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14 votes
4 answers
32k views

question regarding carry & roll of a bond

I have a simple (and might be a dumb) question regarding the calculation of a bond's carry. If someone doesn't take into account cost of financing (e.g. the repo rate) then the bond's approximate ...
Daniel's user avatar
  • 233
12 votes
1 answer
3k views

Pricing Treasury futures

I've recently learned that at the delivery of Treasury futures the short side can decide which of the $n$ Treasury bonds (with relevant maturities) to deliver. If the short side chooses to deliver the ...
Ulysses's user avatar
  • 1,484
12 votes
3 answers
13k views

How to calculate US treasury total return from yield?

I'm struggling to understand the meaning of US treasury total return. What is easily available to get is yield data. Yield can be directly translated to the bond price at that time. In other words, ...
J. Lee's user avatar
  • 123
11 votes
6 answers
15k views

What are some of the best textbooks on Fixed Income securities?

I'm looking for something that might be considered the 'Bible' of fixed income. Ideally it would contain everything from the basics of PV and discounting cash flows all the way up to some of the most ...
ODP's user avatar
  • 263
9 votes
1 answer
512 views

Why can CDS indices be used as a bond market index?

I don't understand why the iTraxx indices family, which are credit default swap indices, are in practice often used to gauge the bond market. How are CDS prices related to bonds prices? And what other ...
Sithered's user avatar
  • 808
9 votes
1 answer
1k views

Bond convexity Treasuries futures

I know that long-duration bonds, on a a single bond basis, exhibit convexity. However, do Treasuries futures prices and the 10 year yield exhibit the same property? Below is a plot of continuous 10 ...
jessica's user avatar
  • 2,108
9 votes
1 answer
1k views

Issue with OLS Regression for Nelson Siegel Svensson parameters

I have been working on getting input parameters to the Non-Linear Optimization which gives the Nelson Siegel Svensson model parameters and am carrying out the OLS regression as described in this ...
Jojo's user avatar
  • 845
8 votes
1 answer
7k views

Pricing a FixedRateBond in Quantlib: yield vs TermStructure

I am trying to price a simple U.S. treasury in QuantLib, using two methods. The first method calls FixedRatebond.dirtyPrice(...), passing in a YTM and other parameters. The second method involves ...
nickos556's user avatar
  • 193
7 votes
7 answers
1k views

Investment Grade Bond vs Junk Bond, whose duration is larger?

Just wondering how to calculate duration when take credit risk into consideration. I think if duration is calculated as weighted average of cashflow time, and weights are calculated using present ...
Genie's user avatar
  • 171
7 votes
1 answer
973 views

Definition of gearings, spreads and curve in RQuantLib's Floating Rate Bond function

Consider the RQuantLib package function FloatingRateBond(). This takes as inputs gearings ...
Lisa Ann's user avatar
  • 2,133
7 votes
2 answers
685 views

How can we have negative probabilities in finance? Can we have negative payments in bonds? If not, how else can we have negative probabilities?

In Half of a Coin: Negative Probabilities, the author mentions bond duration. Suppose we have payments at times $t = 1,2,...,n$ denoted respectively by $R_1, R_2, ..., R_n$ and the discount factor is ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 923
7 votes
1 answer
387 views

difference of carry for zero coupon bonds in Pedersen and Ilmanen

I know that carry was discussed broadly on this forum but I can't get my head around the following difference. If we talk about carry / rolldown I have trouble to see the connection / differences ...
swissy's user avatar
  • 157
7 votes
1 answer
617 views

Wrong discount factors when finding Nelson Siegel Svensson model parameters

I am trying to determine the parameters for the Nelson Siegel Svensson model and am solving a Non- Linear Optimization problem to do this. Some of the code I have written is below and this is where my ...
Jojo's user avatar
  • 845
7 votes
0 answers
139 views

Predicting bond auction result. Should I train separate models for different maturity in face of Data deficiency?

Problem Statement Trying to predict how bond auction result ( in terms of yield ) is different from its forecast (the when-issued yield ). More info:http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/...
Cloud's user avatar
  • 71
6 votes
1 answer
260 views

Arbitrage with freshly issued bonds

I recently heard someone mention an arbitrage strategy involving selling freshly issued bonds and buying the "old batch" as it has shown that the liquidity in the fresh batch motivates/drives up these ...
Anonymous's user avatar
  • 123

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