Todd Griffith: 2013 Sandia National Laboratoies Wind Plant Reliability Workshop
- 1. D. Todd Griffith, Ph.D.
Wind and Water Power Technologies
Sandia National Laboratories
Fifth Sandia Wind Plant Reliability Workshop
August 13, 2013
dgriffi@sandia.gov
Sandia Technical Report: SAND2013-6915C
- 2. Continued increase
in installed wind
capacity both world
wide and in the U.S.
China – largest
cumulative capacity
U.S. second in
cumulative
~285 GW Installed Worldwide - Total (up from 240 GW)
~60 GW Installed in U.S. – Total (up from 47 GW)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
0
9,000
18,000
27,000
36,000
45,000
54,000
1983 1990 1995 2000 2006 2012
CumulativeMW
MWperyear
Year
Installed Wind Powerin the World
- Annual and Cumulative -
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2013
Source: BTM Consult – A Part
of Navigant – March 2013
- 3. Turbine Prices
Source: DOE Wind Technologies Market Report
Project Prices
2012: $950-$1300/kW
2009: $1500/kW
2000-2002: $700/kW
2012: $1940/kW
2009&2010: ~$2200/kW
2004: ~$1250/kW
- 4. U.S. ‐ DOE has proposed the 20% by 2030 scenario
• 2013 State of the Union: double renewables by 2020
• U.S. DOE recently announced new Vision for wind (2020, 2030, 2050)
Europe – EU has proposed a 20% renewables by 2020 plan
Record installations of nearly 45 GW in 2012
Economic value of global market from $76B (2012) to $113B
(2017)
• US Wind Energy: $25B
• US Aerospace: $218B (Civil Aircraft $61B) **
UK – significant offshore wind installations continue
• World leader in offshore wind with 2.8 GW installed end of
2012 (56% total world offshore capacity)
** 2012 Year-end Review and Forecast, Aerospace Industries Association
- 6. Size
1.5-5.0+ MW
Towers: 65-100+ meters
Blades: 34-80+ meters
Weight: 150-500+ tons
Costs (traditional)
• System ~ $3/lb
• Blades ~ $6/lb
Wind Industry Trends &
Challenges
•High-end Military ~ $1000/lb
•Aerospace Industry ~ $100/lb
- 11. Land-based Project Shallow Water Offshore Project
Musial, W. and
Ram, B. Large-
Scale Offshore
Wind Power in
the United
States.
NREL/TP-500-
40745. 2010.
- 14. Solving issues, improving codes and standards, and
developing innovations all lead to lower COE:
• lower capital costs,
• lower O&M, or
• increased energy capture.
- 15. Radar
Noise
Transportation
Wind Plant Performance; Wake Losses
Field Service & Repair
Lightning
Reliability of blade design & manufacturing
Acoustic
Research
Effects of
Turbines on
Radar
- 16. Innovations in research communities – labs, universities,
industry
• Passive load control
• New airfoils
• Large blade development
• Active load and performance control
• Vertical Axis Wind Turbine (VAWT designs)
• New materials characterizations
• Sensor development for SHM and active load control
• Increased tip speeds
• Coatings for radar, lightning
- 20. Sandia has focused on a sealed water box that:
• Adjusts to slight curvature surfaces
• Eliminates water flow to open box
• Maximizes signal strength
• Accommodates necessary standoffs for signal
clarity
• Easily saves scanned images for reference using the
unidirectional Mouse Encoder
4 Ply Pillow Inserts
FBH
FHB’s Pillow Inserts
BRC: Probe Housing Development for Factory Deployment
- 21. CREW: Continuous Reliability Enhancement for Wind
21
Goal: Create a national reliability database of wind plant operating
data to enable reliability analysis
Sandia partners with
Strategic Power Systems
(SPS), whose ORAPWind®
software collects real‐
time data from wind plant
partners
Benchmark reliability performance
Track operating performance
Method: