Not even close
I used the Genesis database of the Federal Office of Statistics to search for exports to Russia, Armenia, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan in January and February of 2022 and 2023.
I limited the data to January and February instead of the entire first quarter to remove effects the invasion of February 24th might have had on later months.
Here's the data (all values in thousands of Euros):
2022
Country |
January |
February |
Total |
Russia |
2,133,014 |
2,093,002 |
4,226,016 |
Armenia |
11,033 |
16,474 |
27,507 |
Georgia |
27,430 |
32,513 |
59,943 |
Kyrgyzstan |
4,054 |
5,160 |
9,214 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
Combined |
2,175,531 |
2,147,149 |
4,322,680 |
2023
Country |
January |
February |
Total |
Difference to 2022 |
Difference in Percent |
Russia |
896,631 |
833,273 |
1,729,904 |
-2,496,112 |
-59% |
Armenia |
37,584 |
51,894 |
89,478 |
+61,971 |
+225% |
Georgia |
50,406 |
60,993 |
111,399 |
+51,456 |
+86% |
Kyrgyzstan |
42,408 |
58,764 |
101,172 |
+91,958 |
+998% |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
|
|
Combined |
1,027,029 |
1,004,924 |
2,031,953 |
-2,290,727 |
-53% |
As you can see, the percentage increases get even more extreme by limiting the data to the first 2 months but those are relative to the pre-war export figures which were quite low. Additionally, there were a lot of exports to Russia, which means relative changes there amount to larger absolute changes.
In fact, exports to Russia in 2023 were still significantly higher than exports to the other 3 countries, despite sanctions.
In total exports to these 4 countries decreased by 53%. If all additional exports to Armenia, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan went directly to Russia that would mitigate ~8% of the decrease in direct exports.