The US elections of 2024

Our coverage of the race for the White House

Our poll tracker and forecast model

Donald Trump has a three in four chance of winning the election

Our forecast model finds Mr Trump has a clear lead over Joe Biden

Trump v Biden: who’s ahead in the polls?

The Economist is tracking the race to be America’s next president


Latest coverage

J.D. Vance is now the heir apparent to the MAGA movement

What Donald Trump’s vice-presidential pick suggests about how he would govern

The attack on Donald Trump unleashes a flood of misinformation

The left thinks the shooting was just a performance; the right sees an inside job. Will the truth matter?


Fortunately, Donald Trump’s would-be killer failed. What next?

Politicians should try to lower the political temperature


Donald Trump survives an assassination attempt

The shooting is a dark turn in an already chaotic presidential campaign

Gretchen Whitmer would like to be America’s first woman president

Could abortion rights and “fixing the damn roads” take Michigan’s governor to the White House?

The disorganisation of the Democratic rebels against Joe Biden

Why the party is failing to mount a concerted push to replace its nominee

Joe Biden is failing to silence calls that he step aside



Republicans

The Republicans’ policy platform previews the coming campaign

Social conservatives and fiscal hawks will be disappointed. Opponents of immigration will not

Donald Trump’s return is making Hollywood nervous

News and politics are being left out of the streaming boom


A second Trump term: from unthinkable to probable

Introducing our 2024 American election forecast model


What Donald Trump’s 34 convictions mean for the presidential election

Come election season, it could be Hunter Biden’s trial that hogs the headlines

Republicans are favoured to win the Senate. What would they do?

Congressional Republicans are already considering the art of the possible

What Republicans make of Donald Trump’s conviction

The party is never as unified as when its members are defending the former president



Democrats

How do you solve a problem like Joe Biden?

The uproar over his candidacy reveals dysfunction afflicting both major parties

Why Biden must withdraw

The president and his party portray themselves as the saviours of democracy. Their actions say otherwise



Joe Biden is fooling only himself

A president who prides himself on the common touch is insulting everyone’s common sense



Lexington

Politics is the law in Texas

A governor’s pardon implies that courts cannot be trusted, just as Donald Trump says


Why the Republicans will convene in a forge of American socialism

Donald Trump has made gains with Wisconsin’s working class, but Joe Biden could still win there


Joe Biden is practising some Clintonian politics

But he needs to do more than crack down on “junk fees” to woo swing voters

Truth Social is a mind-bending win for Donald Trump

And disturbing evidence of how he destabilises reality for Americans

Are American progressives making themselves sad?

Conservatives seem more excited about change



What’s at stake

What the Chevron ruling means for the next US president

The Supreme Court weakened regulators and created uncertainty, inviting a “tsunami of lawsuits”

How America’s presidential debates are changing this year

Will the Trump-Biden showdowns be an institution’s last gasp, or a new start?


Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast


America’s billionaires should resist the urge to support Donald Trump

A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks



Newsletters

The US in brief

Our daily analysis of the US political news that matters

Checks and Balance

A weekly newsletter taking a broad look at the state of American democracy