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23 questions with no upvoted or accepted answers
3 votes
0 answers
111 views

Primer for mathematical models of epidemics

In a comment to my recent MO question Robert Israel wrote: "Mathematical models of epidemics are well-established. Of course we'd like to know the parameters (and to what extent something can be done ...
Gil Kalai's user avatar
  • 1,133
2 votes
1 answer
98 views

What is the probability that a marble from the urn has been picked up by exactly $n$ people?

An urn starts with $m$ marbles and is then approached by $p$ people, each of which picks up $k$ marbles, discarding one and returning the rest to the urn. The urn now has $m - p$ marbles remaining. ...
SRobertJames's user avatar
  • 4,450
2 votes
0 answers
45 views

The law of large numbers

I'm currently writing a dissertation on the law of large numbers. The 4th chapter is on the real-life applications of the laws themselves. I have found applications for the laws in general but would ...
Victoria Grace Jones's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
46 views

Probability someone never gets promoted?

I was doing some simulations on societal structures. For example, given a population, with a heirachy of N levels. e.g. one prime-minister, 10 cabinet members, 100 MPs, and so on. Let $P$ be the ...
zooby's user avatar
  • 4,425
2 votes
0 answers
45 views

Probability to be overtaken on circuit

I'm running on a treadmill in the gym and use the software (provided) which basically enables me to see other people running around me in the virtual race arena (standard 400 m circuit). I'm running ...
dEmigOd's user avatar
  • 3,330
1 vote
0 answers
145 views

Is one SAT guessing strategy better than another?

The context is this paragraph from my SAT & ACT Prep book on page 11. "There is one thing to keep in mind: Pick one letter for the SAT or a two-letter combo for the ACT and stick to it ...
Some Guy's user avatar
  • 2,685
1 vote
0 answers
31 views

Empirical application for probability of $h$-deranged permutations

Background For $n \in \mathbb{N}$ distinct items, there are a total of $n!$ permutations of them. A derangement is a permutation in which not a single item is in its 'natural position'. The number of ...
Galen's user avatar
  • 1,876
1 vote
0 answers
28 views

Probability of stripes being distinguishable given probability density functions for each luminance

I have an image with seven stripes on it (or three stripes on a dark background), and the goal is to estimate the probability of whether they are distinguishable from one another. If the values of ...
Glinka's user avatar
  • 3,212
1 vote
0 answers
35 views

Auctions - Placing Points to get into Classes

At my university there are not enough places in every class to accommodate every student. The scheme the university set up to solve this problem is as follows: Each student gets $1000$ points per ...
Moritz_st's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
33 views

Estimation of the law $Z_{1000}/\sqrt{1000}$ with an histogram (+ asymptotic positions)

We consider a sequence $A_n$ of subsets of $\mathbb{Z}$. At the step $n$, a particle is thrown at the origin and is moving until it goes out of $A_n$ by a point $X$. The particle is moving at the ...
Mélanie De la Cheminée's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
111 views

Probability distribution of the number of heterozygous sites

We'll consider a stretch of DNA on a chromosome and we'll be looking at specific sites that are at certain distances on from the others. The distance between any two sites is express in centiMorgan (...
Remi.b's user avatar
  • 1,615
0 votes
0 answers
43 views

Probability that random variables with multinomial distribution have a common divisor greater than 1

Consider an election in which $k$ candidates compete: Let $N_{i}$ denote the number of votes for candidate $i$ in the election. How can we reasonably estimate the probability that the number of votes ...
Amir's user avatar
  • 8,424
0 votes
0 answers
45 views

Formula like Elo rating but for games where the outcome is numeric?

I'm working on a problem that involves ranking based on pairwise comparisons (it's for a scientific problem, not actually for games). My comparisons return a numerical score (in practice roughly ...
Alex I's user avatar
  • 173
0 votes
0 answers
32 views

Probability analysis in passengers taking trains in a FCFS way under capacity constraint

Suppose there are two trains: Train 1 and Train 2 have different departure times ($t_1$ and $t_2$) and capacities ($c_1$ and $c_2$). There are two types of passengers, Type 1 with $d_1$ passengers ...
Yuzhen Feng's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
176 views

Lifetime with exponential and Poisson distribution

The lifetime of an electronic device is a rv with exponential distribution ($\mu=1/10$). In a normal week, the hours that the device is used is a rv with Poisson distribution ($\lambda=12$). Calculate ...
Bayesian guy's user avatar

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