Case Study: The Chinese Yuan-Beware of Dragon’s tail
This document summarizes a presentation on the Chinese yuan currency. It introduces China's large population and status as the world's second largest economy. It then discusses the history of the yuan, including its peg to the US dollar from 1994 to 2005. In 2005, China switched to pegging the yuan to a basket of currencies and allowing it to float more freely. Since then, the yuan has appreciated by about 24% against the dollar. The document also notes political pressures on China to revalue its currency to reduce trade surpluses with countries like the US.
This document discusses China's housing bubble and the factors that contributed to its growth and potential collapse. It notes that China has over 64 million vacant housing units, equivalent to the populations of California and Texas combined. The housing bubble grew as China's central government implemented a loose monetary policy and stimulus programs after the 2008 financial crisis to encourage development, borrowing, and investment. However, this ignored citizens' ability to afford housing and adapt to rapid urbanization, potentially leaving many vulnerable if prices collapse. The document raises questions about whether China's application of the Harrod-Domar economic model and high domestic savings rates fueled unsustainable real estate growth and speculation.
As the worlds population surpassed 6 billion (6,000,000,000) in Oct.docx
As the world's population surpassed 6 billion (6,000,000,000) in October 1999, China's population represented more than 1/5 of this total (20.8%) — one out of every five people in the world lives in China. Today, China's population exceeds 1.25 billion (1,250,000,000), a number that continues to increase minute-by-minute on Beijing's official
Ticking Population Clock (Links to an external site.)
:
China's population increases each year by approximately 12-13 million people, a number that exceeds the total population of individual countries such as Belgium, Greece, Cambodia, or Ecuador. Annual population growth in China actually exceeds the current population of Ohio, Illinois, or Pennsylvania.
Some Chinese Provinces are Larger than Major Countries
The difficulty of governing China's population as well as managing its economic and social development is underscored if one appreciates the population of many of China's provinces and compares them to nations elsewhere in the world.
A countries government can attempt to influence the population of its country through population policies. In 1979 they introduced a policy requiring couples from
China's
ethnic Han majority to have only one child (the law has largely exempted ethnic minorities). ... Since 1979, the law has prevented some 250 million births, saving
China
from a
population
explosion the nation would have difficulty accommodating. The first day of
2016
marked the end of China's controversial, 40-year-old one-child policy. Although families will still require government-issued birth permits, or face the sanction of a forced abortion, couples in China can now request to have two children.
In light of what you have learned about population growth an d the impact on the environment and what happens when a population is too large from a biological perspective explain why managing the population in China has been a major concern for centuries and has required government involvement. In addition, briefly state your position on the issue and explain your rationale.
.
This document analyzes the economic relationship between China and the United States. It discusses how China has rapidly grown to become a global economic power on par with the US. While the US previously dominated global trade and GDP, China has seen strong growth and may surpass the US economy by 2020. The analysis examines trade flows, GDP trends, and the impacts of China joining the World Trade Organization. It also considers cultural and political differences between the democratic US and communist China, and how both countries must adapt to each other for mutual economic benefit in the globalized world.
China has over 4,000 years of history and Beijing is its capital city. A communist government rules China, which has a population of over 1.39 billion people and the second largest economy in the world. Standard date format is yyyy-mm-dd and the Renminbi is the currency. Major religions include folk, Buddhist, Muslim and unaffiliated beliefs.
China has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, transitioning from a centrally planned economy to a more market-based one. It has become a major global economic power, with the world's second largest GDP. This growth was driven by large-scale capital investment, productivity gains from economic reforms, and a high domestic savings rate. However, China still faces economic challenges including overreliance on exports and investment, weak rule of law, and income inequality. While its economy has greatly benefited from international trade, some criticize China's trade practices. Politically, China remains authoritarian with a single-party system and restrictions on dissent.
The document summarizes China's economic growth and performance over different periods of history. It finds that:
1) China was once the world's leading economic power but lost its position between 1500-1800, while per capita GDP stagnated.
2) After establishing the People's Republic in 1949, China's growth was modest at 3% annually before 1978, driven by capital investment.
3) Since 1978, China's growth accelerated over 8% annually and has been driven primarily by productivity growth, not capital accumulation.
This document discusses the widespread consensus views about China's growing economy and questions whether that consensus may be wrong. It argues that China's GDP growth is likely overestimated and driven by massive credit expansion rather than real economic activity. If China's top export markets in the US and Europe do not recover as expected, many of China's loans may not be repaid, suggesting China's economy is weaker than the numbers indicate. The document questions whether China can sustain its high growth rates going forward.
CHAPTER 5 - Global Population and Mobility-A Cultural Perspectives.pptx
Global cities are characterized by wealth, power, and influence over other countries. They host large capital markets and are home to wealthy multinational companies and powerful organizations linked globally. London, New York, Paris, Rome, and Tokyo are some of the most well-known global cities that provide global competitiveness. A global city also contains international organizations, law firms, stock exchanges, and headquarters that influence the world economy. Demographic changes, such as population growth and migration patterns, also impact global cities.
Global cities are characterized by wealth, power, and influence over other countries. They host large capital markets and are home to wealthy multinational companies and powerful organizations linked globally. London, New York, Paris, Rome, and Tokyo are some of the most well-known global cities that provide global competitiveness. A global city also contains international organizations, law firms, stock exchanges, and headquarters that influence the world economy. Demographic changes, such as population growth and migration patterns, also impact global cities.
This document discusses China's economic history and current state. It provides an overview of China's transition from a planned socialist economy to a mixed market system starting in 1978. This transformation led to high growth, with China's GDP quadrupling since 1978 and averaging over 10% annually until 2005. It also lifted over 800 million people out of poverty. However, China now faces issues like its trade war with the US, a slowing real estate market, and high debt levels. The document also briefly touches on China's economic reserves, relationship with Pakistan, and references used.
3Among the many forces shaping China’s course of developme.docx
3
Among the many forces shaping China’s course of development, argu-
ably none will prove more significant in the long run than the rapid
emergence and explosive growth of the Chinese middle class. China’s
ongoing economic transition from a relatively poor, developing nation
to a middle-class country has been one of the most fascinating human
dramas of our time. Never in history have so many people made so
much economic progress in one or two generations. Just twenty years
ago a distinct socioeconomic middle class was virtually nonexistent in
the People’s Republic of China (PRC), but today a large number of
Chinese citizens, especially in coastal cities, own private property and
personal automobiles, have growing financial assets, and are able to take
vacations abroad and send their children overseas for school. This trans-
formation is likely to have wide-ranging implications for every aspect
of Chinese life, especially the country’s long-term economic prospects,
energy consumption, and environmental well-being.
The importance of China’s emerging middle class, of course, extends
far beyond the realm of economics. This volume focuses on the socio-
political ramifications of the birth and growth of the Chinese middle
class over the past two decades. The central question is: What impacts,
ChaPtEr onE
Introduction: the rise of the
Middle Class in the Middle Kingdom
ChEnG LI
I would like to thank Sally Carman, Jordan Lee, Robert O’Brien, and Matthew Platkin for
their very helpful comments on an earlier version of this chapter.
01-0405-8 ch1.indd 3 10/7/10 3:42 PM
4 ChEnG LI
current and future, might China’s emerging middle class have on the
country’s social structure and political system? Following this broad line
of inquiry, the volume sets itself four tasks:
—To examine the status of research on social stratification and social
mobility in China
—To identify the major issues and trends related to the Chinese
middle class
—To compare the Chinese middle class with its counterparts in other
countries
—And to assess the values, worldviews, and potential political roles
of the Chinese middle class as well as its likely impact on China’s rise
on the world stage.
This introductory chapter provides an overview of the political signifi-
cance and historical background of the emerging Chinese middle class
and summarizes the existing literature and ongoing debates on the topic.
The Sociopolitical Significance of a Chinese Middle Class
Early studies of newly affluent groups in China, including the nascent
middle class, tend to emphasize the status quo–oriented, risk-averse nature
of these prime beneficiaries of economic reform. However, more recent
studies (including many by PRC scholars) suggest that this may simply be
a transitory phase in the development of the middle class. There already
appears to be widespread resentment among the middle class toward offi-
cial corruption and the state’s monopoly ...
Socialism with chinese characteristics and global superpower aspirant
In a world comprising a diverse array of countries, each with its own complex, dynamic, and evolving system, there can be no one-size-fits-all development path. The Thought builds on and further enriches Marxism-Leninism, Mao Zedong Thought, Deng Xiaoping Theory, the Theory of Three Represents, and the Scientific Outlook on Development. It represents the latest achievement in adapting Marxism to the Chinese context.
Understanding the coming domination of chinese yuan
This document discusses the growing prominence of the Chinese Yuan as an alternative international reserve currency to the US Dollar. It notes that China's GDP and foreign exchange reserves have grown rapidly in recent decades, while its currency has steadily appreciated. It predicts that by 2020, the Yuan will be more widely used in international trade and financial markets. The document advocates for reforms to international financial institutions to give emerging economies more influence, and the introduction of a new reserve currency to replace the dominant US Dollar.
hinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday night delivered a speech on China-U.S. relations in Seattle at a welcoming dinner hosted by local governments and friendly organizations in the United States. The following is the translated version of the full text of his speech.
This document discusses China's future challenges and opportunities. It notes that China is no longer the communist state envisioned by Mao and experts debate whether China will pursue peaceful evolution or become more aggressive. Key issues China faces include a declining and aging population as a result of the one-child policy, rising inequality, managing economic transition to higher wages, and dependence on continued growth. Questions remain over whether China can balance prosperity with limiting political freedoms and whether the country will pursue energy needs peacefully or aggressively.
The document discusses how the US federal budget deficit has grown large due to lower tax revenues and higher spending during the recession. It projects that the federal debt will exceed historical levels by 2023 and reach 190% of GDP by 2035 if changes are not made. It also summarizes factors like entitlement spending and healthcare costs that contribute to the growing deficit. The document argues that Democrats and Republicans need to agree on spending cuts and revenue increases to address the issue.
SDG Stocktake Georgia 2024 - SDGs Through the Eyes of Georgia's Business Sector
SDGs Through the Eyes of Georgia's Business Sector. The research was carried out by the UN Global Compact Network Georgia in partnership with EY Georgia, funding was provided by Sweden.
International Corporation is based on signed treaty
is not merely based on a signed treaty or agreement or even as a result of membership of a certain block rather. In international Arena when countries collaborate, they do share some common believe systems in the form of progress, establishment of peace, improving the quality of life. This share believe system of values, norms, narratives as well as global perception (world view) largely compels the states to join hands. So the states start developing positive outlook (International Corporation) through social ties with the like minded States. Purpose of International Corporation is global common good, which is achieved through the method of Interdependence. States exhibit this interdependent through cross-border trade and connecting markets as per a shared economic agenda.
In Oakmoor ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Oakmoor Mesina
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Donate to Girl Child Education & Make Nation Stronger
We all can see the increase in the literacy rate over the past few years. This is great because it showcases India has been growing at a rapid pace. Education is the key to entire nation growth. But the major concern is the education of the girl child education. Every other lower-middle-class family or people from rural areas families prefer to send their son to school and daughters are still not sent to school because of financial troubles.
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/donate-girl-child-education/
#sponsorforgirlchild, #donateforgirleducation, #girlchildeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforgirlchildeducation, #onlinegirlchildeducation, #educationforgirlchild, #seruds, #charitydonation, #kurnool, #educationkitforgirlchild
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
This presentation by Edwin Hlangwani, BRICS Young Scientist at the University of Johannesburg, was part of the Expert Exchange "Youth Empowerment for a Just Energy Transition" held on June 18, 2024.
In A Nutshell: Endometrial Cancer Molecular Subtypes
In recent years, molecular subtypes have played an increasingly important role in classifying endometrial cancers and driving important clinical decisions. Join us on Facebook Live as Dr. Tashanna Myers, Division Chief, Gynecologic Oncology and Vice Chair Academic Affairs for the Department of OB/GYN at Baystate Medical Center, discusses the key molecular subtypes to provide you with a better understanding of the basics.
This document summarizes China's plan to open its financial sector by gradually reforming financial policies and regulations. It discusses how China's high savings rate is due to lack of financial development that forces citizens to save in state-owned banks rather than invest. China's 12th five-year plan aims to increase currency convertibility, develop asset management, promote financial holding companies, open domestic markets, and relax regulations to transition China to a more market-based financial system and reduce savings rates over time. The gradual reforms aim to develop stable, transparent markets and maintain political and economic stability during the transition.
Borgen, Bismarck and Beijing may 2014 BNU pdfPhil Harris
This document summarizes a presentation on the growth of international public affairs management. It discusses Bismarck's unification of Germany and influence on public policy. It then focuses on developments in China, including the economic reforms that propelled dramatic growth and lifted millions out of poverty. However, this growth has failed to fully address societal issues like pollution and corruption. The document outlines China's social governance transformation and priorities around expanding opportunities, improving social services, and managing risks to achieve harmony and a better quality of life. Recent public affairs issues involving BHP Billiton, GlaxoSmithKline, and Fonterra are also mentioned.
Case Study: The Chinese Yuan-Beware of Dragon’s tailkhalid ekram
This document summarizes a presentation on the Chinese yuan currency. It introduces China's large population and status as the world's second largest economy. It then discusses the history of the yuan, including its peg to the US dollar from 1994 to 2005. In 2005, China switched to pegging the yuan to a basket of currencies and allowing it to float more freely. Since then, the yuan has appreciated by about 24% against the dollar. The document also notes political pressures on China to revalue its currency to reduce trade surpluses with countries like the US.
This document discusses China's housing bubble and the factors that contributed to its growth and potential collapse. It notes that China has over 64 million vacant housing units, equivalent to the populations of California and Texas combined. The housing bubble grew as China's central government implemented a loose monetary policy and stimulus programs after the 2008 financial crisis to encourage development, borrowing, and investment. However, this ignored citizens' ability to afford housing and adapt to rapid urbanization, potentially leaving many vulnerable if prices collapse. The document raises questions about whether China's application of the Harrod-Domar economic model and high domestic savings rates fueled unsustainable real estate growth and speculation.
As the worlds population surpassed 6 billion (6,000,000,000) in Oct.docxcargillfilberto
As the world's population surpassed 6 billion (6,000,000,000) in October 1999, China's population represented more than 1/5 of this total (20.8%) — one out of every five people in the world lives in China. Today, China's population exceeds 1.25 billion (1,250,000,000), a number that continues to increase minute-by-minute on Beijing's official
Ticking Population Clock (Links to an external site.)
:
China's population increases each year by approximately 12-13 million people, a number that exceeds the total population of individual countries such as Belgium, Greece, Cambodia, or Ecuador. Annual population growth in China actually exceeds the current population of Ohio, Illinois, or Pennsylvania.
Some Chinese Provinces are Larger than Major Countries
The difficulty of governing China's population as well as managing its economic and social development is underscored if one appreciates the population of many of China's provinces and compares them to nations elsewhere in the world.
A countries government can attempt to influence the population of its country through population policies. In 1979 they introduced a policy requiring couples from
China's
ethnic Han majority to have only one child (the law has largely exempted ethnic minorities). ... Since 1979, the law has prevented some 250 million births, saving
China
from a
population
explosion the nation would have difficulty accommodating. The first day of
2016
marked the end of China's controversial, 40-year-old one-child policy. Although families will still require government-issued birth permits, or face the sanction of a forced abortion, couples in China can now request to have two children.
In light of what you have learned about population growth an d the impact on the environment and what happens when a population is too large from a biological perspective explain why managing the population in China has been a major concern for centuries and has required government involvement. In addition, briefly state your position on the issue and explain your rationale.
.
This document analyzes the economic relationship between China and the United States. It discusses how China has rapidly grown to become a global economic power on par with the US. While the US previously dominated global trade and GDP, China has seen strong growth and may surpass the US economy by 2020. The analysis examines trade flows, GDP trends, and the impacts of China joining the World Trade Organization. It also considers cultural and political differences between the democratic US and communist China, and how both countries must adapt to each other for mutual economic benefit in the globalized world.
China has over 4,000 years of history and Beijing is its capital city. A communist government rules China, which has a population of over 1.39 billion people and the second largest economy in the world. Standard date format is yyyy-mm-dd and the Renminbi is the currency. Major religions include folk, Buddhist, Muslim and unaffiliated beliefs.
China has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, transitioning from a centrally planned economy to a more market-based one. It has become a major global economic power, with the world's second largest GDP. This growth was driven by large-scale capital investment, productivity gains from economic reforms, and a high domestic savings rate. However, China still faces economic challenges including overreliance on exports and investment, weak rule of law, and income inequality. While its economy has greatly benefited from international trade, some criticize China's trade practices. Politically, China remains authoritarian with a single-party system and restrictions on dissent.
The document summarizes China's economic growth and performance over different periods of history. It finds that:
1) China was once the world's leading economic power but lost its position between 1500-1800, while per capita GDP stagnated.
2) After establishing the People's Republic in 1949, China's growth was modest at 3% annually before 1978, driven by capital investment.
3) Since 1978, China's growth accelerated over 8% annually and has been driven primarily by productivity growth, not capital accumulation.
This document discusses the widespread consensus views about China's growing economy and questions whether that consensus may be wrong. It argues that China's GDP growth is likely overestimated and driven by massive credit expansion rather than real economic activity. If China's top export markets in the US and Europe do not recover as expected, many of China's loans may not be repaid, suggesting China's economy is weaker than the numbers indicate. The document questions whether China can sustain its high growth rates going forward.
CHAPTER 5 - Global Population and Mobility-A Cultural Perspectives.pptxLanceAllera
Global cities are characterized by wealth, power, and influence over other countries. They host large capital markets and are home to wealthy multinational companies and powerful organizations linked globally. London, New York, Paris, Rome, and Tokyo are some of the most well-known global cities that provide global competitiveness. A global city also contains international organizations, law firms, stock exchanges, and headquarters that influence the world economy. Demographic changes, such as population growth and migration patterns, also impact global cities.
Global cities are characterized by wealth, power, and influence over other countries. They host large capital markets and are home to wealthy multinational companies and powerful organizations linked globally. London, New York, Paris, Rome, and Tokyo are some of the most well-known global cities that provide global competitiveness. A global city also contains international organizations, law firms, stock exchanges, and headquarters that influence the world economy. Demographic changes, such as population growth and migration patterns, also impact global cities.
This document discusses China's economic history and current state. It provides an overview of China's transition from a planned socialist economy to a mixed market system starting in 1978. This transformation led to high growth, with China's GDP quadrupling since 1978 and averaging over 10% annually until 2005. It also lifted over 800 million people out of poverty. However, China now faces issues like its trade war with the US, a slowing real estate market, and high debt levels. The document also briefly touches on China's economic reserves, relationship with Pakistan, and references used.
3Among the many forces shaping China’s course of developme.docxtamicawaysmith
3
Among the many forces shaping China’s course of development, argu-
ably none will prove more significant in the long run than the rapid
emergence and explosive growth of the Chinese middle class. China’s
ongoing economic transition from a relatively poor, developing nation
to a middle-class country has been one of the most fascinating human
dramas of our time. Never in history have so many people made so
much economic progress in one or two generations. Just twenty years
ago a distinct socioeconomic middle class was virtually nonexistent in
the People’s Republic of China (PRC), but today a large number of
Chinese citizens, especially in coastal cities, own private property and
personal automobiles, have growing financial assets, and are able to take
vacations abroad and send their children overseas for school. This trans-
formation is likely to have wide-ranging implications for every aspect
of Chinese life, especially the country’s long-term economic prospects,
energy consumption, and environmental well-being.
The importance of China’s emerging middle class, of course, extends
far beyond the realm of economics. This volume focuses on the socio-
political ramifications of the birth and growth of the Chinese middle
class over the past two decades. The central question is: What impacts,
ChaPtEr onE
Introduction: the rise of the
Middle Class in the Middle Kingdom
ChEnG LI
I would like to thank Sally Carman, Jordan Lee, Robert O’Brien, and Matthew Platkin for
their very helpful comments on an earlier version of this chapter.
01-0405-8 ch1.indd 3 10/7/10 3:42 PM
4 ChEnG LI
current and future, might China’s emerging middle class have on the
country’s social structure and political system? Following this broad line
of inquiry, the volume sets itself four tasks:
—To examine the status of research on social stratification and social
mobility in China
—To identify the major issues and trends related to the Chinese
middle class
—To compare the Chinese middle class with its counterparts in other
countries
—And to assess the values, worldviews, and potential political roles
of the Chinese middle class as well as its likely impact on China’s rise
on the world stage.
This introductory chapter provides an overview of the political signifi-
cance and historical background of the emerging Chinese middle class
and summarizes the existing literature and ongoing debates on the topic.
The Sociopolitical Significance of a Chinese Middle Class
Early studies of newly affluent groups in China, including the nascent
middle class, tend to emphasize the status quo–oriented, risk-averse nature
of these prime beneficiaries of economic reform. However, more recent
studies (including many by PRC scholars) suggest that this may simply be
a transitory phase in the development of the middle class. There already
appears to be widespread resentment among the middle class toward offi-
cial corruption and the state’s monopoly ...
Socialism with chinese characteristics and global superpower aspirantM S Siddiqui
In a world comprising a diverse array of countries, each with its own complex, dynamic, and evolving system, there can be no one-size-fits-all development path. The Thought builds on and further enriches Marxism-Leninism, Mao Zedong Thought, Deng Xiaoping Theory, the Theory of Three Represents, and the Scientific Outlook on Development. It represents the latest achievement in adapting Marxism to the Chinese context.
Understanding the coming domination of chinese yuanmnathani
This document discusses the growing prominence of the Chinese Yuan as an alternative international reserve currency to the US Dollar. It notes that China's GDP and foreign exchange reserves have grown rapidly in recent decades, while its currency has steadily appreciated. It predicts that by 2020, the Yuan will be more widely used in international trade and financial markets. The document advocates for reforms to international financial institutions to give emerging economies more influence, and the introduction of a new reserve currency to replace the dominant US Dollar.
hinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday night delivered a speech on China-U.S. relations in Seattle at a welcoming dinner hosted by local governments and friendly organizations in the United States. The following is the translated version of the full text of his speech.
This document discusses China's future challenges and opportunities. It notes that China is no longer the communist state envisioned by Mao and experts debate whether China will pursue peaceful evolution or become more aggressive. Key issues China faces include a declining and aging population as a result of the one-child policy, rising inequality, managing economic transition to higher wages, and dependence on continued growth. Questions remain over whether China can balance prosperity with limiting political freedoms and whether the country will pursue energy needs peacefully or aggressively.
The document discusses how the US federal budget deficit has grown large due to lower tax revenues and higher spending during the recession. It projects that the federal debt will exceed historical levels by 2023 and reach 190% of GDP by 2035 if changes are not made. It also summarizes factors like entitlement spending and healthcare costs that contribute to the growing deficit. The document argues that Democrats and Republicans need to agree on spending cuts and revenue increases to address the issue.
Similar to China The Next Ten Years by Dr Tim Dosemagen.pptx (20)
SDG Stocktake Georgia 2024 - SDGs Through the Eyes of Georgia's Business SectorUNGlobalCompactNetwo1
SDGs Through the Eyes of Georgia's Business Sector. The research was carried out by the UN Global Compact Network Georgia in partnership with EY Georgia, funding was provided by Sweden.
International Corporation is based on signed treatyaimantahira
is not merely based on a signed treaty or agreement or even as a result of membership of a certain block rather. In international Arena when countries collaborate, they do share some common believe systems in the form of progress, establishment of peace, improving the quality of life. This share believe system of values, norms, narratives as well as global perception (world view) largely compels the states to join hands. So the states start developing positive outlook (International Corporation) through social ties with the like minded States. Purpose of International Corporation is global common good, which is achieved through the method of Interdependence. States exhibit this interdependent through cross-border trade and connecting markets as per a shared economic agenda.
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Donate to Girl Child Education & Make Nation StrongerSERUDS INDIA
We all can see the increase in the literacy rate over the past few years. This is great because it showcases India has been growing at a rapid pace. Education is the key to entire nation growth. But the major concern is the education of the girl child education. Every other lower-middle-class family or people from rural areas families prefer to send their son to school and daughters are still not sent to school because of financial troubles.
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/donate-girl-child-education/
#sponsorforgirlchild, #donateforgirleducation, #girlchildeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforgirlchildeducation, #onlinegirlchildeducation, #educationforgirlchild, #seruds, #charitydonation, #kurnool, #educationkitforgirlchild
This presentation by Edwin Hlangwani, BRICS Young Scientist at the University of Johannesburg, was part of the Expert Exchange "Youth Empowerment for a Just Energy Transition" held on June 18, 2024.
In A Nutshell: Endometrial Cancer Molecular Subtypesbkling
In recent years, molecular subtypes have played an increasingly important role in classifying endometrial cancers and driving important clinical decisions. Join us on Facebook Live as Dr. Tashanna Myers, Division Chief, Gynecologic Oncology and Vice Chair Academic Affairs for the Department of OB/GYN at Baystate Medical Center, discusses the key molecular subtypes to provide you with a better understanding of the basics.
1. CHINA:
THE NEXT TEN
YEARS
Dr. Tim Dosemagen -
CEO
Chinese Translation &
Counterintelligence
Unclassified
REL: US / AUKUS / NATO / ROK / JAPAN / ROC
2. AGENDA
China: An Introduction
China’s Economy
China’s Military
China’s Politics
China’s Foreign Policy
Chinese Expansionism
COVID-19
The Past 10 Years
The Next 10 Years
Conclusions
4. NATIONAL FLAG
The red color of the flag is the symbol of the
revolution, signifying that the political power of the
People's Republic of China is achieved through
bloodshed and lives laid down by countless
revolutionary martyrs who marched forward wave
upon wave in the heroic struggles for the revolution.
In the upper-left corner of the flag there are five-
pointed yellow stars, of which the big one represents
the Communist Party of China and the four small
ones the people of all ethnic groups of the country.
One point of the big star points right up the flag and
of the four small ones each has a point pointing
towards the centre of the big star. This shows that
the Chinese Communist Party is the force at the core
of the leadership of the Chinese people of all ethnic
groups who unite closely as one round the Party.
With the color of the stars in yellow this means the
great cause of socialism has a bright future. With
the flag-staff painted white, that is to suggest
flawless purity and loftiness.
10. POPULATION TRENDS
• China’s population peaked in 2015 at 1.38 billion. Now in decline,
China’s population is estimated to fall below 1 billion by the year
2070.
• China's future population growth is a product of past control. The
average number of children per woman has been below the
replacement level of 2.1 since the mid-1980s. Most recent
estimates from the State Statistical Bureau assume that current
fertility on a national average is at 1.75 children per woman. In
cities, the fertility was estimated at 1.33, in towns at 1.48, and in
rural counties at 1.92 children per woman.
• Whatever population shrinkage we see in the future will be caused
not only by low fertility, but also by the "population momentum" of
China’s aging demographics.
• What will come is a legacy of the 1980s and beyond, when China’s
One Child Policy first came into effect. Consequently, China now
has a rapidly shrinking percentage of adults of reproductive age.
• China’s One Child Policy created two generations of only children
numbering over 90 million. 119 baby boys were born for every 100
girls. The number of unmarried young men, called ‘bare branches’,
is expected to be 30 million by 2030. 55 percent of Chinese women
surveyed say they do not want to give up their careers to get
married. This shrinking number of potential parents is the
reason the number of births will remain low even if fertility remains
at the current low level.
11. POPULATION TRENDS
• China's population planners can do nothing about this
structural decrease. The problem they face is ever
decreasing fertility from the current low level.
• However, with China's economic modernization, this is
an uphill battle, because in modern Chinese society
many do not accept the government's policies.
• These policies have already been loosened for parents
who were single children themselves, for farmers, and
for ethnic minorities. In fact, most official Chinese
population projections assume that fertility will increase
only slightly, to levels somewhat below the
replacement level of 2.1 children per woman.
• Policymakers in China are of course aware of this
challenge, and its economic ramifications. The family
planning program still has very high political priority,
even under the recently unsuccessful political
administration.
12. POPULATION TRENDS
• There is a secular trend toward small families among younger
couples in urban areas. Surveys have documented a lifestyle
change among those sections of the urban population that
have benefited most from China’s pre-COVID economic
development.
• Young Chinese prefer later marriages, later first births, and
increased birth spacing, not only because these decisions were
promoted for decades by the family planning program, but also
because they make it easier to improve one’s education or
pursue a career.
• As in many other developing countries, fertility in China will
continue to decline with increased prosperity.
• Thus, China’s economic development is promoting a lifestyle
change associated with lower fertility.
• China’s future population growth will depend very much on the
current demographic trends.
14. THE CHINESE LANGUAGE
• 3,000 characters required to
be literate
• 4,000 years of pictogram
evolution
15. THE CHINESE LANGUAGE
• Two parts of each pictogram -
radical & phonetic
• Radical = General category
• Phonetic = Pronunciation
• Hand
• Pray
• Pick-pocket
23. A LONG, REPEATING
HISTORY OF ‘THE DYNASTIC
CYCLE’
• Revolution.
• Good government. Rapid growth. Pride in work. Return to
morality. Peace.
• Widespread prosperity. Increasing government spending. Wars
of expansion.
• Increasing government borrowing. Rising taxes. Increasing
decadence. Debt. Wars of maintenance.
• Massive government borrowing. Political chaos. Taxpayer
revolts. Widespread obesity. Massive debt. Decadence in
entertainment. Uncontrolled violence in the cities. Wars of
defense. Visible decay.
28. CURRENCY
• The renminbi or ren min bi (Simplified
Chinese: 人民币); literally "people's
currency") is the official currency in the
mainland of the People's Republic of
China (PRC), whose principal unit is the
yuan (Simplified Chinese: 元).
• It is issued by the People's Bank of China,
the monetary authority of the PRC. The
official ISO 4217 abbreviation is CNY,
although also commonly abbreviated as
"RMB". The Latinized symbol is ¥.
• 1 USD = 7.27 RMB (AS OF 7/2024).
• PEGGED TO USD, LIMITED FLOATING
RANGE.
31. FACTORY TO THE WORLD
SOURCE – NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC MAGAZINE
• For every shipping container bringing materials into
Guangdong Province, nine go out filled with exports.
• Percent of the world’s umbrellas made in China: 70.
• Percent of the world’s buttons made in China: 60.
• Percent of U.S. shoes made in China: 72.
• Percent of U.S. kitchen appliances made in China: 50.
32. FACTORY TO THE WORLD
SOURCE – NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC MAGAZINE
• Percent of U.S. artificial Christmas trees made in China: 85.
• Percent of U.S. toys made in China: 80.
• Percent of Chinese goods sent to the U.S. that end up on
Wal-Mart’s shelves: 9.
• Percent of unsafe toys recalled in the U.S. in 2007,
including Thomas the Tank Engine, that were made in
China: 100.
• Number of months a Chinese factory worker would need to
work to earn the cost of a Thomas the Tank Engine train set:
6.
39. ENERGY IMPORT DEPENDENCY
China is the world’s largest energy consumer
and has been a net importer of energy since
1993. The country is highly dependent on
fossil fuel imports, and is the world’s largest
importer of oil and natural gas. China is also
an important coal importer. Before COVID,
China imported a record amount of energy,
including crude oil, natural gas, coal, and
renewable energy.
40. WEAPONIZING TRADE
China has taken trade weaponization to new heights.
After Liu Xiaobo was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize
in 2010, Chinese trade with Norway was severely
reduced and did not begin to recover until after the
king of Norway visited China in October 2018, more
than a year after Liu’s death. More recently, China has
taken similar actions against Australia after the latter
called for an investigation into the origins of Covid-19.
China severely limited access to National Basketball
Association games after a team official spoke out in
support of Hong Kong.
41. PEGGING THE RMB TO THE USD
China’s currency peg keeps the Yuan low relative to
other currencies, so consumers using foreign
currencies can buy more of China's exports than they
would if the yuan was more expensive. Specifically,
the People's Bank of China keeps the yuan weak
compared to the U.S. dollar, so consumers using the
greenback can buy more Chinese exports. Exports are
a major driver of China’s economy because they
represent money flowing into a nation. To keep the
Yuan artificially low and support robust export activity,
the People's Bank of China engages in currency
purchases. In the 20 years from 2004 to 2024, the
foreign exchange reserves (minus gold) owned by
China's central bank surged from roughly $615 billion
to $3.13 trillion.
46. RANKING
• The Chinese military is ranked #2 in the world, behind only the
United States.
• Annual military spending by China has increased from ($19
billion / 2002) to ($300 billion / 2025) ranking second, only
behind the USA’s $900 billion.
• Corruption Purges have dominated recent Chinese military
control by the Communist regime.
• The Chinese Navy is the largest on Earth, with 400 vessels.
• Chinese missile forces are highly capable, including carrier
killers, hypersonics and soon - space based assets. These
forces are extremely difficult to locate / interdict.
47. COMPOSITION
• The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is the armed wing of
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the military of
the People's Republic of China.
• Led by The Chinese Military Commission, the PLA is
organized into 4 Services and 4 Arms:
• Ground Force * Navy
• Air Force * Rocket Force
• Aerospace Force * Cyberspace Force
• Information Support Force * Joint Logistics Support
Force
50. THE PEOPLE’S LIBERATION AIR
FORCE
• The PLA Air Force had a total
strength of approximately 390,000,
organized into 45 air divisions.
• Among them are five bomber
divisions, 32 fighter divisions, six
attack divisions, two transport
divisions, 17 air defense divisions
[with 220,000 troops], and one
airborne army comprising three
airborne divisions with 20,000
airborne troops.
• Fighters are 4th generation and
improving, bombers are slow, and
are not stealthy.
51. SPACE POWER
China is developing and deploying a variety of space
weapon systems capable of destroying or interfering
with American satellites. These include direct energy
weapons (such as lasers), satellite signal jammers,
anti-satellite missiles, and spacecraft that can
grapple other satellites. China's goal is to displace
the U.S. in space and challenge its dominance.
52. THE PEOPLE’S LIBERATION ARMY
• The 900,000 PLA, a sprawling
organization of low-paid and
poorly trained personnel, is
modernizing from a corrupt,
decrepit equipment base and
outdated philosophy.
• The Chinese government has proposed a
defense budget of CNY1.67 trillion (USD232
billion) for 2024, official state media has
reported. The new expenditure represents a
nominal year-on-year increase of 7.2%, the same
rate of growth announced in 2023. Actual
spending is believed higher – by as
much as US$ 255 billion, foreign
experts say, because the total doesn't
include weapons purchases.
61. CURRENT POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
General Secretary: XI JINPING (since 15 November 2012). Maximum leader.
Unprecedented 3rd Term.
Premier: LI QIANG (since 11 March 2023). Before Xi Jinping, responsible for the
economy and the technical details of implementing government policy.
62. GENERAL SECRETARY OF THE COMMUNIST
PARTY AND CHAIRMAN OF THE CENTRAL
MILITARY COMMISSION XI JINPING: PROFILE
• Born: 6.15.1953 – In his 70s
• Steeped in the ways of the
Communist Party
• Public stiffness in front of
foreigners
• Spent two weeks in South America
in 2004 – more time than George
W. Bush had spent on the
continent in four years
• Pledged billions of dollars of
investments in Argentina, Brazil,
Chile and Cuba
• Never studied outside of the PRC
• Energetic image
• Optimistic domestic viewpoint
• Became party member in early
1960’s, headed the Communist
Youth League in the poor western
province of Gansu
• Hardline believer in Chinese
greatness
64. POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
• State Councilors
• The State Council of the People's Republic
of China, also known as the Central People's
Government, is the chief administrative
authority and the national cabinet of China. It
is constitutionally the highest administrative
organ of the country and the executive organ
of the National People's Congress,
the highest organ of state power. It is
composed of the premier, vice premiers,
state councilors, ministers of ministries,
directors of committees, the auditor general,
and the secretary-general.
Reporting to Premier Xi Jinping:
Li Qiang
Ding Xueqiang
He Lifeng
Zhang Guoqing
Liu Guozhong
Wang Xiaohong
Wu Zhenglong
Shen Yiqin
65. NATIONAL PEOPLES
CONGRESS
The Choir Of Totalitarian Chinese Communism
Unanimous votes – unabashed docility and thought
control
Compliance and passivity – masquerading as unity
and stability
A total lack of any creative energy – overwhelmingly
male
Tantamount to a high school student council - with a
dress code
67. PARTNERSHIP WITH THE
PUTIN REGIME: RUSSIA
• Energy imports
• Support of Ukraine War / Expansionism
• Provision of weapon components and technology
• Import of airplane engine technology
• Security of 2,615 mile border (site of 1962 war)
• Import of wood, fish, metals, foodstuffs and strategic minerals
68. PARTNERSHIP WITH THE
KIM DYNASTY: NORTH
KOREA
• Strategic minerals and base metal imports
• Support of nuclear weapon development
• Support of missile development
• Export of weapons and technology
• Security of 840 mile border (site of smuggling)
• Support of international sanctions cheating
• Support of international hacking and terrorism
69. PARTNERSHIP WITH THE
ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN
• Cheap oil imports
• Supply of oil tankers
• Tacit support of Houthi terrorism
• Tacit support of Hamas terrorism
• Tacit support of Hezbolla terrorism
• Support of international sanctions cheating
• Support of international hacking and terrorism
70. THE BELT & ROAD INITIATIVE
The Belt and Road Initiative, known in China as the One Belt One
Road and sometimes referred to as the New Silk Road, is a global
infrastructure development strategy adopted by the Chinese
government in 2013 to invest in more than 150 countries and
international organizations. The BRI is composed of six urban
development land corridors linked by road, rail, energy, and digital
infrastructure and the Maritime Silk Road linked by the development
of ports.
Xi originally announced the strategy as the "Silk Road Economic
Belt" during an official visit to Kazakhstan in September 2013. "Belt"
refers to the proposed overland routes for road and rail
transportation through landlocked Central Asia along the
famed historical trade routes of the Western Regions; "road" is short
for the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road, which refers to the Indo-
Pacific sea routes through Southeast Asia to South Asia, the Middle
East and Africa.
It is considered a centerpiece of the Chinese Communist
71. ISOLATION OF TAIWAN
China is pursuing a concerted strategy to
isolate Taiwan internationally and intimidate it
and its would-be supporters militarily. But
Australia—a critical US ally in the region—has
responded to China’s strategies by deepening
its diplomatic ties with Taiwan and building its
military deterrence capabilities. Ironically,
Beijing’s efforts to isolate and intimidate are
generating unintended outcomes that will
make it harder for China to achieve its long-
term goals.
72. AFRICAN INFLUENCE
PEDDLING
•China is the African continent’s largest trading
partner and source of foreign direct investment. Its
investment has helped spur infrastructure
development and economic growth.
•China’s need for oil and other resources and a
market to sell its products has driven its investment
in Africa.
•While many in Africa view China’s investment
favorably, some political leaders and workers have
criticized Beijing for ignoring environmental
standards, violating local laws, and other exploitative
behaviors.
73. SOUTH AMERICAN
INFLUENCE PEDDLING
•China is South America’s top trading partner and
a major source of both foreign direct investment
and lending in energy and infrastructure,
including through its massive Belt and Road
Initiative.
•It has invested heavily in Latin America’s space
sector and has strengthened its military ties with
several countries, particularly Venezuela.
•Policymakers in Washington are pursuing new
trade and investment avenues to bolster U.S.
leadership in the region and push back against
74. DIVIDING WESTERN
ALLIANCES
If true superpower status is China’s desired destination,
there are two roads it might take to try to get there. The
first is the one American strategists have until now
emphasized (to the extent they acknowledged China’s
global ambitions). This road runs through China’s home
region, specifically the Western Pacific. It focuses on
building regional primacy as a springboard to global
power, and it looks quite familiar to the road the United
States itself once traveled.
The second road is very different because it seems to defy
the historical laws of strategy and geopolitics. This
approach focuses less on building a position of
unassailable strength in the Western Pacific than on
outflanking the U.S. alliance system and force presence in
that region by developing China’s economic, diplomatic,
and political influence on a global scale.
75. LOSING EUROPEAN NATIONS
THROUGH UNDEMOCRATIC
POLICIES
• China’s rising power and its tendency to use that power to
punish other countries for even minor offenses have
shifted European attitudes in a sharply negative direction.
Twenty years ago, European attitudes toward China were
mostly positive; today, the share of the population with an
“unfavorable” view of China has reached 63 percent in Spain,
85 percent in Sweden, 70 percent in France, and 71 percent in
Germany. China’s confrontational diplomatic style and its
efforts to impose cultural uniformity by “reeducating” millions
of Uyghurs have played poorly in Europe as well. These
dimensions of threat—rising aggregate power and growing
perceptions that China is a revisionist power that doesn’t play
nice—have led many European governments to take a warier
view of China’s growing role on the world stage. Looking
ahead, a shared desire to keep a restless, intolerant, and quick-
to-anger China from exerting the greatest influence over the
core principles of world order is likely to encourage most of
Europe (and especially America’s closest allies there) to line up
with Washington, at least on such issues as trade or basic
human rights.
76. REDUCING DOMESTIC
DOLLAR HOLDINGS
China unloaded a record volume of US
bonds in the first quarter of 2024,
escalating the country's pivot from dollar-
denominated assets.
According to US Treasury data cited by
Bloomberg, Beijing sold $53.3 billion
worth of US Treasury and agency bonds
from its stockpile. That's above already
eye-catching volumes China was
77. REDUCING INTERNATIONAL
DOLLAR DEPENDENCE
First, China has supported and promoted regional and
multilateral currency and financial co-operation through
regional or non-western partnerships. In 2000, it supported
the launch of the Chiang Mai Initiative in the aftermath of
the Asian financial crisis and the Bank for International
Settlements’ Renminbi Regional Liquidity Arrangement in
2022 in response to the economic shocks of the Covid-19
pandemic. The Chinese government has also engaged with
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the other
BRICs member countries (Brazil, Russia, India and South
Africa) to promote using local currencies in trade,
investment and development finance.
Second, China has attempted to broaden the use of the
renminbi in international trade and investment while
promoting renminbi-based international financial
infrastructures. Since the 2008 financial crisis, the Chinese
government has put resources into developing a renminbi-
80. WOLF WARRIORISM
Wolf Warrior (Chinese: 战狼) is a 2015 Chinese war
film written and directed by Wu Jing. It stars Wu Jing
along with Scott Adkins, Yu Nan and Kevin Lee. It was
released on 2 April 2015. A sequel, titled Wolf Warrior 2,
was released in China in 2017 and became the all-time
highest-grossing film in China.
Today’s Chinese leadership has a war fever / expansionist
bent equal to that of China’s former Japanese Imperialist
masters under Tojo.
Xi Jinping exhibits all the characteristics of Wolf
Warriorism in China’s throwing of sharp elbows in the
South China Sea, overt threatening to take Taiwan by
force, its border battles with India, and early ‘repatriation’
of Hong Kong.
81. ANTI-AMERICANISM
After President Biden and Chinese leader Xi
Jinping met, the duo agreed to boost engagement
among regular citizens, but U.S. Ambassador to
China Nicholas Burns told The Wall Street
Journal that China has actively undermined that
agreement.
For example, the Journal reported, citizens who
attend events organized by the U.S. in China have
been interrogated and intimidated. The embassy
has also had increased restrictions on its social
media posts.
“They say they’re in favor of reconnecting our two
populations, but they’re taking dramatic steps to
make it impossible,” Burns told the Journal.
82. RECENT HISTORICAL HIGHLIGHTS
• 1999 – U.S. destroys Chinese
embassy in Belgrade; massive
Chinese street protests ensue.
• The United States agreed to pay $4.5
million in damages to about two dozen
people injured and the families of three
reporters killed when NATO bombs hit
the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade,
former Yugoslavia.
• U.S. envoys also asked Beijing to pay
for damages to U.S. diplomatic offices
in China that occurred during violent
protests after the May 7, 1999 bombing.
84. DECEMBER 5TH, 2019: THE CHINESE
AUTHORITIES KNEW THE WUHAN
VIRUS WAS HUMAN-TO-HUMAN
TRANSMITTED AND DEADLY.
• Gain of function virus research was ongoing in China.
• The single strand RNA virus is a vascular disease, attacking the
tiny capillary systems of the body: Brain / Kidneys / Lungs / Heart /
Intestines / Circulatory
• Of 200,000 population centers in China, Wuhan was the virus’
epicenter.
• International flights were long kept going by China, well after
knowledge of the virus’ transmissibility, virulence and deadliness,
from 12.5.19 – 1.16.20.
• The Communist authorities spread disinformation on the origins of
the virus, claiming that the United States was to blame.
• Foreign residents of China were anal-swabbed during the
epidemic’s height.
85. DECEMBER 5TH, 2019: THE CHINESE
AUTHORITIES KNEW THE WUHAN
VIRUS WAS HUMAN-TO-HUMAN
TRANSMITTED AND DEADLY.
• China’s population has an aging crisis – a large and growing
elderly cohort, dependent on single child support due to the
One China Policy, pressuring meager state support, requiring
huge government funding.
• China’s economy is overwhelmingly heads-down /
manufacturing, versus The West, which is overwhelmingly
person to person / services.
• The virus devastated the old, the obese, and service workers.
• Western nations were hit the hardest. The United States alone
took a $6 Trillion hit. Effects are still being felt in education and
services.
• The crime scene in Wuhan was immediately shut tight.
86. DECEMBER 5TH, 2019: THE CHINESE
AUTHORITIES KNEW THE WUHAN
VIRUS WAS HUMAN-TO-HUMAN
TRANSMITTED AND DEADLY.
• 1,100,000 Americans have died from the Wuhan virus.
• 130,000,000+ Americans have been infected by COVID-19.
• 20% of those infected have Long COVID, and are still experiencing
symptoms.
• Long term effects on human health are apparent, worrisome and still
evolving.
• The virus is still active, still mutating, still being spread and still killing.
• Unanswered Q1: Why did China design, create and release the
virus?
• Unanswered Q2: Why did the Chinese purposely keep international
flights going from 12.5.19 through mid-January 2020?, infecting
the entire population of Earth?
87. THE PAST TEN YEARS:
INTIMIDATION, COMPETITION &
PREPARATION FOR WAR
88. EXPANSIONISM AND NAKED
AGGRESSION
Spy Balloon deployment over North America.
Purchases / leases of real-estate near United
States military bases.
Fentanyl exports to the American market, 100,000
overdoses PY.
Hacking of the United States Government’s
personnel system (2013-2015).
Weaponization of Tik Tok social media to destroy
the mental health of American youth, raising
suicide rates.
Open harassment of the United States Navy.
Establishment of a Cuban intelligence base.
89. EXPANSIONISM AND NAKED
AGGRESSION
Forced, early and draconian ‘repatriation’ of HK.
Illegal seizure of the vast South China Sea territory.
Manufacture of, and militarization of South China Sea
islands.
Deployment of anti-submarine warfare assets / Type
55 DDs.
Claiming ownership of Japanese islands.
Claiming ownership of Vietnamese islands.
Deployment of Dongfang missiles.
Doubling of offensive intercontinental ballistic missile
force.
90. EXPANSIONISM AND NAKED
AGGRESSION
Naked aggression against the Republic of the Philippines
Navy.
Hostile intercepts and intimidation of Australian Navy.
Hostile intercepts and intimidation of Japanese Navy.
Harassment of South Korean Navy.
Deadly incursions into disputed Indian territory.
Support of North Korean nuclear / ballistic missile
development.
Undersea cable cutting incidents against NATO nations.
Rapid build-up of 400 ship navy.
Deployment of 3 aircraft carriers – power projection vectors.
Naked aggression against Taiwan, Republic of China.
91. THE GREAT CHINESE HACK OF
THE U.S. GOVERNMENT’S
PERSONNEL SYSTEM
The hack began in November of 2013, when the
attackers first breached OPM networks. This
attacker or group is dubbed X1 by the
Congressional OPM data breach report. While X1
wasn’t able to access any personnel records at that
time, they did manage to exfiltrate manuals and IT
system architecture information.
The next month, in December of 2013, is when we
definitively know that attackers were attempting to
breach the systems of two contractors, USIS and
KeyPoint, who conducted background checks on
government employees and had access to OPM
servers (though USIS may have actually been
breached months earlier).
92. THE GREAT CHINESE HACK OF
THE U.S. GOVERNMENT’S
PERSONNEL SYSTEM
In March of 2014, OPM officials realized they’d been
hacked. However, they didn’t publicize the breach
at that time, and, having determined that the
attackers were confined to a part of the network
that didn’t have any personnel data, OPM officials
chose to allow the attackers to remain so they
could monitor them and gain counterintelligence.
OPM did plan for what they called the “big bang”—
a system reset that would purge the attackers from
the system—which they implemented on May 27,
2014, when the attackers began to load keyloggers
onto database administrators’ workstations.
93. THE GREAT CHINESE HACK OF
THE U.S. GOVERNMENT’S
PERSONNEL SYSTEM
Unfortunately, on May 7, 2014, an attacker or group
dubbed X2by the report had used credentials stolen
from KeyPoint to establish another foothold in the
OPM network and install malware there to create a
backdoor. This breach went undetected and the
“big bang” didn’t remove X2’s access or the
backdoor. In July and August of 2014, these
attackers exfiltrated the background investigation
data from OPM’s systems.
Every Form SF-86 Questionnaire For National
Security (which is the government’s official
application for a security clearance) filed from late
1988 until the discovery of the breach in 2014 was
compromised.
94. THE NEXT TEN YEARS:
CONFLICT WITH THE WEST AND
WAR AGAINST TAIWAN
97. PLAN
COMBATANTS
97
• The overall battle force of the PLAN is expected
to grow to 415 ships by 2025, and 435 ships by
2030.
• The USN, by comparison, included 291 battle
force ships as of 10.19.23, and the USN’s 2024
budget submission projects 290 battle force
vessels by 2030.
98. PLAN
COMBATANTS
98
• China would win a naval war in Chinese
territorial waters, under land-based air cover.
However, the United States has no intention of
fighting a war on China’s turf.
• The USN will instead fight that war on the high
seas, which is their turf. China will lose a naval
war anywhere else but just off the Chinese
coast and FIC.
99. PLAN
COMBATANTS
99
• In raw numbers, the PLAN has many more
combatants, dependent upon which types of
ships are included.
• In numbers of actual combat capable warships,
the USN has 11 Aircraft Carriers (vs 3 PLAN
carriers), and most critically, 55 attack
submarines of varying type, which place the
United States in a position to completely cut off
all energy imports to the PRC, dominating the
100. TAKEAWAYS:
100
Although very dangerous and highly capable in
green waters / PRC coastal / First Island Chain
engagements, the PLAN would very quickly lose
control of blue water operations to the USN,
resulting in the closure of the Strait of Malacca, and
a contested FIC, bringing 1,000 Yuan per liter
gasoline to Shanghai. Ponder this.
101. WAR ON
TAIWAN
101
• How the timeline for the
PRC’s 2027 Taiwan
invasion will likely
unfold..
102. USN ATTACK
SUBS
102
• In wartime, each of the United States Navy’s 55
attack submarines will carry over 100 MK-48
torpedoes. 3 MK-48s, well placed, will sink a
Chinese aircraft carrier. Taiwan has over 1,000
MK-48 torpedoes. The PLAN cannot operate
safely anywhere outside of the coast of China,
and certainly not beyond the First Island Chain.
103. U.S. NAVY
SUB
TACTICS
103
• In wartime, the United States Navy’s 55 attack
submarines will employ the use of sea sail
drones and droning tactics. One recent
example of the tactical advantages offered via
the employment of these weapons / tactics
comes from the USN Triton activity off of the
Islamic Republic of Iran’s coast.
• Click the video below.
104. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
104
1. In the immediate future, watch for the
PRC to attempt to provoke the Philippines
into a kinetic engagement somewhere in
the South China Sea. Expect seizure of a
Philippine Navy vessel, as a firm message.
105. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
105
• 2. Watch for massive ship
redeployments (surface combatants
AND subs) from the North Sea Fleet –
Qingdao / Dalian and East Sea Fleet.
SIGINT, HUMINT AND PHOTINT will tip
The West off several months in
109. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
109
6. The PLAN aircraft carriers Liaoning, Shanghai
and Fujian will be fully operational by 2027. Pre-
quarantine, watch for these power projection
assets to be pre-deployed - directly north, directly
south, and directly east of Taiwan, at distances
between 30 and 100 NM.
110. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
110
7. The invasion will first be preceded by a
limited, then a comprehensive quarantine,
in 2026. This quarantine will be enforced
by between 200 to 230 PLAN naval assets,
including Coast Guard and coastal patrol /
fishing vessels, with key SCS island
111. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
111
8. An air campaign will commence after Taiwan is
sufficiently provoked, likely in late 2026, providing
semi-legitimate diplomatic cover for the looming
‘repatriation’ and invasion. Lack of food (and
Taiwanese suffering) caused by the quarantine will
be one of the stated pretexts for invasion. Watch
for jamming, provoked intercepts, and heightened
112. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
112
9. The final PRC ultimatum will be issued
in early 2027. This will be rightly mocked
by The West, and renounced by The
Republic of China. The PRC will choose
the best time window for 2027 invasion.
113. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
113
10. ‘Operation Repatriation’ commences in
2027. It is a disaster. MK-48 torpedoes
(and swarms of other anti-ship assets)
sink the Liaoning; the Fujian is quickly put
out of action, and the Shanghai quickly
loses control of Taiwan’s east coast to
114. THE BOTCHED
TAIWAN
‘REPATRIATION’
114
11. Taiwan, R.O.C., with direct assistance
from the United States, AUKUS+2 and The
West, will not only repulse this botched
invasion, but will also present a loss of
face in Beijing, infuriating the 群众. ‘Xi
Thinking’ meets its inevitable death spiral.
115. NEXT
PROVOCATIONS
BY THE PRC
115
• Create an incident and seize a Philippines Navy
vessel.
• Accelerate militarization of South China Sea.
• Grow stealth guided missile destroyer Type-55
series.
• Add anti-submarine warfare assets, green &
117. WEAKNESS #1:
AN AGING AND DECLINING
POPULATION
It’s the biggest demographic revolution in
history: The number of China’s elderly is
ballooning thanks to improvements in
medicine and sanitation, while the number
of people born after the government’s One
Child Policy went into effect in 1979 is
dwindling. China’s immense workforce, key
to today’s boom, began shrinking after
2015. The country is attempting to fill jobs
by continuing to tap underemployed rural
laborers. But by 2050, close to a third of
China’s citizens will be over 60 – three
times the current population. China’s only
children will have to support two parents –
another burden.
126. WEAKNESS #10:
UNDERCAPITALIZATION
Capital flight in China has been on the rise, with
significant outflows of money leaving the country.
In recent months, nearly $54 billion was sent
overseas on behalf of banking clients, putting
pressure on the yuan's exchange rate against the
dollar. The struggling economy and concerns
about securities investments have contributed to
this trend.
147. CLOSING
THOUGHTS
• FBI Director Christopher Wray: “The PRC
has made it clear that it considers every
sector that makes our society run as fair
game in its bid to dominate on the world
stage, and that its plan is to land low
blows against civilian infrastructure to
try to induce panic and break America’s
will to resist…” (official remarks at the
Vanderbilt Summit on Modern Conflict
and Emerging Threats in Nashville.)
• Wray: Chinese Government Poses 'Broad and Unrelenting'
Threat to U.S. Critical Infrastructure — FBI