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in my probability theory course, we defined a sequence of random variables $(X_i)_{i=1}^{\infty}$ to be tight if for all $\epsilon >0$, there is a constant $M$ s.th. $P(|X_n|>M) < \epsilon$ for all $n \in \mathbb{N}$.

I have seen the following criteria for tightness/non-tightness and I was wondering whether they are true or not:

  • $(X_i)_{i=1}^{\infty}$ tight if there exists $M$ s.th. lim$_{n\to \infty} P(|X_n|>M) = 0$
  • $(X_i)_{i=1}^{\infty}$ not tight if for all $M$ lim$_{n\to \infty} P(|X_n|>M)>0$

I am quite sure that the first one is right (we get the condition that the probability is smaller than $\epsilon$ for all but finitely many n and can take the maximum of all the remaining $M$ necessary for the finitely many n). For the second one I am not so sure, I was thinking that maybe we need some uniform bound, i.e. lim$_{n\to \infty}P(|X_n|>M) \geq \epsilon>0$. I know that the criterion is right if the limit is equal to 1.

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1 Answer 1

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Your first proposal is not equivalent to tightness. A family consisting of just copies of a single $N(0,1)$ random variable is tight but does not satisfy that definition. However your first proposal is sufficient, as your argument shows.

As for your second proposal, if you replace $\lim$ with $\limsup$ (which is necessary because the limit you're asking for doesn't generally even exist) then you recover the negation of the first proposal. This is a common pitfall; $\neg \left ( \lim_{n \to \infty} a_n=a \right )$ is really equivalent to $\limsup_{n \to \infty} |a_n-a|>0$, not $\lim_{n \to \infty} a_n \neq a$.

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  • $\begingroup$ For the second proposal: Is $(X_n)$ not tight if limsup$_{n\to\infty}P(|X_n|>M)>0$? (If this really is just the negation of the first proposal, this souldn't hold, as the first is only sufficient). Is there a similar statement that is sufficient to show that a sequence of RV is not tight? $\endgroup$
    – max_121
    Commented Feb 12, 2022 at 15:23
  • $\begingroup$ @max_121 Your first proposal is sufficient but not necessary for tightness. Your second proposal with $\lim$ replaced by $\limsup$ gives the negation of your first proposal, but it may or may not imply non-tightness, since the first proposal was only sufficient. I don't know a nicer criterion for tightness than the standard definition to be honest. The whole idea is that you can trap all but a little bit of the distribution of all the $X_n$ inside a non-large set. $\endgroup$
    – Ian
    Commented Feb 12, 2022 at 15:42

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