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Assessing Emerging Technology and FuturesAssessing Emerging Technology and Futures
Capacity for Your OrganizationCapacity for Your Organization
Presented by: Bryan Alexander
1. Introductions
2. Delphi method
3. Environmental scanning
4. Trend analysis
5. Scenarios
6. Implementation in your organization
Plan for the workshopPlan for the workshop
"Assessing Emerging Technology and Futures Capacity for Your Organization
1. Cold War: RAND and Shell
2. Growth of futures/futurology
3. Business, government
Historical sketchHistorical sketch

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This presentation, in slightly modified forms, was presented by myself to education audiences in Canada, Israel, Norway and the UK in spring 2007. See my blog at terrya.edublogs.org for more details

• Assemble experts
• Structured queries
• Reiterated assessments
2. Delphi method
"Assessing Emerging Technology and Futures Capacity for Your Organization
1. Introductions
2. Delphi method
3. Environmental scanning
4. Trend analysis
5. Scenarios
6. Implementation in your organization
Plan for the workshopPlan for the workshop
Horizon ReportsHorizon Reports
Higher EducationHigher Education
K-12 EducationK-12 Education
MuseumsMuseums
LibrariesLibraries
European Union (K-12)European Union (K-12)
Latin America (Higher Ed)Latin America (Higher Ed)
Regional/Sector TechnologyRegional/Sector Technology
OutlooksOutlooks
Australia / New Zealand / BrazilAustralia / New Zealand / Brazil
Ireland / UK / Norway / Singapore / AsiaIreland / UK / Norway / Singapore / Asia
China / Scandinavia / Int’l SchoolsChina / Scandinavia / Int’l Schools
Training / eLearning / STEM / Community CollegesTraining / eLearning / STEM / Community Colleges
The NMC Horizon
Project
55 Editions55 Editions
75+75+
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"Assessing Emerging Technology and Futures Capacity for Your Organization
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The document summarizes key findings from the 2008 Speak Up survey on how students, teachers, parents, and administrators view emerging technologies in classrooms. Some major findings include: - Students are highly interested in using their own mobile devices, laptops, and online learning opportunities in schools. - Parents and students show lukewarm satisfaction with technology use and resources in schools. - Students see a need for fewer restrictions on technology use at school. - Online learning and interactive digital content are of strong interest to students.

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Person: Authoring and Exploring Vast Narratives (MIT,
2009)
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Education and learning is probably that single phenomenon that has the greatest impact on humans and societies, in particular in a long-term perspective (OECD 2014). Grand challenge number one is to breach the trend preventing developing countries, in particular South of Everyone aspiring for higher education should have the right to affordable access. This is grand challenge number two. And it cannot be met without open education and technology enhanced learning.Sahara, taking part in the global knowledge revolution. Three messages: • Senior management in education needs to innovate from within to open up education. • Governments must take firm decision on holistic policies for open and distance education. • Stakeholders should team up meeting the two grand challenges through open education and technology enhanced learning.

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