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I am planning to go to Oulu in February for 4 days. What are the chances of seeing Aurora Borealis and are there some tours available? Would there be a significantly better chance of seeing the aurorae further north in Rovaniemi?

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    Not really an answer, but there are forecast websites like this: aurora-service.eu/aurora-forecast . They can help you get the feel for the places you have to go to for the best chances. Commented Jan 10, 2019 at 18:18
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    Please, we don't need to close as "opinion-based" just because the question says "better". Commented Jan 11, 2019 at 12:29
  • I fail to understand how is it an opinion based question. I have asked if there are tours available from Oulu. I also asked if there is a better chance if I travel to Rovaniemi. The answer for this could be yes or no based on what people have experience in past. Commented Jan 11, 2019 at 13:01

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Your odds are good but not great.

The season is good, since while the peak season for auroras in Oulu ("O" in the graph below) is April, but there's a fair amount of activity in February as well.

enter image description here (courtesy Finnish Meteorological Institute)

However, the incidence of auroras drops rapidly as you go south. Per this page from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (in Finnish), in northernmost Finland, 3 out of 4 nights have auroras, but around Rovaniemi that falls to 50% and in Oulu only 1 out of 3. Remember that these are statistical averages: if it's cloudy, you won't see anything, since aurora are far above the clouds.

And yes, there are tours from Oulu, here's one selected at random. Rovaniemi is a much larger tourist destination though and will have more options.

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