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2 votes
1 answer
118 views

Borel-Cantelli lemma on conditional probabilities

In a probability space $\big( \Omega, \mathcal{F}, P \big)$, suppose $\{E_n\}_{n\in \mathbb{N}} \subseteq \mathcal{F}$ is a sequence of mutually independent events. By Borel-Cantelli Lemma, the ...
Sanae Kochiya's user avatar
11 votes
2 answers
2k views

A and B are independent. Does P(A ∩ B|C) = P(A|C) · P(B|C) hold?

Let $C$, $B$, and $A$ be events in the same probability space, such that $A$ and $B$ are independent and $P(A \cap C) > 0$, $P(B \cap C) > 0$. Prove or disprove: $P(A \cap B|C) = P(A|C)P(B|C).$
user406596's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
608 views

Dropping condition from conditional probability

Consider 3 random variables $X$, $Y$ and $Z$. Under which conditions would we have $P(X\mid Y,Z) = P(X\mid Z)$?
Nidjsi's user avatar
  • 305
4 votes
2 answers
114 views

Cumulative distribution of Gaussian conditional independent random variables

Suppose X, Y, Z are three jointly Gaussian random variables and X and Z are independent given Y. For example, take three r.v. from a OU process. Here is some R code:...
involuptory's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
144 views

What does conditional independence mean semantically?

I've just spent the last 3 hours reading every post, question, Medium article, and textbook entry on conditional independence, and I still don't really understand it. Can somebody explain what it ...
NaiveBae's user avatar
  • 257
0 votes
0 answers
41 views

Clarify, with example, completeness conjecture by Pearl and Paz

I was going through Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems by Judea Pearl. A completeness conjecture (for which no complete proof is there as yet, but has been found to be true generally, as ...
Anirban Chakraborty's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
113 views

Quick way to determine the different independence assumptions

This question is different than my previous question in that I'm asking sort of a "meta" question. Here's two graphical models (a Belief Network and a Markov Network): I would like to ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
1 vote
1 answer
145 views

Determining unconditional independence in Markov Networks

I would like to know whether $E \perp\kern-5pt\perp A $ in the following Markov Network and would like to know if my reasoning is correct: So, since this is a Pairwise Markov Network, it factorizes ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
1 vote
1 answer
290 views

Checking for conditional independence in graphical models

I would like to know whether $B \perp\kern-5pt\perp C | D,A $ and $D \perp\kern-5pt\perp A | B,C $ in the following two graphical models and would like to know if my reasoning is correct: For the ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
1 vote
1 answer
50 views

Is $C \perp\kern-5pt\perp D | A $ for the two graphical models? [duplicate]

I would like to know whether $C \perp\kern-5pt\perp D | A $ in the following two graphical models and would like to know if my reasoning is correct: For the left model (Belief Network), here's my ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
2 votes
1 answer
66 views

Is $B \perp\kern-5pt\perp C | A $ for the two graphical models?

I would like to know whether $B \perp\kern-5pt\perp C | A $ in the following two graphical models and would like to know if my reasoning is correct: For the left graphical model, which is a Belief ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
0 votes
1 answer
83 views

Is it always possible to find a joint distribution $p(x_1,x_2,x_3,x_4)$ consistent with these local conditional distributions?

I am currently studying Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning by David Barber, the 4th chapter exercise 4.1 (p 79). The exercise is the following: Exercise 4.1 Consider the pairwise Markov network, ...
user's user avatar
  • 71
1 vote
3 answers
296 views

Prove or disprove : $P[A|B] = P[B]$, the A and B are independent? Is this right?

SOrry if this is extremely easy. I did the following but I'm a little bit unsure about it: Let $A=B$, and $P[A]>0$. Then $$P[A|A] = P[A]$$ But A is not independent with itself: $$P[AA] = P[A] \neq ...
2019 Act RAMIREZ TINOCO JUAN C's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
316 views

Condition on two random variables

I'm trying to set up the proper assumptions for a proof I'm working on: Given that $P(A|e) = P(A)$ and $P(A|c,e) = P(A|e)$, can we prove that $P(A|c)=P(A)$? I understand that A is independent of e and ...
Kevin D's user avatar
  • 13
1 vote
0 answers
22 views

What is the most elegant way to express conditional independence on a line graph?

Consider a Markov graph $$x_1 -x_2-x_3-...-x_t$$ In such a graphical model, we have the conditional independence property $x_{s-1} \perp x_{s+1:t} | x_s \;\forall\; x=2,...,t-1$ and $x_{1:s-1} \perp ...
J.Galt's user avatar
  • 565

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