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1 vote
0 answers
171 views

Model comparison for robust linear mixed effects models

I have fitted two robust linear mixed effects models, null.model and full.model, with same random-effects term, ...
medium-dimensional's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
101 views

Bayesian evidence with Sequential Monte Carlo and an unnormalized likelihood function: a contradiction?

There is a contradiction in my understanding of Sequential Monte Carlo for estimating Bayesian evidence for model comparison: Marginal likelihood (aka normalizing constant, aka Bayesian evidence) ...
Luke Gorrie's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
59 views

Model section when AIC and logLik differ

To analyze my ordinal (Liker scale ratings) I used the clmm function for the ordinal package. Since I have fixed and random ...
acr's user avatar
  • 43
0 votes
1 answer
80 views

Model comparison between inherently different machine-learning algorithms

For example, how to fairly compare the performance of XGBoost/LightGBM to the performance of a Feed-Forward Neural Network? Especially regarding (1) Data Preprocessing and (2) Hyperparameter Tuning? ...
OliverHennhoefer's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
802 views

Valid model comparison/selection? Poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated poisson, z-i negative binomial with AIC

I want to model counts of an event in a pre-post design. A sample dataset could look like this: ...
Vasco Brazao's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
19 views

model to explore correlation of pollution long-term exposure with genetic mutation rates

I have pollution data of several US cities, as example NY, Boston, and Chicago. I need to ...
cccnrc's user avatar
  • 229
0 votes
0 answers
41 views

Can we compare whether different groupings of data improve model accuracy?

I have data from 100 different lab incubations of manure samples. For each sample, a 3-day incubation was done, measuring values (y-axis) against time (x-axis). I want to perform a linear regression ...
frandude's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
63 views

Model comparison: what to do when reduced model doesn't converge?

This is a general question about how to do hypothesis testing via model comparison: I want to test the significance of several different predictors in a data set using model comparison. After a lot of ...
Ellen's user avatar
  • 41
1 vote
1 answer
201 views

GARCH model sensitivity to distribution assumptions

I am trying to fit an ARMA(4,4)- GARCH(1,1) model to return data, where the distribution of returns is highly leptokurtic. I plan to see whether autocorrelations exist in the data even after ...
blaustone's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
29 views

Is there a consensus on bad practice when doing model comparison in deep learning?

Lately I've been thinking about how to maintain the Equity property when Benchmarking DL for research. On Wikipedia, Equity property is defined as "All systems should be fairly compared." ...
Minh Khôi's user avatar
16 votes
2 answers
1k views

What if there is no true data-generating process?

I've been engaging in a number of forecasting efforts recently, and have rediscovered a well-known truth: That combinations of different forecasts are generally better than the forecasts themselves. ...
andrewH's user avatar
  • 3,157
15 votes
2 answers
4k views

Is it wrong to compare multiple models on the same test set and choose the best model?

Suppose we split a dataset into 3 parts (train, validation, and test). I know that it's important to make sure the test set doesn't influence our decisions during model selection or hyperparameter ...
Abdulwahab Almestekawy's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
24 views

Which model to select of two similarly performing, models with similar architecture and number of parameters, but different depths

I am training U-Net models for two-class semantic segmentation (foreground/background). I have tested different depths of the U-Net along with different number of filters in the first conv-layer (the ...
packoman's user avatar
  • 131
3 votes
0 answers
113 views

Do conventional thresholds for global fit indices (e.g. AIC) hold for models based on very large data sets?

Problem/Question in short: I have estimated 5 generalized linear mixed models and subsequently compared their levels of relative fit according to AIC. These models are based on a very large dataset of ...
André's user avatar
  • 103
0 votes
0 answers
88 views

Choice of Time Series Models for Forecasting Data

I have a question that to most readers here probably think is fairly simple to answer, but never the less, out of curiosity I'd like to ask: Given a time series, yt, which is stationary (say the log ...
Peter's user avatar
  • 41

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