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Questions tagged [probability]

For questions about probability. independence, total probability and conditional probability. For questions about the theoretical footing of probability use [tag:probability-theory]. For questions about specific probability distributions, use [tag:probability-distributions].

0 votes
1 answer
49 views

Ants on a Stick Probability Question

One hundred ants are dropped on a meter stick. Each ant is traveling either to the left or the right with constant speed 1 meter per minute. When two ants meet, they bounce off each other and reverse ...
12 votes
4 answers
576 views

Is the variance of the mean of a set of possibly dependent random variables less than the average of their respective variances?

Is the variance of the mean of a set of possibly dependent random variables less than or equal to the average of their respective variances? Mathematically, given random variables $X_1, X_2, ..., X_n$ ...
0 votes
0 answers
29 views

Mean of probability distribution

I have a probability distribution defined by the following density function: $f(k,j,n,m)=\frac{(m n)! \mathcal{S}_k^{(j)}}{(m n)^k (m n-j)!}$ (With $\mathcal{S}_k^{(j)}$ being the Stirling number of ...
3 votes
3 answers
6k views

The probability that no cup is upon a saucer of the same color

Six cups and saucers come in pairs: there are two cups and saucers that are red, white, and blue. If the cups are placed randomly onto the saucers (one each), find the probability that no cup is upon ...
0 votes
1 answer
45 views

expected value of high-low guessing game

Assume a number between 1-100 (inclusive) is chosen randomly. You then attempt to guess the number. On each guess, if you didn't get the exact number, you're told whether the guess is higher or lower ...
0 votes
0 answers
70 views

Understanding the proof of Th. 2.4, Probability in Banach spaces - Ledoux, Talagrand

I am reading the proof of Theorem 2.4 in the book "Probability in Banach spaces" by Ledoux and Talagrand. There's a lot of confusion so I really need help here. And the proof is given below....
7 votes
1 answer
2k views

Geometric distribution obtained from exponential distribution

I was trying to solve the following: Let $\lambda>0$ and $X$ a random variable with $X \sim exp(\lambda)$. Show that $Y=[X]+1$ has geometric distribution of parameter $p=1-e^{-\lambda}$, where $[x]...
198 votes
22 answers
124k views

Taking Seats on a Plane

This is a neat little problem that I was discussing today with my lab group out at lunch. Not particularly difficult but interesting implications nonetheless Imagine there are a 100 people in line to ...
4 votes
1 answer
135 views

Probability of $Y+b > X$ for iid normal variables conditioned on a rare event

I am thinking of the (imprecise) claim that a small increase in the average ability in a population results in a large increase in the ability of the exceptionally able. So I'm considering two ...
1 vote
1 answer
26 views

Poisson Question - number of signals received at station A

the question: ...
3 votes
2 answers
59 views

An urn with 5 balls.

I am trying to fully understand the difference between two very similar problems. First I will state the problems. The first I will refer to as problem A and the second I will refer to as problem B. ...
1 vote
4 answers
8k views

How can you visualize Independence with Venn Diagrams?

Imagine two events $A$ and $B$ that are not mutually exclusive, such that $P(A) = 0.3$ and $P(B)=0.4.$ Consider the Venn diagram of the two overlapping sets, and visualize moving them closer together ...
-1 votes
0 answers
10 views

Expected value of the gradient of logistic loss function to a normal distribution

Given a vector $\beta\in\mathbb{R}^d$, and a random vector $x\sim\mathbf{N}(0_d,I_{d\times d})$, that is $\{x_j\}_{j=1}^d$ are i.i.d generated from gaussian $\mathbf{N}(0,1)$, can we compute or ...
3 votes
1 answer
237 views

Finding expectation of negative powers of the standard normal distribution

Problem Suppose that $Z \sim \mathcal{N} (0, 1)$. Find $\mathbb{E}[Z^{-1}]$ and $\mathbb{E}[Z^{-\frac 1 3}]$ if they exist. My working Consider when $Z \geq 0$. Since $f_Z(z)$ is continuous at $0$ and ...
0 votes
1 answer
49 views

General rule for finding out a probability distribution

I am trying to learn about how to find the probability distribution for functions of random variables in general. Suppose we have a random variable $X$ with pdf $f_X$ and a random variable $Y$ with ...

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