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1 vote
0 answers
12 views

Recycling MCMC samples for another data set from the same distribution

Suppose I'm given $\theta_0$ and I want to sample data from a density $f(Y|\theta_0)$ and then sample from the posterior of $\theta|Y$ (given, obviously, some prior). I want to do this lots of times, ...
Thomas Lumley's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
18 views

Is this a reasonable way to check the quality of simulated data in MCMC inference?

I have a hierarchical Bayesian model that looks like this: $\alpha_i \sim \mathcal{N}\left(\mu_\alpha, \sigma_\alpha\right) \tag{1}$ $\beta_i \sim \mathcal{N}\left(\mu_\beta, \sigma_\beta\right) \tag{...
chesslad's user avatar
  • 211
0 votes
0 answers
37 views

How can I determine if a system is equilibrated?

Cross-posted in SCSE and MMSE I am experimenting with a new MCMC protocol and new research. In the context of Monte Carlo simulation, a "state of equilibrium" refers to a condition where the ...
user366312's user avatar
  • 2,201
0 votes
0 answers
23 views

Metropolis-Hastings on domain $(2, \infty)$

I'm trying to understand the Metropolis Hastings algorithm in depth by solving some exercise problems. On one of them, I'm asked to use MH to generate samples from $$f(x) = c \frac{1}{\theta}e^{-\frac{...
Christina Kataki's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
119 views

How to compute Expected Squared Jump Distance (ESJD) of a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm

The Expected Squared Jump Distance (ESJD) seems to be defined slightly differently in various papers, which makes this very confusing. For instance, Definition 2.2 of Optimal Scaling of Random-Walk ...
Euler_Salter's user avatar
  • 2,236
0 votes
0 answers
57 views

Monte Carlo simulation to get stationary distribution of a complex system

I was wondering if I could get some help with my problem. I have a complex Markov chain where I cannot track its transition analytically. Instead, I decided to simulate $N$ numbers of particles for $T$...
Anonymouslylost's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
201 views

Sampling from the posterior with a constraint on the posterior mean

Background Under certain assumptions we know that being given the posterior mean and a family of conditional distributions, we can uniquely determine the joint distribution. I quote one of the ...
treskov's user avatar
  • 540
3 votes
0 answers
63 views

Gillespie's Algorithm's Connection to Kolmogorov's Forward Equations

I've been learning Gillespie's algorithm to simulate continuous time Markov chains. I understand how the algorithm is derived from the reaction probability density function $P(\tau, \mu)$ = ...
troutman314's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
217 views

Why is it easy for the Gibbs sampler to take long time to converge to target distribution?

This is related to Gelman's Bayesian Data Analysis 3rd Edition pg 300 first paragraph of Section 12.4. The book says the following. "An inherent inefficiency in the Gibbs sampler and Metropolis ...
user45765's user avatar
  • 1,445
1 vote
1 answer
84 views

Metropolis - Hastings algorithm on a set of countable sequences

I want to simulate $\sigma$ from a measure $\pi(\sigma)$ through the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, where $\sigma$ is a sequence of 0's and 1's on $S = \{0, 1\}^n$, the set of all sequences of 0's ...
Occhima's user avatar
  • 425
2 votes
2 answers
132 views

Simulations based noisy likelihood function

I have a problem where I have a measured data vector $D$ with Gaussian uncertainties (covariance matrix $\Sigma$). I am now trying to model this data with a generative model with parameters $\phi$. ...
sega_sai's user avatar
  • 827
2 votes
1 answer
380 views

How to understand the scaling in Metropolis Hastings MCMC

We know the Metropolis Hastings (MH) in MCMC: target distribution: $\pi(x)$ proposal distribution: $p(y|x)$ acceptance: $\alpha(x,y) = \min \Big(1, \dfrac{\pi(y)p(y|x)}{\pi(x)p(x|y)}\Big)$ Here are ...
user6703592's user avatar
  • 1,345
1 vote
0 answers
30 views

Proving simulation with rejection generates conditional distribution

I'm working with Poisson processes, but the idea is more general. I want to simulate a two-dimensional Poisson process (over the unit square so we can ignore an area factor) with parameter $\lambda,$ ...
ichthyophile's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
166 views

SMC Samplers - Optimal Backward Kernel Explanation

In Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers of Del Moral (2006) we see that the optimal backward kernel is $$ L_{n-1}^{\text{opt}} (x_{n-1} \mid x_n) = \frac{\eta_{n-1}(x_{n-1}) K_n(x_n \mid x_{n-1})}{\eta_n(...
Physics_Student's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
28 views

Simulations for uniform limit theorems

When it comes to simulations, I am unfortunately new: How can I verify the performance of my theoretical result, being a limit theorem of the following type: $$\text{sup}_{t\in[0,1]} X_{t}^{n}\overset{...
runix's user avatar
  • 11

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