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As US troops leaving Afganistan, it seems interesting to know where would they go.

Returning home huge amount of veterans (returning from a lost conflict) can influence inner politics drastically - like was after Vietnam.

Is there any information about it?

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    You should consider your assumption that a huge amount of troops will be going anywhere, and inform yourself better. This piece from november 2020 (when the withdrawal agreement was signed) talks about some 4.500 soldiers in Afghanistan. Granted, many more have served through the years, but those others are already somewhere else.
    – SJuan76
    Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 6:54
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    @SJuan76, yes and no. Nowadays western society is much more sensitive to human losses. Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 7:18
  • Where do you think they would go, other than to their bases in the US? Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 14:00
  • Funny assumption. Middle east bases, korean/japanese bases? Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 14:07
  • Note, I wouldn't compare the US involvement in Afganistan with Vietnam, it's comparing oranges with bananas. One was lost (Vietnam), the other is unsuccessful and tired. You shall consider taking that comparison out to make the question sounds better.
    – r13
    Commented Jul 8, 2021 at 13:19

1 Answer 1

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The numbers need to be taken into perspective. To cite a 2020 BBC article about withdrawals:

In Iraq, the number of US troops will be cut by 500 to 2,500, while the number of service personnel in Afghanistan will fall from 4,500 to about 2,500.

So at most we are talking 4500 soldiers, hardly anything to influence inner politics. You may have other reasons to ask this question, but the one given doesn't hold water.

Actually, this article, April 2021, puts number at 3500 remaining until their departure.

If I were Biden I'd hate to have to provide political, rather than military, justifications on why they could not just return home.

The other aspect is the location of Afghanistan. It's landlocked and none of the neighbors are all that US-useful (though I thought one of the northern Stans had a US base before). Seeing there is no great way to keep tabs on Afghanistan from its neighbors, tendency will be to pull exiting troops waaaay back.

Politically, the nature of the departing US troops is also very different from Vietnam. This lot is an all-volunteer, professional, army who initially went in to go after the 9/11 perpetrators and peaked at 100K in 2011. While the Vietnam war involved a lot of unwilling draftees being put into an easy-to-criticize war that saw gradual US piecemeal buildup, up to 560K in 1968, right around Tet, punctuated by Westmoreland's frequent "gimme 20K more boys and this war is done".

Apparently, the last major units partially on rotation there are the 101st Airborne and 10th Mountain divisions. 10th is based in NY, with USCENTCOM tasking. 101st is in Kentucky. So, perhaps rather than just "home", those units will return to the US and/or to whatever US bases outside of the US they usually are assigned to.

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    Also, veterans have been returning from Afghanistan continuously. Many thousands have served a term there and returned. Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 14:00
  • Yes, it's true. But this is the first time from Saigon when retreating is done that fast, with levaing bases secretly, at night. So, that would definitely affect mood of those people. Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 14:32
  • Retreat at night and pre-announced has been a standard ploy of US forces in forward bases throughout Afghanistan. Nothing the troops are not used to. Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 15:14
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    @user2501323 The US military has possibly the best night vision equipment in the world, they do everything they can at night to take full advantage of this fact.
    – Ryan_L
    Commented Jul 7, 2021 at 16:58

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