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The Future of ICT:
Realizing new economic
values in Content, Social
   Media and Mobility
Transformation
The global economic fabric has changed
The Future of ICT / TIME: Futurist Gerd Leonhard in Cologne (NSN)
The Future of ICT / TIME: Futurist Gerd Leonhard in Cologne (NSN)
If the misison is




        then this is a good question to ask:
 are our assumptions still valid?
Broadband Culture: The basic
Challenge - and the Opportunities

•Bundle
•Filter
•Aggregate
•Curate
•Contextualize
•Personalize
 Offer a ‘Home’
Digital Content is a major growth factor in ICT
                                                 Bundles and Flat Rates will
                                                         boost this

    Much larger potential
           (imho)




                                                   Huge potential once
                                                licensing is standardized
                                                   and 100% collective
                Source: IBM Institute for Business Value Study
Digital Content, Ud&gC & Social Media will be
the main drivers of growth in the Telecom space
In ICT / TIME, this transition means
             Getting involved with
            building a new Content
            Ecosystem
             Getting involved with
            creating Advertising 2.0
             Moving up the Foodchain
           Embracing Social Media /
           Social Business & UGC
Starting in 2009:
• Total convergence of Telecom & Web Layers
• Deep collaboration becomes the KEY
  requirement for creating new business opps
• Over-the top layers (search, social media...)
  must come down, telecoms must move up!
The Future of ICT / TIME: Futurist Gerd Leonhard in Cologne (NSN)
This is where Content resides now...
This is also where new $$ reside now...
The Future is in the

Cloud and the
  Crowd
User Enablement becomes a prime objective
http://www.flickr.com/photos/bip/
The Future of Content: Attention-based Income Explodes
             Copy Based Revenues    Attention Based Revenues

10.0




 7.5




 5.0




 2.5




  0
       Was             Is          Soon       Near Future      Mid-term Future
Music: a good example of how not to do this...
Source: kk.org




    New collective, blanket licenses for digital
   content - starting with Music - are inevitable
Copy Economy



   Access /
Usage / Sharing
  Economy
Digital Content Trends
       Music     Video     Games       Books       Mags & Print

           Percentage of Revenues from Digital Services
100%


75%


50%


25%


 0%
   2008         2009          2010          2012           2015
The Future of ICT / TIME: Futurist Gerd Leonhard in Cologne (NSN)
The biggest opportunities will
 rely on deep collaboration
   across the Ecosystem
Media &


              l
         ContenT


            a
       i
Adver-
                    Search

     c
tising

                   a
    o            i
     ‘Social’
  S            c
              o
         Location
Remember this one...?




                        Source: Sander Duivestein
Media
   ocial
 S

           siness
  ocial Bu
S

          puting
    al Com
Soci
Have you ever seen an ad that says
“Search with Google”?
The fuel:




        http://flickr.com/photos/farquhar/
The Telecom sector needs to
get involved in making ‘free’
        web content

 monetizable
The Future of ICT / TIME: Futurist Gerd Leonhard in Cologne (NSN)
The switch from Closed to Open: Software
The switch from Closed to Open: News Media
The switch from Closed to Open: Elsewhere
The Future of ICT / TIME: Futurist Gerd Leonhard in Cologne (NSN)
Example: The Future of Television
Don’t prevent.
Enable.
Engage.
Monetize.
The toll-booth challenge in digital content
21st century content economics
influenced by Kevin Kelly, Chris Anderson, Don Tapscott, Yochai Benkler...

                                Conversation
                             Convenience
                          Selection / Filtering
                       Packaging
                   Individualization
            Immediacy

   Tr u s t
Example of creating added value around Content
Turning the USERs into $$
The Redefinition of ‘Telecom’

Experience Platform
Service Pipe

Content Pipe

   Data
   Pipe
Next
                     Generation
                     Advertising
             New
           Content
           Economy
New Data
Economy
Focus on Control
          Opportunities for Growth

10


7.5


 5


2.5


 0
  Calls     SMS      Data   Content   Services Experiences
Communications




Advertising     Content
Trust Transparency Conversation Collaboration

                       Social
                                  UGC
        MOBILE
                      Platforms
       Applications



                                        Ads 2.0


                                         Content
Thanks for listening



Gerd Leonhard
www.mediafuturist.com
Twitter.com/gleonhard
gerd@mediafuturist.com

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