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I'm reading Shiryaev's Probability and turns out that he doesn't provide an example of how do I construct the random variable $E(\xi|G)$ where $\xi$ is an RV and $G$ is a $\sigma$-algebra. The definition is the following: The conditional expectation fo an RV $\xi$ wrt to a $\sigma$-algebra $G$ is the RV denoted by $E(\xi|G)$ meeting the criteria: 1) $E(\xi|G)$ is $G$-mesurable and 2) for all $A \in G$, holds that

$$ \int_A \xi d\mathbb{P} = \int_A E(\xi|G) d\mathbb{P}. $$

I could find and understand an example for the case where $\xi$ is discrete and $G$ is discrete and finite, but I'm having trouble to compute it by defintion when $\xi$ is continuous.

Searching the internet, I've found this example (page 43).

The example considers $\Omega=(0,1]$, the Lebesgue measure and the Borel sigma-algebra over $\Omega$ and considers $X(\omega)$ a random variable, Borel measurable. Also $G$ is the $\sigma$-algebra generated by intervals $\left(\dfrac{j-1}{n},\dfrac{j}{n}\right], j=1,2,\ldots$. The example then states that $E(X|G)$ is given by:

$$ E(X|G)(\omega) = \int_{(j-1)/n}^{j/n} X(s)ds \text{ if } \omega \in \left(\dfrac{j-1}{n},\dfrac{j}{n}\right] $$ and I can't understand why this holds. More specifically: let's assume $X(\omega)=\omega^2$. Under the same conditions of the example, how do I compute (from definition) the random variable $E(X|G)$? I'm trying to get the "step-by-step" solutions for this kind of stuff, because to me the definition is a bit blurry/abstract and books I read or consulted provide no example for that.

Now Imagine I'm dealing with the same example, but instead I'm working with the smallest $\sigma$-algebra generated by a set that is non-enumerable, say: $G= \sigma(\{\omega \in \Omega: 0 < \Omega \leq 0.5\})$ (or any other endpoints that are lie within $\Omega$. In that case, is it possible to write explicitly the random variable $E(\xi|G)$? What are the "minimum conditions" that allow me to write this RV explicitly, using the definition?

Thanks!!

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The sigma algebra generated by $(\frac {j-1} n, \frac j n], 1\leq j \leq n$ is simply the collection of all possible unions of these intervals. [This fact is true for sigma algebra generated by any countable partition of $\Omega$]. To verify that the formula given in the example for $E(X|G)$ works you only have to verify that $\int_A XdP=\int E(X|G)dP$ when $A$ is one of these intervals (because, then, it will hold for all possible unions of these intervals also). But when $A$ is one of these intervals the verification is very simple.

If $X(\omega)=\omega^{2}$ then $E(X|G)$ is the r.v. which has the constant value $\frac 1 3((\frac j n)^{2}-(\frac {j-1} n)^{2})$ on the interval $(\frac {j-1} n, \frac j n]$ for $i \leq j \leq n$.

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  • $\begingroup$ Thank you, @Kavi! This will hold for any countable union, but what if I had something non-enumerable? Like the $\sigma$-algebra generated by stg as $D=\{\omega \in \Omega: 0\leq \omega \leq 0.5\}$? Take $\Omega=(0,1]$ and $\xi(\omega) = \omega^2$ as before: can I explicitly write the random variable $E(\xi | \sigma(D))$ for this continuous case? $\endgroup$ Commented Jun 21, 2021 at 16:03
  • $\begingroup$ @YetAnotherUsr $\sigma$ algebre generated by single set $D$ is nothing but the one generated by the partition $\{D, D^{c}\}$. So this is even simpler. $\endgroup$ Commented Jun 21, 2021 at 23:14
  • $\begingroup$ Thanks!!! I'll try to do it and come back later here to hit the 'solved' mark :) $\endgroup$ Commented Jun 22, 2021 at 0:07
  • $\begingroup$ A final question: is there a condition to the form of $G$ for me to be able to write $E(\xi|G)$ in an explicit form? Like, in these cases I could write it explicitly, but the definition doesn't require explicit form, just existence of $E(\xi|G)$ following the second condition. $\endgroup$ Commented Jun 22, 2021 at 0:09
  • $\begingroup$ @YetAnotherUsr It usually take some effort to explcitly find $E(X|G)$. The only general case where I know how to compute it is when $G$ is generated by a countable partition (apart from trivialities like $X$ being measurable w.r.t. $G$ or being independent of $G$). $\endgroup$ Commented Jun 22, 2021 at 0:22

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