Sustainable Suburbs: From Drivable Suburbanism to Walkable Urbanism
- 1. Sustainable Suburbs
From Drivable Suburbanism to
Walkable Urbanism
Jim Houk, ASLA, AICP
February 3, 2010
- 2. Agenda
• How did we get here: Town Planning 101
• Trends: Where do we go from here?
• “Back to the Future”
• Best Practices
• What Can We Do?
• Questions
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- 3. HOW DID WE GET INTO THIS MESS?
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- 4. Town Planning 101
Farm City, c. 1800
The American Dream: “40 acres and a mule.”
Historical City mid
1800’s
Radiant City; Le Corbusier, 1922
Garden City; Ebenezer Howard, 1902
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- 5. How We Got Here
• 1939 World’s Fair “Futurama”
The wondrous world of 1960
The “new American Dream”
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- 6. Levittown, 1948
The First Mall: Southdale, Minnesota, 1956
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- 7. Industrial Economy
• 1970: 30-40% off all jobs in the U.S. were
associated with building the car or things
associated with the car
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- 9. • 30% of all developed land in the U.S. was
developed between 1982 and 2001
Population vs. Urban land Growth
60
50
40
Urbanized
% Increase 30 Land Increase
Population
20 Increase
10
0
West South NE MW
Region
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- 10. • Since 1950, U.S. cities consume gasoline
at a rate per capita of 2-1/2 times
European and Asian cities
Gigajoules of gasoline used per capita, 1990
60 55.8
50
40 33.6 U.S Cities
30.9 Australian Cities
30 Canadian Cities
European Cities
20 14.2 Asian Cities
10 6.3
0
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- 14. • 40% – 60% of Obesity is caused by a
lack of walkability in communities
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- 15. U.S. and Ohio Population Trends
• The U.S. Population will increase by 50% between the
years 2000 and 2050
• Between now and 2030, over 570,000 new residents will
join the Columbus metro area
• Over 110,000 current housing units will need to be
replaced
• We will also be creating a new phenomena: suburban
S.F. slums with homes <5 years old,
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- 16. Where Do We Go From
Here?
35 -40 % of all suburban
s.f. mort
Is it time for a
new way of
thinking?
- 17. Overcoming
The Fear
Of Change
The problems we
have created
cannot be
solved with the
same thinking
that created
them…
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- 19. Thinking Differently
“…the possible benefits of
required seatbelts would
not justify the costs to the
manufacturers and the
public.”
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
1970
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- 20. Changes in People
• The most significant trend in the US is the
growing amount of the national population that
is 65 years or older.
• 2000 Census Data: 12% of population is 65 or
older
• By 2030: To be more than 20% (71.4 million
Americans)
• This affects everything!
• Uses of space
• Distribution of wealth
• Transportation (drive fewer miles, public
transportation…)
• Public services
• Dependency on public programs
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- 21. Baby Boomers
• Born 1946-1964, 28% of the population
• Mostly in the suburbs
• Highest Median Incomes
• Excessive spending on themselves
rather than future generations
• Becoming empty nesters
• Age Denial
• Looking for changes in housing needs
• 1 to 2 person households
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- 22. Generation X’ers
• Born 1965-1976, “baby bust”, 48
million
• Reject status and social climbing
• Consumer and media savvy
• Credited with revitalizing downtown
areas
• This is the first generation to
abandon suburban living and return
to the cities.
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- 23. Generation Y – The Millennials
• Born 1977-1990 to 2000; 70
million
• Simpler Living
• Looking for rental in urban
environment
• Not tied to jobs - Flexible
• Want good design
• Higher Percentage of 1 to 2
people households
• More focused on health and
environment
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- 24. CONCLUSIONS?
• 50% of Households in 1950s w/ children
• 30% of Households w/ children today,67%
without
• ONLY 14% of new households over next 20
years will have children; 86% without
• What product are we building?
• Will it be what the market wants?
The market wants more options.
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- 25. Survey Says…
• Common Ground
• trend away from “drivable sub- urbanism” to
“walkable urbanism”
• More densely developed areas are ‘desirable’…
• Consists of shops, offices, services, housing
units all mixed together (Mixed-Use)
• Walkability is strongly associated with higher
housing values in nearly all (US) metropolitan
areas
• Focus on Entertainment
• Parks, public space are very important
• Focus recreation and exercise…
• Cool places to live and work
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- 26. Change in Business
• The good news…
• Ohio Growth Sectors over the last 10 years are:
• Entertainment
• Dining and lodging
• Health care and social assistance
• Services – professional, technical, other…
• The bad news… Central Ohio has lost 17% of all retail
jobs since 2001…
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- 27. Change in Business
• Other trend tidbits affecting the ‘biz-
world’…
• 80% of all companies are smaller than 20 people
• Office condominiums gaining popularity
• Efficient and integrated uses of buildings and
land
• Walkable environment
• Flexible space
• Technology based
• Cool space
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- 28. Changes in Education
• Our Third Wave: ‘The Knowledge
Economy’
• Over one billion users of the internet
with a growth rate of 15% per
MONTH…
• 60% of the school age kids will be
working in future jobs yet to be
created
• Focusing on creative workers and
leaders
• Successful communities will be those
that place a premium on cultural,
ethnic, and artistic creativity
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- 29. Changes in Shopping
• Retail sales have grown only four percent
in the past 10 years (down over 50%
over the last year)
• Internet sales have grown by 20 percent
• Consolidation among department stores
(downsizing and advertising to a larger
regional radius)
• Many “big box” developments have
closed
• The pool of retail tenants who might
anchor new malls has reduced by 50%
• Targeted selling on narrowly defined
segmented of the population
Ethnic
Age
Social goals (‘made from recycled
materials’)
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- 30. Changes in Shopping
The Town Center Experience
The Mall
• Lifestyle retailing or “Lifestyle
Centers”
Shopping/Entertainment
Enhanced pedestrian amenities
Landscaping
Outdoor dining
Quality Architecture/Scale
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- 31. Market Opportunities
• Trending toward job and housing cluster in Town
Center districts to take advantage of infrastructure
(…utility, roads, etc.)
• To create ‘urban’ walkable places (parks and
public space as the spine that connects everything
to everything else)
• Opportunity for entertainment, cultural and
recreational activity, people crave social
interaction…
• Retail/Office focuses on “Town Center”
atmosphere (begins to feed itself)
• Attract small merchants that focus on providing
‘personal-touch’ service and atmosphere that is
unique
• THE MARKET WANTS MORE OPTIONS!
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- 32. Where do we go from here?
RETAIL
+ OFFICE
+ RESIDENTIAL
+ PUBLIC SPACE
= MIXED-USE
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- 33. Future Office Development Trends
• The best and the brightest thrive in lively, mixed-use
settings (attracts the best and brightest talent)
• Latest technology trumps biggest office in brave new
corporate world
• Savvy employers offer flexibility to boost work
productivity
• Medical office segments shines as boomers age
• Communities strategically deploy resources to attract
targeted industry clusters (incentives)
• Cities chase economic development ever more
vigorously (direct competition with other surrounding
communities)
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- 34. Future Retail Development Trends
• Retail vacancies in Ohio remain above national
average
• The Fall of the Mall
• Developers look past demographics to tap into
“lifestyles”
• “Mixed-Use” is now first choice instead of fallback
option
• Retail economy shifts toward service industry
• Communities throughout state revitalize
downtowns to preserve their history, culture,
sense of place… through retail… (incomplete
answer)
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- 35. Future Housing Trends
• Problems in suburban single family sector impact overall housing
industry in Ohio
• 40% of suburban Single-Family mortgages will be upside-down in
the next year
• Suburban sprawl threatens Ohio’s way of life
• Homes within walkable distance to mixed-use urban areas will
maintain the highest value
• Multifamily / Rental craze sweeps urban areas, including downtowns
• Boomers become (gasp!) seniors
• What women really want…
• Today’s renters are tomorrow’s owners
• “Gray” Power
• Diversity is community’s middle name
• Public policy leverages private investments in housing stock
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- 37. Best Practices In Suburbia
• “Redevelopment of Core Town Centers
• Suburban Mall / Big Box Redevelopment
• Greenfield Development
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- 49. So how do we create “sustainable
suburbs” ?
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- 54. Sustainable Suburbs…
…Create great public spaces and
event to connect their citizens.
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- 55. Sustainable Suburbs Have…
…Multi‐Modal Networks and well designed
transportation systems.
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- 59. People / Planet
Lifestyle
Suburban
Sustainability
Economy /
Prosperity
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