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1 vote
1 answer
559 views

Simulating exponential Vasicek/Ornstein-Uhlenbeck

I am trying to simulate commodity prices using the exponential Vasicek/Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model from Schwartz 1997 p. 926 Equation (1). I am using the closed form solution from Vega 2018 p. 5 Equation ...
Tharmis's user avatar
  • 21
1 vote
1 answer
313 views

Estimating Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process drift

What is the easiest way to obtain a drift parameter of O-U process given I have $\mu$? Is it ok to linearize the O-U process like so: $P_{t} = \mu + \phi(P_{t-1}-\mu)+\xi_t$ Form vectors from historic ...
spacemonkey's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
767 views

What is a stochastic processes which reasonably captures commodity price dynamics?

What stochastic processes (and corresponding probability distributions) empirically capture spot/forward commodity prices and forward term structures? Background I want to use discounted cash flow ...
David Addison's user avatar
6 votes
0 answers
3k views

How to trade the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process?

My question comes from this paper, which is a short version of Avellaneda's paper The picture bellow provides a summary of the equations. Do I understand correctly that in order to trade OU process I ...
Artem Korol's user avatar