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5 questions with no upvoted or accepted answers
8 votes
0 answers
302 views

Time evolution of a Bayesian posterior

I have a question regarding the time evolution of a quantity related to a Bayesian posterior. Suppose we have binary parameter space $\{ s_1, s_2 \}$ with prior $(p, 1-p)$, The data generating ...
Michael's user avatar
  • 3,348
2 votes
1 answer
88 views

Regarding the bayes rule derivation of posterior distribution, $p(\omega|x,y),$ for a given dataset $D$ over $\omega.$

So I was going through this paper and under Uncertainty modeling it says So I tried deriving it on my own and I got $p(\omega | X, Y) = \frac{p(Y | X, \omega) \cdot p(X,\omega)}{p(Y | X) \cdot P(X)}$ ...
mutli-arm-bandit's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
186 views

When does this prior dominate likelihood?

This is a simple Bayesian inference problem, where we are trying to infer some weight parameter $w$. Our posterior distribution is $$ P\propto \exp\left(-\frac{1}{\sigma^2} w^Tw\right) \exp\left(-f(w)\...
CWC's user avatar
  • 281
2 votes
0 answers
161 views

How does Bayes' rule on two exponentials suggest a sigmoid?

In Platt's 1999 paper on turning support vector machine output into a probabilistic score, he says Bayes rule on two exponentials suggests using a parametric form of a sigmoid where he cites this ...
user1717828's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
394 views

Why logit transformed binomial proportion is approximately normal?

What is the argument to prove asymptotic normality of logit transformed of binomial proportion which follows Beta distribution? $\theta$ has beta prior and model $y|\theta$ follows $Binom(\theta,n)$. ...
user45765's user avatar
  • 1,445