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0 votes
1 answer
153 views

Dependence through an unknown parameter?

Consider an urn from which we sample with replacement. Let $\pi$ represent the proportion of the urn's balls that are black, with the remainder being white. From a frequentist perspective, each ...
Trisoloriansunscreen's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
9 views

Bayesian network extracting further conditional independence statements then just from d-separation theorem

Given a Bayesian network $(p,\mathcal{G})$, where $p$ is our joint distribution, and $\mathcal{G}$ is a DAG. Then by the d-separation theorem we can deduce conditional independence statements, in ...
Dylan Dijk's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
118 views

Borel-Cantelli lemma on conditional probabilities

In a probability space $\big( \Omega, \mathcal{F}, P \big)$, suppose $\{E_n\}_{n\in \mathbb{N}} \subseteq \mathcal{F}$ is a sequence of mutually independent events. By Borel-Cantelli Lemma, the ...
Sanae Kochiya's user avatar
11 votes
2 answers
2k views

A and B are independent. Does P(A ∩ B|C) = P(A|C) · P(B|C) hold?

Let $C$, $B$, and $A$ be events in the same probability space, such that $A$ and $B$ are independent and $P(A \cap C) > 0$, $P(B \cap C) > 0$. Prove or disprove: $P(A \cap B|C) = P(A|C)P(B|C).$
user406596's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
66 views

Two random variables X1 and X2 may be partially dependent i.e. X1 is independent of X2 but X2 is dependent on X1?

$X(t)$ is a stochastic process defined on the time interval $(0,T)$. Discretizing the time interval one can specify a random variable $X(t_i)$ as: $$t_0= 0 < t_1,t_2,...,t_{n−1},t_n=T$$ And may be ...
Adrian Daniliuc's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
24 views

Is the following conditional density function equivalent to its unconditional counterpart? [duplicate]

Suppose we have a stochastic series $\{X_t\in\mathbb{R}, t=1,\cdots, T\}$. Further suppose that $G(X_t)=\mathbf{1}_{X_t\geq 0}$ where $\mathbf{1}$ is an indicator function. Can it be concluded that ...
Carl's user avatar
  • 1,226
0 votes
0 answers
22 views

A question of "elementary imsets" in an ADMG

In [The m-connecting imset and factorization for ADMG models] (https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2207.08963), it was mentioned the notation of an "elementary imset". The definition of ...
weihua li's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
101 views

Does this independence property hold?

Let $x \sim N(\mu_x,\Sigma_x)$ and $v \sim N(0,\Sigma_v)$ be independent multivariate Gaussian random vectors, and let $$y = Ax + v$$ for some square matrix $A$ such that $y \sim N(A\mu_x, A\Sigma_xA^...
mhdadk's user avatar
  • 5,120
3 votes
1 answer
144 views

What does conditional independence mean semantically?

I've just spent the last 3 hours reading every post, question, Medium article, and textbook entry on conditional independence, and I still don't really understand it. Can somebody explain what it ...
NaiveBae's user avatar
  • 257
0 votes
1 answer
83 views

Is it always possible to find a joint distribution $p(x_1,x_2,x_3,x_4)$ consistent with these local conditional distributions?

I am currently studying Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning by David Barber, the 4th chapter exercise 4.1 (p 79). The exercise is the following: Exercise 4.1 Consider the pairwise Markov network, ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
1 vote
3 answers
296 views

Prove or disprove : $P[A|B] = P[B]$, the A and B are independent? Is this right?

SOrry if this is extremely easy. I did the following but I'm a little bit unsure about it: Let $A=B$, and $P[A]>0$. Then $$P[A|A] = P[A]$$ But A is not independent with itself: $$P[AA] = P[A] \neq ...
2019 Act RAMIREZ TINOCO JUAN C's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
88 views

Conditional independence proof

I want to prove that $\mathbb{P}(X|U,P) = \mathbb{P}(X|U) \implies \mathbb{P}(X|U,P,T) = \mathbb{P}(X|U,T)$ Where all the letters denote random variables. I'm not sure that this is right, but it seems ...
Jorge Silva's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
70 views

Not necessarily conditionally independent = dependent?

After concluding the d-separation procedure (ancestral graph -> moral graph -> removing directed links), I am left with two nodes that are connected and a conclusion that they are "not ...
confused_zoomer's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
86 views

How to show mathematically whether the following conditional relationships hold?

In the following Bayesian network, the variables $ x_{i} $ are mutually independent (let's assume that these are the positions of $N$ boats). The variables $ y_{i,j} $ are distance measurements ...
Gouz's user avatar
  • 204
0 votes
0 answers
35 views

Does independence implies independence conditionally on max of the data?

Let be $X_1, ..., X_n$ I.I.D. numerical random variables with contiunous density $f$. Note $M(X) = \max(X_1, ..., X_n)$ their maximum. Are $X_1, ..., X_n$ independent conditionally on $M(X) = x$ for ...
Pohoua's user avatar
  • 2,628

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