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2 votes
2 answers
344 views

Bayesian updates for Dirichlet-multinomial with Gamma prior

Let $$ \begin{aligned} X_i &\sim \text{Dir-multinom}(X\mid\lambda)\\ \lambda_{j} &\sim \text{Gamma}(\lambda_j\mid\alpha,\beta)\\ \end{aligned} $$ where $i$ iterates over observations, $j$ ...
Faydey's user avatar
  • 225
1 vote
1 answer
96 views

Concentration Bounds for categorial distribution with good Dirichlet prior

I would like to know if there are any standard methods for analyzing the concentration bounds (for example Hoeffding's bound) for a multinomial distribution modelled with a Dirichlet prior, with the ...
Snowball's user avatar
  • 131
1 vote
0 answers
147 views

How to model proportions with a hierarchical structure?

I have thinking about how to model proportions for a problem with hierarchical structure. In the problem, I have observations of users over multiple days, where each observation is a proportion of ...
Jeff's user avatar
  • 150
7 votes
2 answers
4k views

Dirichlet distribution vs Multinomial distribution?

Both Dirichlet and multinomial distributions are distributions over vectors, and both Dirichlet and multinomial distributions are constrained so that all of the elements of these vectors sum to a ...
Thalassophile's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
502 views

Inference on Dirichlet hyper-parameter

I'm working on a Gibbs sampler for a (somewhat custom version of) Latent Dirichlet Allocation model. In short, I have data that comes from a $K$-dimensional Dirichlet-Multinomial distribution, i.e. $$...
yassem's user avatar
  • 153
1 vote
0 answers
104 views

Treating missing data in making Bayesian inference

Suppose we have two biased coins $X_1,X_2$ that are possibly correlated to each other. In each round, when both the coins are tossed, there can be four possible outcomes: $(HH,HT,TH,TT).$ Let's ...
Andeanlll's user avatar
  • 433
0 votes
1 answer
136 views

Bayesian inference using Dirichlet: muddled outcome case

In relation to my previous question (Bayesian inference for Beta distribution after an uncertain outcome), Suppose that $$(x_1,x_2,x_3)\sim Dirichlet(a_1,a_2,a_3)$$ and an associated Mutinoulli ...
Andeanlll's user avatar
  • 433
3 votes
1 answer
256 views

Multinomial-dirichlet with fractional counts

Suppose a lepidopterologist wants to estimate the relative proportions of three different species of butterfly. They go out into the field and count $N$ butterflies and record the number of each ...
diagonalisable's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
347 views

Dirichlet Multinomial Posterior Predictive Distribution for Language Model

I have been trying to teach myself about Bayesian analysis, and whilst I have been through the theory several times, I am struggling to actually apply it. I have found some questions online to ...
user11128's user avatar
  • 571
1 vote
1 answer
510 views

What are the possible estimates of the parameters of the multinomial distribution?

The expected value of the parameters of the multinomial distribution (taking into account the Dirichlet prior $D(\alpha)$ and the posterior Dirichlet-Multinomial) is: $\pi_i = α_i+ x_i / \sum_{j} α_j+...
Mosab Shaheen's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
4k views

How to use the Dirichlet prior for estimating the multinomial parameters? [closed]

I know that the multinomial distribution gives the likelihood of some vector D of occurrences to happen given a probability vector (parameters) P' i.e. P(D|P'). Now with a Dirichlet prior we are ...
Mosab Shaheen's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
101 views

Recovering $\theta$ in Dirichlet-Multinomial (Polya) distribution

I'm working on Latent Dirichlet Allocation with Collapsed Gibbs Sampling. LDA has two Dirichlet-Multinomial distribution and one of them is a document-topic distribution that determines the ...
user51966's user avatar
  • 245
1 vote
0 answers
685 views

Marginal Likelihood of Multinomial Dirichlet model

To find the marginal likelihood of the multinomial Dirichlet model, I tried the following: $$\int_\theta p(N|\theta)p(\theta)d\theta=\frac{n!}{n_1!...n_K!}\frac{\Gamma(\sum_{k=1}^K\alpha_k)}{\Pi_{k=1}^...
user569579's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
2k views

Maximum a posteriori on Multinomial distribution with a Dirichlet prior can result in negative probabilities?

I am doing a maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation of a Multinomial distribution $M(c_1,\dots,c_n|p_1,\dots,p_n)$ with a Dirichlet prior $D(p_1,\dots,p_n|\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_n)$. The experimental ...
Krastanov's user avatar
  • 113
0 votes
1 answer
124 views

multinomial model with some certain parameters

I might be asking a naive questions here, sorry. Imaging I have 4 categories, each one has a probability of $\theta_i$ being selelcted, $i=1..4$ and sum of $\theta_i$ is 1. For this simple ...
weidade3721's user avatar

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