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2 votes
1 answer
118 views

Borel-Cantelli lemma on conditional probabilities

In a probability space $\big( \Omega, \mathcal{F}, P \big)$, suppose $\{E_n\}_{n\in \mathbb{N}} \subseteq \mathcal{F}$ is a sequence of mutually independent events. By Borel-Cantelli Lemma, the ...
Sanae Kochiya's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
66 views

Conditional independence statements for probabilistic motivation for linear regression

So the motivation for using the squared loss in linear regression can be written as the following (I think): Assume $\{(\mathbf{x}_i, y_i) \mid i = 1, \dots n\}$ are repeated independent samples from ...
Dylan Dijk's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
88 views

Does conditional independence imply the following identities?

I was reading this paper https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.143.8127&rep=rep1&type=pdf , and it heavily uses conditional independencies for deriving various identities, ...
numpynp's user avatar
  • 21
0 votes
0 answers
30 views

"Predictive dependence" between two variables

Given two random variables $X$ and $Y$, it is natural to use the conditional entropy $H[Y|X]$ to quantify the extent to which knowing $X$ decreases the uncertainty about $Y$. However, consider the ...
user1767774's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
148 views

Conditional independence situation with three variables

Say we have three random variables, $X, Y$ and $Z$, where $X$ is independent of $Z$ (but not $Y$). Does $E\bigg[ \dfrac{X}{f(Y,Z)} \bigg| Y \bigg] = E[X|Y] * E\bigg[ \dfrac{1}{f(Y,Z)} \bigg|Y \bigg]$? ...
bob's user avatar
  • 725
0 votes
1 answer
41 views

Is there any work on, given a set of conditional independences, build the graphical model?

The graphical model Represents probabilistic independence. Given a set of conditional independence assumptions, how to find the probabilistic graphical model that maximizes some metrics (e.g, minimum ...
Zachary HUANG's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
31 views

Shouldn’t we say independent given the distribution?

In statistics we often deal with iid random variables: independent identically distributed. But if we don’t know the distribution (say we still know the support is {0, 1}), and we get a sample x1, say ...
William de Vazelhes's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
62 views

How would I find $P(X \ne Y)$ given independent conditional probability mass functions?

Suppose that $W$ has a discrete uniform distribution on $\{1,\cdots,n\}$. Further, suppose that given $W=w$, the random variables $X$ and $Y$ are independently identically distributed geometric random ...
Ron Snow's user avatar
  • 2,103
3 votes
2 answers
3k views

conditional probability involving mixed variable types

I'm trying to answer the following question A defective coin minting machine produces coins whose probability of heads is a random variable $T$ with PDF $f_{T}(p) = 1+\mathrm{sin}(2\pi p)$ if $p \in ...
Iltl's user avatar
  • 467
0 votes
1 answer
36 views

Is joint conditionally independent equivalent to marginally conditionally independent?

Heading ##I am wondering whether these two properties are equivalent: $X$ is conditionally independent of $Y$ given $Z$ $X$ is conditionally independent of $Y$ given $a^T Z$, $\forall a \in R^p$ ...
Aaron's user avatar
  • 1
4 votes
1 answer
1k views

Conditional independence: conditioning on an empty set of random variables

Is $X \perp\!\!\!\perp Y$ a conditional independence, arguing that the independence is conditioned on an empty set of random variables? If so, does that mean that an unconditional independence is ...
Franck Dernoncourt's user avatar