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5 questions with no upvoted or accepted answers
6 votes
0 answers
3k views

How to trade the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process?

My question comes from this paper, which is a short version of Avellaneda's paper The picture bellow provides a summary of the equations. Do I understand correctly that in order to trade OU process I ...
Artem Korol's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
767 views

What is a stochastic processes which reasonably captures commodity price dynamics?

What stochastic processes (and corresponding probability distributions) empirically capture spot/forward commodity prices and forward term structures? Background I want to use discounted cash flow ...
David Addison's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
2k views

How to incorporate momentum in Ornstein Uhlenbeck to capture overshooting in financial markets?

In modelling asset prices, it is a good idea to model it using a fair value or target price concept. Recently Carr & Prado explored this idea to find optimal stop loss/take profit levels when the ...
Aian 's user avatar
  • 31
1 vote
0 answers
38 views

Stochastic process with determinstic frequency of regime changes

Suppose that I have an OU process. For instance, assume that I want to model the interest rates. Suppose that regime change is known ex ante, and is deterministic in terms of frequency (For instance, ...
alexbougias's user avatar
  • 1,426
0 votes
0 answers
200 views

Exact value of mean reversion rate knowing terminal value of the process

Let you have the following mean reverting process: $\text{d}x_{t}=a(\theta-x_{t})\text{d}t$, where the diffusion term is absent, that is this process is not stochastic. Let you know the value of $\...
Lisa Ann's user avatar
  • 2,133