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Questions tagged [sequential-analysis]

Hypothesis testing without a fixed sample size.

2 votes
0 answers
19 views

Distribution of tuples in chaotic sequences

I study infinite aperiodic sequences like Thue-Morse. Simple substitution rules allow you to get even more complex. I'm interested in the distribution of tuples in such sequences. For example, in Thue-...
lesobrod's user avatar
  • 253
0 votes
0 answers
24 views

Lower threshold for Sequential Probability Ratio Test on Contingency Table testing

For testing whether a die is fair, we have the log likelihood ratio: $$ \Lambda = \frac{1}{2} \sum_{i} \mathrm{observed}_i \log\left(\frac{\mathrm{observed}_i}{\mathrm{expected}_i}\right). $$ Suppose ...
shabbychef's user avatar
  • 14.9k
2 votes
0 answers
18 views

How to read and use equations for confidence interval from sequential testing

in the book "Group Sequential and Confirmatory Adaptive Designs in Clinical Trials" by Wasmer and Brannath - they explain on p.85 how to calculate a confidence interval. They consider a ...
clog14's user avatar
  • 231
2 votes
0 answers
39 views

Sequential analysis - adjusting effect size

I am aware that sequential testing is risky, but it makes sense for me to do it anyway. So, I would like to read up, to do it properly. My idea (which is probably not new): In my reality, the true ...
W_vH's user avatar
  • 339
2 votes
0 answers
16 views

Looking to extract patterns from sequences of codes

I have the following problem: I have a registration of people who enter a building, I have the name, entry date and end date. I also have the times at which events occur inside the building. I want to ...
slow_learner's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
36 views

Techniques for Stopping a Diagnostic Study for Safety

I'm working with a group of physicians who are interested in evaluating a new diagnostic tool for detecting colon cancer in older patients. The gold standard to detect colon cancer is with a ...
Demetri Pananos's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
71 views

How to pick the winner in the "Play the Winner" treatment assignment scheme (Urn model)

"Play the winner" is an intutitive procedure whereby successful treatments in earlier trials have a higher probability of being assigned in later trials. Quoting https://online.stat.psu.edu/...
Ben Ogorek's user avatar
  • 5,417
2 votes
1 answer
281 views

Sample size for 2-arm 2-stage trial: R package Trialsize vs rpact vs gsDesign

Which sample size calculation is correct? Intended design: Superiority two-arm trial between drug A (intervention) vs drug B (comparator), outcome is binomial (response or no response to treatment), ...
saifulsafuan's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
39 views

prior distribution for iid gaussian, with a known variance

I have been reading Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning by Bishop, and I have a question regarding the prior distribution of an iid Gaussian with known variance. The relationship $\dfrac{n}{\...
cgo's user avatar
  • 9,217
0 votes
0 answers
42 views

PRML: Why does the sequential estimation algorithm of normal parameters use $X_N$ but $X_{n-1}$?

I'm reading sequential estimation section 2.3.5 PRML where Bishop introduces Robbins-Monro algorithm to calculate the root of $f(\theta) = E z | \theta = \int zp(z|\theta) dz, (z, \theta) \sim p(z, \...
Chia's user avatar
  • 43
3 votes
1 answer
60 views

Can't reproduce closed form expression from sequential testing

I've been trying to implement and extend some results from the papers "Always Valid Inference" and "Peeking at A/B Tests". The authors provide a closed form expression of the "...
user2844936's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
45 views

Identifying synchrony across individual time series

We are working with some time series data that look like the following: We have three individuals (a1,a2,a3) and then several observations at regular time-intervals. Here, we have 12 time intervals. ...
jalapic's user avatar
  • 379
1 vote
0 answers
79 views

Understanding the Sequential Probability Ratio Test

I am trying to understand how to apply SPRT to the following case. Random variable $X$ is exponentially distributed according to $f(x, \theta)$. Test the following hypotheses $$ H_0 : \theta \ge \...
chuck1's user avatar
  • 111
4 votes
2 answers
143 views

How are group sequential analysis, random walks, and Brownian motion related?

Assume that I am planning a clinical trial comparing two groups using a binary outcome. I will do the $\chi^2$ test after 3 equal enrollment intervals: interim test #1 after $m_1$ enrollments in ...
Mkanders's user avatar
  • 346
0 votes
1 answer
81 views

Can you use Multilevel Modeling (aka Hierarchical Linear Modeling) with Sequential Linear Modeling?

I have a question regarding the use of Multilevel Modeling (aka Hierarchical Linear Modeling) with Sequential Linear Modeling. I am trying to perform Sequential Linear Modeling (with a binary outcome) ...
Sam16's user avatar
  • 11

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