoing and dramatic drop in TR2PR transitions, from 251,000 in 2021 to 172,000 in 2022 YTD. Quebec YTD 63,000, 2021 same period 44,000 (despite public debates). TRs/IMP: Flat compared to October. YTD 446,000, 2021 same period, 305,000. TRs/TFWP: Slight decrease compared to October. YTD 133,000, 2021 same period 105,000. Students: Flat compared to October. YTD 479,000, 2021 same period 415,000. Asylum claimants: Small increase compared to October. YTD 80,000, 2021 same period 19,000. Settlement Services (July): Decrease compared to June. YTD 1,031,000, 2021 same period 918,000. Citizenship: Increase compared to October. YTD 347,000, 2021 same period 115,000. Visitor Visas. Increase compared to October. YTD 1,097,000, 2021 same period 194,000.

immigrationmigrationcitizenship
Order of Canada 2013-22 Diversity
Order of Canada 2013-22 DiversityOrder of Canada 2013-22 Diversity
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For the last ten years, I have been tracking the diversity of Order of Canada appointments, from the perspective of gender, visible minorities and Indigenous peoples, along with regional and occupational backgrounds. In many ways, these appointments are emblematic of other recognition and award programs in that they generally reflect the views and perspectives of those nominating and, in the case of the Order, a medium and longer-term track record and contribution in contrast to awards programs focussed on new and emerging talent. In many ways, this results in an understandable backward looking perspective. Moreover, unlike employment equity programs where managers are empowered to factor diversity in hiring and promotion decisions, awards programs have less latitude to do so as they have to make their assessments based upon the nominations received. The Governor General's Office has over the years made several attempts to encourage more diverse nominations, including funding under the Conservative Government in 2015 to encourage more nominations for more business and regional nominees. The data suggests that these efforts had limited effect in the longer term. The most striking findings of this analysis are that women appointees average around one third of the total, ranging from a low of 29 percent (2019, 2022) to a high of 46 percent in 2015 and visible minority appointees have increased from a low of 4 percent in 2014 to an exceptional high of 13 percent in 2021 before reverting to a more typical 7 percent. The two groups that are over-represented in comparison of their share of the population are men and, more recently, Indigenous peoples in 2021 and 2022 at eight percent. Of note, while visible minority appointments are 71 percent men, Indigenous peoples appointments are equally balanced between men and women.

#cdnpoli#government#orderofcanada
TFWP by Region of Citizenship—2018-24
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania
29
TFWP by Citizenship
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018
base year
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France
301.1%
253.1%
17.5%
-39.2%
21.5%
289.2%
153.7%
114.2%
15.5%
62.5%
160%
264%
-36.4%
59.1%
-22.2%
167.8%
156.3%
35%
-9.9%
-6.2%
2%
59.6%
-22.2%
40%
-34.9%
7.6%
16.8%
17.3%
-3.8%
-12.2%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
30
TFWP by Province
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018
base year
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
89.7%
189.9%
148.1%
164.7%
59.1%
239.2%
160.5%
29%
121.8%
57.1%
114.6%
9.8%
45%
4.1%
-6.3%
10.6%
35.1%
23.9%
-0.3%
-6.1%
-0.3%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
31
Study Permits
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Key trends from December IRCC operational data, which reflect in part a normal seasonal decline: Overall, comparing 2021 with 2018 data, most immigration programs have largely recovered from the steep impact of COVID travel and other restrictions, with the exceptions of the Provincial Nominee Program, asylum claimants, citizenship and visitor visas. As trumpeted by the Minister, the number of permanent resident admissions slightly exceeded the 2021 target: 403,540, compared to 401,000. Compared to 2018, admissions have increased by 26 percent. As seen throughout the year, this is largely due to two-step immigration by temporary residents, largely from the International Mobility Program and the Post-Graduate Work Program. The percentage of the economic class increased to 63 percent, up from 58 percent. While on a monthly basis, permanent residency applications increased, compared to 2018, applications declined by 43 percent. This likely reflects recognition by potential applicants of large backlogs and two-step immigration. Temporary Residents - While on a monthly basis, IMP declined in December, compared to 2018, numbers increased by 35 percent. Temporary Residents - TFWP while December numbers remained stable, compared to 2018, numbers increased by 24 percent, with the greatest increase in LMIA. Students: Study permit applications increased slightly in December while study permits issued almost tripled. Compared to 2018, applications increased by 64 percent, and permits issued by 27 percent. Asylum Claimants: The number of asylum claimants continued to increase in December, mainly due to the reopening of Roxham Road. Compared to 2018, the number of claimants decreased by 55 percent. Citizenship: The citizenship program continues to recover with traditional numbers of new citizens on a monthly basis. Compared to 2018, the number of new citizens declined by 38 percent.. Visitor Visas: While on a monthly basis, the number of visitor visas issued continues to approach traditional levels. However, compared 2018, the number of visas has decreased by 82 percent.

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Key trends from November IRCC operational data: Minister Fraser announced just before Christmas that the government had met it 2021 target of 401,000, with November numbers being the highest monthly numbers to date, 47,340. One consequence of the government’s fixation on meeting the target has been the inevitable increase in backlogs: 548,000 permanent residence applications, 776,000 temporary residence applications, and 468,000 Canadian citizenship applications. Transition from temporary residents to permanent residents accounts for about three quarters of all permanent resident admissions, as can be seen also in Express Entry Invitation to Apply and Admissions data. The economic class forms a slightly increasing percentage (from 57% in 2019 to 62.1% in 2021 YTD), reflecting in part a significant increase in the latter half of 2021. Meanwhile, applications continue to decline slightly along with web interest given increased two-step immigration from international students and those on work permits and their family members. Temporary Residents - IMP remained stable compared to the previous month but declined with respect to November 2020 and 2019. Temporary Residents - TFWP small decline, largely due to agriculture workers and those with a LMIA. Students: Seasonal decline of study permits but a November increase in applications year-over-year (and compared to 2019), suggesting greater awareness and interest in two-step immigration. Asylum Claimants: Significant increase in the number of asylum claimants, given reduced travel restrictions. Significant increase also for Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc), with close to one thousand in November. Citizenship: Program continues to recover to normal levels and starting to make a small dent in the backlog Visitor Visas: While numbers have increased given reduced travel restrictions, still remain slightly more than half of traditional levels (2019).

immigrationcitizenshipcanada
Study Permit Applications—By Region—2018-24
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
33
Study Permit Holders—By Level—2018-24
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies
34
Study Permit Holders—By Region—2018-24
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
35
Study Permit Holders by Citizenship
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria
478%
21.9%
19.4%
111.1%
-1.2%
-10.4%
17.8%
-38.4%
-31.4%
160.6%
193.2%
40.5%
-69.5%
17.3%
-5.8%
55.5%
-2.2%
-24.4%
102.7%
45.4%
-14.7%
3.5%
-46.5%
4.6%
-24.1%
37%
12.7%
-10%
70.6%
-22.1%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
36

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Study Permit Holders by Province
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
54.2%
122.3%
107.9%
56.8%
106.7%
80.1%
91.2%
11.7%
211.0%
46.0%
51.0%
58.7%
38.6%
10.9%
-16.5%
86.3%
-6.2%
-6.1%
-18.8%
18.3%
-32.1%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
37
Study Permits—Web Interest
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2020-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not captured
38
Study Permits—Web Interest
May Comparison: 2024/21, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries by “Get your study permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-150%
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan
88.8%
-81.5%
-2%
-24.5%
223%
-38.9%
219.4%
-38.7%
15.4%
-12.7%
-20%
208.7%
-34.4%
-56.2%
-68.6%
-50.2%
-40.7%
-20.9%
-29.7%
-63.1%
-43.9%
-62.8%
-22.2%
-30.7%
-61.6%
-30.1%
-51.9%
-34.3%
-29.2%
-45%
May 2024/23 May 2024-22 Full year 2023/18
39
Settlement Services
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Settlement—By Service—2018-23
Pre-Arrival and In Canada Services
68,750
137,500
206,250
275,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7
Pre-Arrival Information & Orientation Needs & Assets Assessment, Referrals Employment Related Services
Information & Orientation Services Community Connections Language Assessment
Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement
41
Settlement Services
Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18
Pre-Arrival Info & Orientation
Needs, Assets & Referrals
Employment Related
Information & Orientation
Community Connections
Language Assessment
Language Training
Resettlement Assistance
Service Delivery Improvement
-110% -32.5% 45% 122.5% 200%
-96.7%
14.8%
143%
48.8%
68.6%
20.5%
29.9%
8.1%
36.3%
-92.3%
162.8%
192.4%
197.9%
88.0%
53.2%
62.5%
39.1%
45.2%
-97.2%
-3.3%
16.2%
36.6%
41.7%
22.5%
20.9%
28.0%
20.6%
2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18
42
Settlement Services—By Region—2018-23
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
43
Settlement Services by Citizenship
Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18
Top 10, 2018 base year
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
Syria China India Philippines Iraq Eritrea Iran PakistanAfghanistan Somalia
40%
400.8%
-2.3%
2.4%
49.6%
-34.9%
-42%
2.1%
-16.8%
-23.5%
34.3%
217.6%
16.2%
15.1%
40.7%
-12.5%
-6%
30.7%
12.7%
-6.7%
20.7%
36.4%
8.4%
13.2%
21.3%
-12.1%
-4.2%
10.3%
5%
-2.4%
2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18
44

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We all can see the increase in the literacy rate over the past few years. This is great because it showcases India has been growing at a rapid pace. Education is the key to entire nation growth. But the major concern is the education of the girl child education. Every other lower-middle-class family or people from rural areas families prefer to send their son to school and daughters are still not sent to school because of financial troubles. Donate Us https://serudsindia.org/donate-girl-child-education/ #sponsorforgirlchild, #donateforgirleducation, #girlchildeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforgirlchildeducation, #onlinegirlchildeducation, #educationforgirlchild, #seruds, #charitydonation, #kurnool, #educationkitforgirlchild

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Settlement Services
Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
52.5%
70%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
29.8%
38.7%
28.7%
15.8%
28.3%
-27.5%
64.7%
-18.6%
-21.7%
-16.5%
-24.0%
-16.9%
-20.6%
-5.8%
47.0%
70.0%
44.1%
55.9%
47.3%
2.3%
53.0%
2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18
45
Citizenship
46
Citizenship Applications—2018-23
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Number: Red line is 3-month moving average
47
New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-24
Numbers
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
48

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New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-24
Percentage
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
49
Citizenship by Country of Birth
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-200%
-50%
100%
250%
400%
Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France
115%
52.4%
7.5%
81.9%
224.5%
41.6%
28.6%
6.9%
302.4%
86.9%
26.2%
-30.9%
-37%
-16.6%
-4.5%
-22.7%
53%
-21.6%
69.2%
-12.9%
325.8%
34.9%
9.6%
160.7%
25.6%
70.8%
186.6%
68.1%
146.3%
134.6%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
50
Approved Visitor Visas
51
Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-24
75,000
150,000
225,000
300,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other
52

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Visitor Visas—By Source Country
April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/23, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia
-8.9%
152.9%
163.3%
71.3%
46.1%
-37.3%
-1.5%
58%
76.7%
-52%
39.9%
576.6%
159.5%
160.9%
378.9%
223.5%
26.5%
750.8%
223.5%
528%
170.2%
-42.6%
-3.5%
185.5%
31.1%
105.2%
39.8%
42.1%
53.9%
25.4%
April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
53
Note: Russia no longer in top 25
Research Questions
54
• Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries
were most a
ff
ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries
recovered more quickly?
• Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source
country?
• Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or
tensions with China a factor?
• Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for
which countries?
Annex
55
Top Countries Share of Total (2018)
10 Countries 25 Countries
Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7%
IMP 70.8% 86.4%
TFWP 85.2% 93.2%
Study Permits 70.3% 73.8%
Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4%
Citizenship 50.3% 71.5%
56

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Top Countries (2018)
Permanent
Residents
IMP TFWP Students Settlement Citizenship
India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647
Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486
China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037
Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718
Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406
USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398
Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229
France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115
Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951
UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915
Saudi
Arabia
2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836
57
Data Sources
• PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of
Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries
• TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration
Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category,
Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent
Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category
• Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O
ffi
ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking),
Claim O
ffi
ce Type and Claim Year
• TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s)
became e
ff
ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year
in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s)
became e
ff
ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective
• Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada - Study permit holders by
province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for
New Study Permit Applications
• Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table
• Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month
• Web: Provided by IRCC
• 2018 is used as baseline
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Canadian Immigration Tracker - Key Slides - April 2024pdf

  • 1. Canadian Immigration Tracker 2018 to April 2024 Working Draft - Key Slides 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
  • 2. Programs Examined • Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees • TR to Permanent Resident transition • Asylum Claimants • Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS), Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment, spouses) • Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) • Study Permits (international students) • Settlement Services • Citizenship • Visitor Visas 2
  • 3. April 2024 Highlights • PRs: Admissions Increase from 34,780 in March to 42,535 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022 in parentheses): Economic - PNP 124.1% (117.9%), Economic - Federal 49.1% (1.3%), Family 3.8% (-2.6%), Refugees -1.7% (-25.6%) • Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Decrease from 42,721 in September to 41,235 in October. October year-over-year change (change from 2020): 7.4% (4.6%). • Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: Decrease from 10,311 in April (1,036 Arrima) to 8,776 in May (2,791 Arrima). May year-over-year change (change from 2022): 41.8% (654.0%) • TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Increase from 18,120 (52 percent of all PRs) to 26,520 (62.3% of all PRs) in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): 142.3% (59.1%) • Temporary Residents: • TRs/IMP: Decrease from 84,770 in March to 49,650. April year-over-year (change from 2022): Agreements: -12.3% (-39.9%), Canadian Interests: -47.2% (65.4%), Other IMP Participants 96.0% (290.2%), Not stated -8.1% (15.2%) • TRs/TFWP: Increase from 17,730 in March to 26,205 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): Caregivers 0.0% (-4.2%), Agriculture -4.4% (-2.4%) and Other LMIA 1.3% (106.0%). • Students: Increase from 42,090 in March to 65,725 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2023): -13.4% (47.0%) • Applications: Slight increase from 33,287 in March to 35,471 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2021): -32.1% (-9.6%) • Web Get a study permit: Decline from 57,596 in April to 54,672 in May. May year-over-year change (change from 2022): -39.8% (-45.5%) • Asylum Claimants: Stable from 15,600 in March to 15,570 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): 108.9% (158.2%) • Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc): Remain low level, decline from 139 in March to 85 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2021): 0% (-97.0%). • Settlement Services (2023): Increase from 1,941,480 in 2022 to 2,960,330 in 2023 (most recent data, services, not unique clients). 2023 year-over-year (change from 2021): 52.5% (53.3%) • Citizenship: Decline from 34,230 in March to 31,376 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): 106.1% (10.0%) • Applications (2023): From 264,231 in 2022 to 317,538 in 2023. 2023 Year-over-year change (change from 2021): 20.2%% (36.3%) • Visitor Visas: Increase from 155,242 in March to 165,639 in April. April year-over-year change (change from 2022): -5.5% (47.2%). 3
  • 4. Change Across Major Programs 2023 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline 4 PR Applications PR Admissions-PNP PR Admissions-Fed TR2PR Temporary Workers IMP Temporary Workers TFWP Asylum Claimants Study Permit Applications Study Permit Holders Citizenship Applications (2023) New Citizens Settlement Services (2023) Visitor Visas 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% 38.1% 26.7% 113.7% 22.2% 92.2% 132.8% 170.5% 123.8% 226.2% 165.4% 30.8% 69.6% 3.5%
  • 5. Change Across Web Hits 2023 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline 5 Get a Study Permit Get a Work Permit Immigrate to Canada Find immigrant Services Apply for Citizenship -45% -30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% -36.3% 47.5% -7.6% 55.5% 18.5%
  • 7. Express Entry & Arrima Invitations—2018-24 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades Healthcare STEM Trades Transport Agriculture French General QC Arrima 7
  • 8. PR Applications: Region of Citizenship —2018-23 35,000 70,000 105,000 140,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 8 Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, a six month time lag is used. May 2021 surge driven by applications from India (corrected from previous version)
  • 9. Admissions: PRs by Categories—2018-24 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other 9
  • 10. Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenship—2018-24 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 10
  • 11. Admissions: PRs Canada Total April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -35% 0% 35% 70% 105% 140% Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees 69.6% 27.5% 30.8% 69.6% -25.6% -2.6% 1.3% 117.9% -1.7% 3.8% 49.1% 124.1% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 11
  • 12. Admissions: PNP Provinces April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC 60.9% 48.9% 77.2% 56.4% 88% 82.9% 86.9% 17.7% 88.7% -26% -2.6% 34.5% 196.2% 254.1% 58.7% 120% 63.4% 162% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 12
  • 13. Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year -100% -40% 20% 80% 140% India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK -21.3% 33.7% 128.9% 21.1% -5.1% 101.3% -29.9% 6.5% -37.3% 67.8% -9.3% 34.8% -5.1% 5.7% -17.9% 18.3% 9.6% 2.1% 64% 32.2% 28.3% -49.7% 88% 6.4% 32.2% 38.5% -18% 36.4% 121.9% 45.9% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 13
  • 14. Admissions: Temporary to Permanent Residents By Program—2018-24 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 14
  • 15. Admissions by Province: TRs to PRs April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 154.4% 81.9% 110.8% 415.3% 197.7% 53.6% 296.6% 42.7% 153.4% 211.4% 160.9% 31.4% 1.8% 131.5% 117.1% 279.2% 356.7% 228.3% 68.4% 192.8% 424.5% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 15
  • 16. Admissions: TRs to PRs April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 0% 60% 120% 180% 240% IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 122.8% 132.7% 176.6% 170.9% 93.2% 49.1% 33.8% 73% 221.3% 146% 110.7% 153.4% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 16
  • 17. Two-Step Immigration TR2PR Percent Total Admission 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 22.5% 45% 67.5% 90% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Percent TR2PR Total Admissions 17
  • 19. Asylum Claimants: Of fi ce Type 2018-24 4,500 9,000 13,500 18,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Airport Border Inland Other 19 Note: The “other claim of fi ce” surge in September-November likely re fl ected delays in classi fi cation, most of these were likely Inland
  • 20. Asylum Claimants: Irregular Arrivals RCMP Interceptions as Percent Total Asylum Claimants—2018-24 0 1,250 2,500 3,750 5,000 15% 30% 45% 60% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Percent Claimants Irregular Arrivals 20
  • 21. Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Airport Border Inland 184.9% 43.3% 491.9% 414.9% -63.8% 424.5% 162.4% -27.2% 121.3% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 21
  • 22. Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -350% 0% 350% 700% 1,050% 1,400% India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti USA -61.2% 356.5% 255% 3% 165.8% 140.3% 4.6% 141.9% 666.5% 152.8% -100% -27.1% -73% 380% 248% -17.8% 1,247.4% 104.8% -30.7% 931.8% -100% 153.1% -64.8% 213% 135.1% 1.4% 884.6% 51.8% -71.3% 357% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 22 Note: USA no longer in top 25
  • 24. IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders—2018-24 35,000 70,000 105,000 140,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Agreements Cdn Interests Other IMP Vulnerable Not Stated Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 24
  • 25. Temporary Residents by Program Canada April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 338.8% 35.7% -45.4% 162.1% -46.4% 106% -2.4% -4.2% 65.4% -39.9% 1.3% -4.4% 0% -47.2% -12.3% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 25
  • 26. IMP by Region of Citizenship—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania 26
  • 27. IMP by Citizenship April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan 18% 58.1% 41.3% -26.6% -12.1% 24.4% 55.1% 51.1% -27% 417.8% 71.2% 42.2% 197.9% 38.7% 78.6% 55.4% 146.3% 39.9% 30.7% 51.1% 6.5% -27.1% 22.5% 22.9% 21.4% 17.4% -37.8% -18.6% 13.3% -61% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 27
  • 28. IMP by Province April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 164.1% 198.8% 147.9% 236.1% 282.2% 161.9% 288.4% 106.9% 217.3% 133% 206.7% 74.3% 60.2% 132.8% -4.7% 26.7% -27.6% -22.8% -47.3% 5.1% -24.1% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 28
  • 29. TFWP by Region of Citizenship—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania 29
  • 30. TFWP by Citizenship April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France 301.1% 253.1% 17.5% -39.2% 21.5% 289.2% 153.7% 114.2% 15.5% 62.5% 160% 264% -36.4% 59.1% -22.2% 167.8% 156.3% 35% -9.9% -6.2% 2% 59.6% -22.2% 40% -34.9% 7.6% 16.8% 17.3% -3.8% -12.2% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 30
  • 31. TFWP by Province April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 89.7% 189.9% 148.1% 164.7% 59.1% 239.2% 160.5% 29% 121.8% 57.1% 114.6% 9.8% 45% 4.1% -6.3% 10.6% 35.1% 23.9% -0.3% -6.1% -0.3% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 31
  • 33. Study Permit Applications—By Region—2018-24 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 33
  • 34. Study Permit Holders—By Level—2018-24 45,000 90,000 135,000 180,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies 34
  • 35. Study Permit Holders—By Region—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 35
  • 36. Study Permit Holders by Citizenship April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria 478% 21.9% 19.4% 111.1% -1.2% -10.4% 17.8% -38.4% -31.4% 160.6% 193.2% 40.5% -69.5% 17.3% -5.8% 55.5% -2.2% -24.4% 102.7% 45.4% -14.7% 3.5% -46.5% 4.6% -24.1% 37% 12.7% -10% 70.6% -22.1% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 36
  • 37. Study Permit Holders by Province April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 54.2% 122.3% 107.9% 56.8% 106.7% 80.1% 91.2% 11.7% 211.0% 46.0% 51.0% 58.7% 38.6% 10.9% -16.5% 86.3% -6.2% -6.1% -18.8% 18.3% -32.1% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 37
  • 38. Study Permits—Web Interest 40,000 80,000 120,000 160,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2020-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not captured 38
  • 39. Study Permits—Web Interest May Comparison: 2024/21, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries by “Get your study permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year -150% -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan 88.8% -81.5% -2% -24.5% 223% -38.9% 219.4% -38.7% 15.4% -12.7% -20% 208.7% -34.4% -56.2% -68.6% -50.2% -40.7% -20.9% -29.7% -63.1% -43.9% -62.8% -22.2% -30.7% -61.6% -30.1% -51.9% -34.3% -29.2% -45% May 2024/23 May 2024-22 Full year 2023/18 39
  • 41. Settlement—By Service—2018-23 Pre-Arrival and In Canada Services 68,750 137,500 206,250 275,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Pre-Arrival Information & Orientation Needs & Assets Assessment, Referrals Employment Related Services Information & Orientation Services Community Connections Language Assessment Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement 41
  • 42. Settlement Services Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 Pre-Arrival Info & Orientation Needs, Assets & Referrals Employment Related Information & Orientation Community Connections Language Assessment Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement -110% -32.5% 45% 122.5% 200% -96.7% 14.8% 143% 48.8% 68.6% 20.5% 29.9% 8.1% 36.3% -92.3% 162.8% 192.4% 197.9% 88.0% 53.2% 62.5% 39.1% 45.2% -97.2% -3.3% 16.2% 36.6% 41.7% 22.5% 20.9% 28.0% 20.6% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 42
  • 43. Settlement Services—By Region—2018-23 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 43
  • 44. Settlement Services by Citizenship Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 Top 10, 2018 base year -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Syria China India Philippines Iraq Eritrea Iran PakistanAfghanistan Somalia 40% 400.8% -2.3% 2.4% 49.6% -34.9% -42% 2.1% -16.8% -23.5% 34.3% 217.6% 16.2% 15.1% 40.7% -12.5% -6% 30.7% 12.7% -6.7% 20.7% 36.4% 8.4% 13.2% 21.3% -12.1% -4.2% 10.3% 5% -2.4% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 44
  • 45. Settlement Services Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 -35% -17.5% 0% 17.5% 35% 52.5% 70% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 29.8% 38.7% 28.7% 15.8% 28.3% -27.5% 64.7% -18.6% -21.7% -16.5% -24.0% -16.9% -20.6% -5.8% 47.0% 70.0% 44.1% 55.9% 47.3% 2.3% 53.0% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 45
  • 47. Citizenship Applications—2018-23 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Number: Red line is 3-month moving average 47
  • 48. New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-24 Numbers 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 48
  • 49. New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-24 Percentage 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 49
  • 50. Citizenship by Country of Birth April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 -200% -50% 100% 250% 400% Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France 115% 52.4% 7.5% 81.9% 224.5% 41.6% 28.6% 6.9% 302.4% 86.9% 26.2% -30.9% -37% -16.6% -4.5% -22.7% 53% -21.6% 69.2% -12.9% 325.8% 34.9% 9.6% 160.7% 25.6% 70.8% 186.6% 68.1% 146.3% 134.6% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 50
  • 52. Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-24 75,000 150,000 225,000 300,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other 52
  • 53. Visitor Visas—By Source Country April Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/23, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -200% 0% 200% 400% 600% 800% China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia -8.9% 152.9% 163.3% 71.3% 46.1% -37.3% -1.5% 58% 76.7% -52% 39.9% 576.6% 159.5% 160.9% 378.9% 223.5% 26.5% 750.8% 223.5% 528% 170.2% -42.6% -3.5% 185.5% 31.1% 105.2% 39.8% 42.1% 53.9% 25.4% April 2024/23 April 2024/22 Full year 2023/18 53 Note: Russia no longer in top 25
  • 54. Research Questions 54 • Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries were most a ff ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries recovered more quickly? • Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source country? • Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or tensions with China a factor? • Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for which countries?
  • 56. Top Countries Share of Total (2018) 10 Countries 25 Countries Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7% IMP 70.8% 86.4% TFWP 85.2% 93.2% Study Permits 70.3% 73.8% Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4% Citizenship 50.3% 71.5% 56
  • 57. Top Countries (2018) Permanent Residents IMP TFWP Students Settlement Citizenship India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647 Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486 China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037 Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718 Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406 USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398 Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229 France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115 Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951 UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915 Saudi Arabia 2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836 57
  • 58. Data Sources • PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries • TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category • Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O ffi ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking), Claim O ffi ce Type and Claim Year • TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective • Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Study permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for New Study Permit Applications • Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table • Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month • Web: Provided by IRCC • 2018 is used as baseline 58