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QNBFS Daily Technical Trader Qatar - January 17, 2021 التحليل الفني اليومي لبورصة قطر

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QNB Group
QNB Group

The QE Index managed to move above the 10,800 as we expected, and now heading towards to the 11,000 point.

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Technical Spotlight Sunday, January 14, 2018 1 ‫اليومي‬ ‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬–‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬ Daily Technical Trader – QATAR Sunday, January 17, 2021 QE Index Overview QE Index Daily Chart ‫السوق‬ ‫لمؤشر‬ ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬ The QE Index managed to move above the 10,800 as we expected, and now heading towards to the 11,000 point. It is a psychological round number which happened to be situated at the upper side of the uptrend channel. ‫مؤشر‬ ‫تمكن‬‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬‫التحرك‬ ‫من‬ ‫فوق‬‫مستوى‬10800‫نقطة‬‫كما‬ ‫ويتجه‬ ،‫توقعنا‬‫المؤشر‬‫نحو‬ ‫اآلن‬ ‫مستوى‬11000‫رقم‬ ‫إنه‬ .‫نقطة‬ ‫و‬ ‫تقريبي‬‫العلوي‬ ‫الجانب‬ ‫في‬ ‫يقع‬ ‫نفسي‬ ‫ل‬‫ل‬‫قناة‬‫السعرية‬‫الصاعد‬‫ة‬. Expected Resistance Level: 11,000 Expected Support Level: 10,200 Market Indicators ‫السوق‬ ‫مؤشرات‬ Jan 14 Jan 13 % ∆ Index Last Close 10,913.83 10,866.61 0.43 ‫العام‬ ‫للمؤشر‬ ‫إقفال‬ ‫آخر‬ Value (QR mn) 546.7 814.1 -32.8 )‫لاير‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫المتداولة‬ ‫القيمة‬ Exchange Market Cap. (QR bn) 628.2 627.4 0.1 ‫السوقية‬ ‫القيمة‬‫إلجمالي‬‫االسهم‬ )‫لاير‬ ‫(مليار‬ Volume (mn) 219.1 270.2 -18.9 ‫حجم‬)‫سهم‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫التداول‬ Number of Trans. 10,009 14,545 -31.2 ‫المنفذة‬ ‫العقود‬ ‫عدد‬ Companies Traded 46 48 -4.2 ‫المتداولة‬ ‫الشركات‬ ‫عدد‬ Market Breadth 23:21 23:21 – ‫السوق‬ ‫عمق‬ :‫المتوقع‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬ 11,000 :‫المتوقع‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ 10,200
2 Qatar Gas Trans (Nakilat) ‫ناقالت‬ Stock Overview Daily Chart ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫نظرة‬‫على‬‫السهم‬ The price is testing its twelve- year-high levels. If the price perforates above the mentioned level means the uptrend is expected to continue north as less resistance is expected. ‫مستويات‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫يختبر‬‫وصلها‬ .‫ا‬ً‫م‬‫عا‬ ‫عشر‬ ‫اثني‬ ‫منذ‬‫و‬‫اخترق‬ ‫إذا‬ ‫المذكور‬ ‫المستوى‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫السعر‬‫أ‬‫عاله‬، ‫ا‬ ‫االتجاه‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يعني‬ ‫فهذا‬‫من‬ ‫لصعودي‬ ‫يستمر‬ ‫أن‬ ‫المتوقع‬‫أل‬‫على‬‫من‬ ‫حيث‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫المتوقع‬‫السعرية‬ ‫أ‬‫السهم‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫مام‬. Expected Target Price: QR3.682 – QR3.800 A price breakout above QR3.464 triggers the buy idea. Suggested Stop-Loss Level: Discretionary Last Px. ‫االقفال‬ ‫سعر‬ %∆ ‫%التغير‬ Volume ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬ 3.453 -0.20 3,311,946 Resistance/Support / ‫الدعم‬‫المقاومة‬ Level 1st ‫األول‬ 2nd ‫الثاني‬ 3rd ‫الثالث‬ ‫المستوى‬ Resistance 3.464 3.682 3.800 ‫مقاومة‬ Support 3.400 3.300 3.150 ‫دعم‬ ‫ا‬‫أل‬:‫المتوقعة‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫هداف‬ 3.682‫لاير‬–8003.‫لاير‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اختراق‬ ‫حال‬ ‫في‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫نرجح‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫فوق‬3.464.‫لاير‬ ‫المقترح‬ ‫الخسارة‬ ‫ايقاف‬ ‫مستوى‬: ‫المتداول‬ ‫يالئم‬ ‫ما‬ ‫حسب‬
3 :‫التعريفات‬ :‫اليابانية‬ ‫الشموع‬.‫محددة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫وأدنى‬ ‫وأعلى‬ ‫واإلغالق‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫يحدد‬ .‫قديمة‬ ‫يابانية‬ ‫طريقة‬ ‫على‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫رسم‬ ‫طرق‬ ‫أحد‬ ‫وهي‬‫وتتكون‬ ‫ا‬ "‫"جسم‬ ‫من‬ ‫الشمعة‬‫بسعر‬ ‫تتحدد‬ ‫حيث‬ ‫لشمعة‬‫االفتتاح‬‫و‬‫سع‬ ‫أن‬ ‫تعني‬ ‫الملونة‬ ‫الشمعة‬ .‫اإلغالق‬‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫ر‬‫صحي‬ ‫العكس‬‫للشمعة‬ .‫البيضاء‬ ‫للشمعة‬ ‫بالنسبة‬ ‫ح‬ ‫عامة‬ ‫بصورة‬ .‫المطلوبة‬ ‫الفترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫وأقل‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫يحدد‬ ‫لظل‬ ‫وهذا‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"ظل‬ ‫بـ‬ ‫يسمى‬ ‫ما‬ ‫اليابانية‬،‫التجاه‬ ‫استمرار‬ ‫من‬ ‫كثيرة‬ ‫دالالت‬ ‫له‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫شكل‬ ‫فإن‬ .‫انعكاسه‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ :‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬‫وهو‬‫ا‬ ‫يشارك‬ ‫أن‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫الذي‬ ‫المستوى‬‫لمتداول‬‫البيع‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫على‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫ين‬،.‫دنية‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫وهذا‬ :‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫عكس‬ ‫وهو‬،‫الشراء‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫بالبيع‬ ‫المتداولون‬ ‫يقوم‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫حيث‬،.‫أعلى‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫وذلك‬ :‫البسيط‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬‫المؤش‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫يعتبر‬ ‫السبب‬ ‫لهذا‬ ‫المختارة‬ ‫الفترات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محدد‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫معدل‬ ‫يحسب‬ ‫حسابي‬ ‫متوسط‬ ‫هو‬‫البيع‬ ‫عالمات‬ ‫إعطاء‬ ‫في‬ ‫متأخر‬ ‫ر‬ ‫و‬‫ت‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫لمعرفة‬ ‫أداة‬ ‫مثل‬ ،‫كثيرة‬ ‫أغراضا‬ ‫للمتوسطات‬ ،‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫تحليلنا‬ ‫في‬ ‫المستخدمة‬ ‫المتوسطات‬ .‫الشراء‬،‫أشيري‬‫السعر‬ ‫تقلبات‬ ‫حدة‬ ‫تقليل‬ ‫و‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫غير‬ ‫وإلى‬ ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫ال‬ ‫عمق‬:‫سوق‬‫األ‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫يشير‬‫و‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫تم‬ ‫التي‬ ‫المالية‬ ‫وراق‬.‫معين‬ ‫يوم‬ ‫تبادل‬ ‫في‬ ‫المتراجعة‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫مقابل‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫على‬ ‫أقفلت‬ ( ‫التباعد‬ / ‫التقارب‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬MACD:)‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬‫و‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫في‬ ‫التغيرات‬ ‫على‬ ‫يدل‬ ‫تداول‬‫حسابات‬ ‫مجموعة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫من‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫وزخم‬ ‫اتجاه‬‫مكونة‬‫سالسل‬ ‫ثالثة‬ ‫من‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫بيانات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محسوبة‬ ‫زمنية‬.‫التاريخية‬ ( ‫النسبية‬ ‫القوة‬ ‫مؤشر‬RSI:)‫وهو‬‫ذروة‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫منه‬ ‫محاولة‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫يقارن‬ ‫فني‬ ‫مؤشر‬‫ال‬ ‫يتذبذب‬ .‫المتداولين‬ ‫قبل‬ ‫من‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫أو‬ ‫الشراء‬‫بين‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫ال‬0‫وال‬100‫و‬ .‫درجة‬‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬،‫ال‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫قراءات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫وصول‬ ‫يعتبر‬70‫ال‬ ‫وتحت‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫مناطق‬ ‫الى‬ ‫وصل‬ ‫قد‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫بأن‬ ‫درجة‬30‫ذروة‬ ‫لمستويات‬ ‫درجة‬ .‫ا��بيع‬ :‫األسعار‬ ‫شكل‬ / ‫نمط‬‫وهو‬‫الرأ‬ ‫(مثل‬ ‫مختلفة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫في‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األنماط‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫وتأتي‬ .‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬ ‫وسط‬ ‫في‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫يتم‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫حسب‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫استقراء‬‫والكتف‬ ‫س‬‫ين‬ ‫و‬ .)‫الخ‬ ،‫واألعالم‬ ،‫والمثلثات‬‫وغيره‬ ‫والخروج‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫ونقاط‬ ‫انعكاسها‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االتجاهات‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫األشكال‬ ‫تستخدم‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫ا‬ :‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫انسحابات‬‫لعا‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫نسبت‬‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫ليوناردو‬ ‫الرياضيات‬ ‫لم‬،‫و‬‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لسعر‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫أو‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المتوقعة‬ ‫المناطق‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫تشير‬ ‫التي‬ ‫األفقية‬ ‫الخطوط‬ ‫هي‬ ‫االنسحاب‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫كأهم‬ ‫للسهم‬ ‫التالية‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫تستخدم‬ .‫السابقة‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫حركة‬ ‫أساس‬‫وهي‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لذلك‬ ‫السابقة‬ ‫للحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫ات‬23.6,%38.2,%50.0,%61.8% ‫ال‬ ‫ومستوى‬100.0.‫السابقة‬ ‫الحركة‬ ‫أجزاء‬ ‫من‬ % ‫و‬ ‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫محور‬:‫البينية‬ ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬‫مع‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫حسابات‬ ‫المحور‬ ‫لهذا‬ .‫أعاله‬ ‫المذكورة‬ ‫لالنسحابات‬ ‫تماما‬ ‫مختلف‬ ‫وهذا‬‫سعر‬ ‫أعلى‬‫و‬‫سعر‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫ا‬ ‫لليوم‬‫و‬ ‫دعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫منها‬ ‫يستخلص‬ ‫لسابق‬.‫اليومي‬ ‫للتداول‬ ‫متوقعة‬ ‫بينية‬ ‫مقاومة‬
4 Definitions Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three-time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intraday Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
5 Contacts Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa Mehmet Aksoy, PhD Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6589 mehmet.aksoy@qnbfs.com.qa Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA Head of Research Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa Ahmed El-Khudary Head of Trading Tel: (+974) 4476 6533 ahmed.elkhudary@qnbfs.com.qa Feras al-Sarraj Head of Sales Tel: (+974) 4476 6514 feras.alsarraj@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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QNBFS Daily Technical Trader Qatar - January 17, 2021 التحليل الفني اليومي لبورصة قطر

  • 1. Technical Spotlight Sunday, January 14, 2018 1 ‫اليومي‬ ‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬–‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬ Daily Technical Trader – QATAR Sunday, January 17, 2021 QE Index Overview QE Index Daily Chart ‫السوق‬ ‫لمؤشر‬ ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬ The QE Index managed to move above the 10,800 as we expected, and now heading towards to the 11,000 point. It is a psychological round number which happened to be situated at the upper side of the uptrend channel. ‫مؤشر‬ ‫تمكن‬‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬‫التحرك‬ ‫من‬ ‫فوق‬‫مستوى‬10800‫نقطة‬‫كما‬ ‫ويتجه‬ ،‫توقعنا‬‫المؤشر‬‫نحو‬ ‫اآلن‬ ‫مستوى‬11000‫رقم‬ ‫إنه‬ .‫نقطة‬ ‫و‬ ‫تقريبي‬‫العلوي‬ ‫الجانب‬ ‫في‬ ‫يقع‬ ‫نفسي‬ ‫ل‬‫ل‬‫قناة‬‫السعرية‬‫الصاعد‬‫ة‬. Expected Resistance Level: 11,000 Expected Support Level: 10,200 Market Indicators ‫السوق‬ ‫مؤشرات‬ Jan 14 Jan 13 % ∆ Index Last Close 10,913.83 10,866.61 0.43 ‫العام‬ ‫للمؤشر‬ ‫إقفال‬ ‫آخر‬ Value (QR mn) 546.7 814.1 -32.8 )‫لاير‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫المتداولة‬ ‫القيمة‬ Exchange Market Cap. (QR bn) 628.2 627.4 0.1 ‫السوقية‬ ‫القيمة‬‫إلجمالي‬‫االسهم‬ )‫لاير‬ ‫(مليار‬ Volume (mn) 219.1 270.2 -18.9 ‫حجم‬)‫سهم‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫التداول‬ Number of Trans. 10,009 14,545 -31.2 ‫المنفذة‬ ‫العقود‬ ‫عدد‬ Companies Traded 46 48 -4.2 ‫المتداولة‬ ‫الشركات‬ ‫عدد‬ Market Breadth 23:21 23:21 – ‫السوق‬ ‫عمق‬ :‫المتوقع‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬ 11,000 :‫المتوقع‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ 10,200
  • 2. 2 Qatar Gas Trans (Nakilat) ‫ناقالت‬ Stock Overview Daily Chart ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫نظرة‬‫على‬‫السهم‬ The price is testing its twelve- year-high levels. If the price perforates above the mentioned level means the uptrend is expected to continue north as less resistance is expected. ‫مستويات‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫يختبر‬‫وصلها‬ .‫ا‬ً‫م‬‫عا‬ ‫عشر‬ ‫اثني‬ ‫منذ‬‫و‬‫اخترق‬ ‫إذا‬ ‫المذكور‬ ‫المستوى‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫السعر‬‫أ‬‫عاله‬، ‫ا‬ ‫االتجاه‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يعني‬ ‫فهذا‬‫من‬ ‫لصعودي‬ ‫يستمر‬ ‫أن‬ ‫المتوقع‬‫أل‬‫على‬‫من‬ ‫حيث‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫المتوقع‬‫السعرية‬ ‫أ‬‫السهم‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫مام‬. Expected Target Price: QR3.682 – QR3.800 A price breakout above QR3.464 triggers the buy idea. Suggested Stop-Loss Level: Discretionary Last Px. ‫االقفال‬ ‫سعر‬ %∆ ‫%التغير‬ Volume ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬ 3.453 -0.20 3,311,946 Resistance/Support / ‫الدعم‬‫المقاومة‬ Level 1st ‫األول‬ 2nd ‫الثاني‬ 3rd ‫الثالث‬ ‫المستوى‬ Resistance 3.464 3.682 3.800 ‫مقاومة‬ Support 3.400 3.300 3.150 ‫دعم‬ ‫ا‬‫أل‬:‫المتوقعة‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫هداف‬ 3.682‫لاير‬–8003.‫لاير‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اختراق‬ ‫حال‬ ‫في‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫نرجح‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫فوق‬3.464.‫لاير‬ ‫المقترح‬ ‫الخسارة‬ ‫ايقاف‬ ‫مستوى‬: ‫المتداول‬ ‫يالئم‬ ‫ما‬ ‫حسب‬
  • 3. 3 :‫التعريفات‬ :‫اليابانية‬ ‫الشموع‬.‫محددة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫وأدنى‬ ‫وأعلى‬ ‫واإلغالق‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫يحدد‬ .‫قديمة‬ ‫يابانية‬ ‫طريقة‬ ‫على‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫رسم‬ ‫طرق‬ ‫أحد‬ ‫وهي‬‫وتتكون‬ ‫ا‬ "‫"جسم‬ ‫من‬ ‫الشمعة‬‫بسعر‬ ‫تتحدد‬ ‫حيث�� ‫لشمعة‬‫االفتتاح‬‫و‬‫سع‬ ‫أن‬ ‫تعني‬ ‫الملونة‬ ‫الشمعة‬ .‫اإلغالق‬‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫ر‬‫صحي‬ ‫العكس‬‫للشمعة‬ .‫البيضاء‬ ‫للشمعة‬ ‫بالنسبة‬ ‫ح‬ ‫عامة‬ ‫بصورة‬ .‫المطلوبة‬ ‫الفترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫وأقل‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫يحدد‬ ‫لظل‬ ‫وهذا‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"ظل‬ ‫بـ‬ ‫يسمى‬ ‫ما‬ ‫اليابانية‬،‫التجاه‬ ‫استمرار‬ ‫من‬ ‫كثيرة‬ ‫دالالت‬ ‫له‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫شكل‬ ‫فإن‬ .‫انعكاسه‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ :‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬‫وهو‬‫ا‬ ‫يشارك‬ ‫أن‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫الذي‬ ‫المستوى‬‫لمتداول‬‫البيع‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫على‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫ين‬،.‫دنية‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫وهذا‬ :‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫عكس‬ ‫وهو‬،‫الشراء‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫بالبيع‬ ‫المتداولون‬ ‫يقوم‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫حيث‬،.‫أعلى‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫وذلك‬ :‫البسيط‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬‫المؤش‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫يعتبر‬ ‫السبب‬ ‫لهذا‬ ‫المختارة‬ ‫الفترات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محدد‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫معدل‬ ‫يحسب‬ ‫حسابي‬ ‫متوسط‬ ‫هو‬‫البيع‬ ‫عالمات‬ ‫إعطاء‬ ‫في‬ ‫متأخر‬ ‫ر‬ ‫و‬‫ت‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫لمعرفة‬ ‫أداة‬ ‫مثل‬ ،‫كثيرة‬ ‫أغراضا‬ ‫للمتوسطات‬ ،‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫تحليلنا‬ ‫في‬ ‫المستخدمة‬ ‫المتوسطات‬ .‫الشراء‬،‫أشيري‬‫السعر‬ ‫تقلبات‬ ‫حدة‬ ‫تقليل‬ ‫و‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫غير‬ ‫وإلى‬ ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫ال‬ ‫عمق‬:‫سوق‬‫األ‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫يشير‬‫و‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫تم‬ ‫التي‬ ‫المالية‬ ‫وراق‬.‫معين‬ ‫يوم‬ ‫تبادل‬ ‫في‬ ‫المتراجعة‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫مقابل‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫على‬ ‫أقفلت‬ ( ‫التباعد‬ / ‫التقارب‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬MACD:)‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬‫و‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫في‬ ‫التغيرات‬ ‫على‬ ‫يدل‬ ‫تداول‬‫حسابات‬ ‫مجموعة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫من‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫وزخم‬ ‫اتجاه‬‫مكونة‬‫سالسل‬ ‫ثالثة‬ ‫من‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫بيانات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محسوبة‬ ‫زمنية‬.‫التاريخية‬ ( ‫النسبية‬ ‫القوة‬ ‫مؤشر‬RSI:)‫وهو‬‫ذروة‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫منه‬ ‫محاولة‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫يقارن‬ ‫فني‬ ‫مؤشر‬‫ال‬ ‫يتذبذب‬ .‫المتداولين‬ ‫قبل‬ ‫من‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫أو‬ ‫الشراء‬‫بين‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫ال‬0‫وال‬100‫و‬ .‫درجة‬‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬،‫ال‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫قراءات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫وصول‬ ‫يعتبر‬70‫ال‬ ‫وتحت‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫مناطق‬ ‫الى‬ ‫وصل‬ ‫قد‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫بأن‬ ‫درجة‬30‫ذروة‬ ‫لمستويات‬ ‫درجة‬ .‫البيع‬ :‫األسعار‬ ‫شكل‬ / ‫نمط‬‫وهو‬‫الرأ‬ ‫(مثل‬ ‫مختلفة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫في‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األنماط‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫وتأتي‬ .‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬ ‫وسط‬ ‫في‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫يتم‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫حسب‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫استقراء‬‫والكتف‬ ‫س‬‫ين‬ ‫و‬ .)‫الخ‬ ،‫واألعالم‬ ،‫والمثلثات‬‫وغيره‬ ‫والخروج‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫ونقاط‬ ‫انعكاسها‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االتجاهات‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫األشكال‬ ‫تستخدم‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫ا‬ :‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫انسحابات‬‫لعا‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫نسبت‬‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫ليوناردو‬ ‫الرياضيات‬ ‫لم‬،‫و‬‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لسعر‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫أو‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المتوقعة‬ ‫المناطق‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫تشير‬ ‫التي‬ ‫األفقية‬ ‫الخطوط‬ ‫هي‬ ‫االنسحاب‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫كأهم‬ ‫للسهم‬ ‫التالية‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫تستخدم‬ .‫السابقة‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫حركة‬ ‫أساس‬‫وهي‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لذلك‬ ‫السابقة‬ ‫للحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫ات‬23.6,%38.2,%50.0,%61.8% ‫ال‬ ‫ومستوى‬100.0.‫السابقة‬ ‫الحركة‬ ‫أجزاء‬ ‫من‬ % ‫و‬ ‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫محور‬:‫البينية‬ ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬‫مع‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫حسابات‬ ‫المحور‬ ‫لهذا‬ .‫أعاله‬ ‫المذكورة‬ ‫لالنسحابات‬ ‫تماما‬ ‫مختلف‬ ‫وهذا‬‫سعر‬ ‫أعلى‬‫و‬‫سعر‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫ا‬ ‫لليوم‬‫و‬ ‫دعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫منها‬ ‫يستخلص‬ ‫لسابق‬.‫اليومي‬ ‫للتداول‬ ‫متوقعة‬ ‫بينية‬ ‫مقاومة‬
  • 4. 4 Definitions Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three-time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intraday Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 5. 5 Contacts Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa Mehmet Aksoy, PhD Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6589 mehmet.aksoy@qnbfs.com.qa Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA Head of Research Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa Ahmed El-Khudary Head of Trading Tel: (+974) 4476 6533 ahmed.elkhudary@qnbfs.com.qa Feras al-Sarraj Head of Sales Tel: (+974) 4476 6514 feras.alsarraj@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.