The document discusses how the post-pandemic period has brought more chaos than expected due to issues like inflation, supply chain problems, and geopolitical conflicts. It then summarizes four frameworks that were presented at previous world summits by Jeremy Gutsche, the CEO of Trend Hunter, that all predicted this incremental period of chaos from 2022-2028. The document encourages focusing on consumer trends, which can provide opportunities during chaotic times. It promotes Trend Hunter's services for researching trends and hosting events like Future Festival to inspire innovation.
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2. Around the world, we had eagerly awaited a simpler, post-pandemic period, but reality is sinking in that we are
not about to embrace a period of smooth sailing. We are embracing a world of faster paced change, political
and media polarity, supply chain woes, inflation, debt, and geopolitical conflict. That’s not the end of the
pandemic that most people wanted, but it Is the outcome that many frameworks predicted.
In my 2020 and 2021 world summit keynotes, I walked through 4 frameworks which each predict incremental
chaos, using 4 different approaches. I’ve detailed them in the extended cut of this letter (on the next page), but
the simplicity is that we expect more chaos, which for you, will equate to opportunity if you hunt the trends.
In these time periods of rapid change, consumer trends are your secret weapon. Those that study the trends
find themselves uncovering new insights, that lead to products and services for our evolving world.
In a time of chaos, the question of “what business are we in” becomes a CEO-level ‘problem’ and your answer
needs to derive from fresh, current research about what the consumers actually want and need. Based on our
study of 250,000,000 people, we are happy to present you with some of the freshest ideas across many
categories. Enjoy the report, and if you want to bring your inspiration to life, join us at Future Festival!
Let’s Create The Future.
Jeremy Gutsche
CEO of Trend Hunter
NY Times Bestselling Author & Keynote Speaker – JeremyGutsche.com
Welcome to The New Era of Chaos
3. This report focuses on insights and OPPORTUNITIES, but in this current time period, I would be remised if I did not touch on the
broader global trends that are rattling our world. In my last Future Festival World Summit Keynote, I did this by exploring 4 different frameworks that help explain
our current reality. It seems that all 4 of these frameworks are aligned in predicting that there will more chaos, right now:
1. Our Post-Pandemic Chaos Framework – By studying past pandemics, from the Renaissance to the Spanish Flu, the key insight is that post-pandemic, we never
retreat the past, but we also don’t jump to the new normal. We enter an era of incremental chaos – The New Roaring 20s – where people make up for lost time
and competitors reveal new products. This theory predicts chaos from 2022 to 2032
2. Generational Theory and The Saeculums – We tend to think of the world in a linear way, and people miss out on all the patterns. But it wasn’t always that way.
The ancients studied generational patterns, which led to deep understanding of how the timing of your life, compared to major wars or chaos, results in a series
of patterns that impact each generation that follows. Applied to today, this theory predicts chaos from 2008 to 2028.
3. The Changing World Order – Ray Dalio’s work shows us that nations rise and fall, and if you analyze 8 different factors you can see, understand and predict
the rise and fall of empires over the span of a couple hundred years. That theory predicts increasing criss and tension between USA and China, and also
predicts rising inflation, a debt tsunami, increased money supply, polarity, a challenge to the reserve currency, and conflict.
4. The Accelerating Pace of Change – Last, in an accelerating world of technology, we expect Artificial Intelligence and the globalization of knowledge to make
the pace of human change not-so-human-at-all. This theory simply predicts that the next 3-5 years will have more innovation than the last 10.
Our Historic Time Period
<< Watch This as a Keynote Video:
Post-Pandemic Opportunity
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O217ziYjft8
17. We categorize the world into high-level patterns,
megatrends, insights and ideas.
We believe if you study these
patterns, you are more likely to
Predict & Create The Future
18. Patterns of Opportunity
- Patterns of Chaos – All opportunity can be mapped to six patterns
- Each Pattern Drives Several Megatrends
18 Megatrends
- Long Term – Designed to predict 5-10 years out
10,000 Insights (the “Sweet Spot”)
- Medium Term – Predict 1-4 years out
- Clusters of Opportunity –These are identified from studying ideas, looking for
meaningful groups of examples that are related
500,00 Individual Ideas
- Shorter term – Individual ideas or case studies that can be inspiring
A key tool is our megatrend wheel. You’ll note that our
6 patterns are the highest level, and never change, trickling
down to our megatrends, insights & ideas
Macro
Micro
.
..
.
19. ACCELERATION
CONVERGENCE
CYCLICALITY
REDIRECTION
DIVERGENCE
1. Perfecting One Thing
2. Aspirational Icon
3. Exaggerated Feature
4. Reimagined Solution
REDUCTION
1. Specialization
2. Fewer Layers + Efficiency
3. Crowdsourcing
4. Subscription
1. Combining + Layering
2. Adding Value
3. Co-Branding + Aligning
4. Physical + Digital
1. Retro + Nostalgia
2. Generational
3. Economic + Seasonal
4. Repetitive Cycles
1. Refocusing
2. Reversing
3. Surprising
4. Gamifying
1. Personalization, Customization
2. Status + Belonging
3. Style + Fashionizing
4. Generational Rebellion
We use our patterns & megatrends as a higher level guide of where the world is heading
AI
We are entering a transformative
new era, denoted by an exponential
growth in data, robotics and
intelligence.
Catalyzation
Brands have taken a role of
accelerating the personal
development of consumers.
Prosumerism
From user-generated content to
maker culture, today’s consumers
expect professional tools & services.
Curation
Hyper-targeted offerings, services,
subscriptions and recommendations
to simplify lives with better things.
Simplicity
In a fast-paced, cluttered world,
simplicity stands out, resulting in
focused businesses & clean design.
Instant Entrepreneurship
New services make it easier than
ever to conceptualize, fund, launch
and companies.
Co-Creation
Brands, products, services and
customers are increasingly co-
creating an interdependent world.
Hybridization
Lines are blurring as business
models, products and services
merge to create unique concepts
and experiences
Multisensation
Tech, AR, VR and interactive
experiences are raising our
expectations in the realms of
entertainment, retail and even food.
Youthfulness
The world is becoming more playful,
driven by generations not ready to
grow up, including Boomers who
desire a more active, enriched life.
Naturality
The desire for sustainable products,
including local, organic, recyclable
and pronounceable ingredients.
Nostalgia
Fond memories fuel a desire to bring
the past into the present, especially
with respect to one’s formative years.
Experience
In a world abundant with ‘stuff,’
experience becomes a more
important currency and life priority.
Gamification
The application of game dynamics
to real-world problems results in a
world that’s more competitive and
engaging.
Tribalism
Allegiant groups are more readily
formed around specific interests,
causes and even brands.
Many-to-Many
A mass proliferation of sellers and
media creators has shifted the
world to a many-to-many economy.
Personalization
Small batch production
technologies and more
personalized media are creating an
expectation for personalization.
Authenticity
Social media and a resistance to
traditional advertising have created a
desire for authenticity and reality.
20. We use our “insights” to identify pockets of opportunity.
To us, an insight is a cluster of several ideas that stand out
e.g. Gene-Personalized Products
7 Ideas, 63 Related Examples, 197,000 Clicks