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I am asked to give an example for a joint distribution of three random variables, $U$, $V$ and $W$, where $U$ and $V$ are (unconditionally) independent but are NOT conditionally independent given $W$.

It is also known that:

  • $U$ and $V$ are normally distributed with a mean of $2$ and a variance of $2$ (that is, $U \sim N(2, 2)$ and $V \sim N(2, 2)$)
  • $W$ is a coin toss and has two possible values

I understand the possibility of two independent variables becoming conditionally dependent on a third variable (as well explained on multiple answers of this question for example), but not sure how it applies given the above requirements and would appreciate assistance.

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  • $\begingroup$ For inspiration, stare at the upper right image at stats.stackexchange.com/a/30205/919 for a few seconds. If you would like another hint, let $W$ be heads if and only if $(U-2)(V-2)$ is positive. $\endgroup$
    – whuber
    Commented Feb 25 at 14:35

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