The standard QM formulation is usually considered local, with no
determinism, but I just don't see how determinism can be false without
locality also being false?
There are several ways to answer your questions, so I may as well start here. With the advent of Bell's Theorem, as well as the many experimental variations which support the predictions of QM, I would not say QM is generally considered "local". A term has arisen, "quantum nonlocality" (sometimes just "nonlocality"), to describe the kind of nonlocal effects associated with quantum mechanics. Please note that signals cannot be transmitted nonlocally in any variation or interpretation of QM. The only effect that can be transmitted non-locally are ones that yield random outcomes. Also note that there is no particular mechanism for nonlocality embedded in mainstream QM.
As to determinism: there is no known source or "cause" for the random outcomes of the probabilistic predictions of QM. It is possible that some underlying cause will be discovered in the future, but don't bet on it. No experiment has so much as pointed to the existence of such a cause (or set of hidden variables). Of course, there are interpretations of QM that posit determinism - there just isn't any hard evidence to support that hypothesis.
So there may be neither locality NOR determinism - that would also be consistent with what we know. But Bell's Theorem merely tells us that one or the other must be false.
Recent experiments have led us much further down the road. The so-called "loopholes" in Bell have been closed to the satisfaction of most scientists. For example:
- https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9810080
Violation of Bell's inequality under strict Einstein locality conditions (1998)
Gregor Weihs, Thomas Jennewein, Christoph Simon, Harald Weinfurter, Anton Zeilinger
"We for the first time fully enforce the condition of locality, a central assumption in the derivation of Bell's theorem. The necessary space-like separation of the observations is achieved by sufficient physical distance between the measurement stations, by ultra-fast and random setting of the analyzers, and by completely independent data registration."
And there are the incredible experiments with entanglement swapping. In these, distant photons (from independent sources) are entangled without ever existing in a common light cone. The variations on these experiments violate strict locality, and in fact don't follow the classical rules of cause and effect (where cause must precede effect).
- https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0201134
Experimental Nonlocality Proof of Quantum Teleportation and Entanglement Swapping (2002-2008)
Thomas Jennewein, Gregor Weihs, Jian-Wei Pan, Anton Zeilinger
"Quantum teleportation strikingly underlines the peculiar features of the quantum world. We present an experimental proof of its quantum nature, teleporting an entangled photon with such high quality that the nonlocal quantum correlations with its original partner photon are preserved. This procedure is also known as entanglement swapping. The nonlocality is confirmed by observing a violation of Bell's inequality by 4.5 standard deviations. Thus, by demonstrating quantum nonlocality for photons that never interacted our results directly confirm the quantum nature of teleportation."
And in fact the work of Zeilinger and his co-workers was recognized in the Physics Award by the 2022 Nobel Committee:
"One of the most remarkable traits of quantum mechanics is that it allows two or more particles to exist in what is called an entangled state. What happens to one of the particles in an entangled pair determines what happens to the other particle, even if they are far apart. In 1997–1998, Anton Zeilinger conducted groundbreaking experiments using entangled light particles, photons. These and other experiments confirm that quantum mechanics is correct and pave the way for quantum computers, quantum networks and quantum encrypted communication."
"Among other things, [Zeilinger's] research group has demonstrated a phenomenon called quantum teleportation, which makes it possible to move a quantum state from one particle to one at a distance [distance here meaning outside a common light cone]."
And further, the study of 3 particle entangled GHZ States casts further doubt on both locality and determinism. Papers on this get very complex very quickly. Here is one where Zeilinger is the co-author (and he is the Z in GHZ). I only provide these references to give you the idea that Bell's Theorem has led to a proliferation of ground-breaking work on entanglement and the foundations of Quantum Mechanics.
- https://www.drchinese.com/David/Bell-MultiPhotonGHZ.pdf
Multi-Photon Entanglement and Quantum Non-Locality (2002)
Jian-Wei Pan and Anton Zeilinger
"We review recent experiments concerning multi-photon Greenberger–Horne–
Zeilinger (GHZ) entanglement. We have experimentally demonstrated GHZ
entanglement of up to four photons by making use of pulsed parametric down conversion. On the basis of measurements on three-photon entanglement, we have realized the first experimental test of quantum non-locality following
from the GHZ argument. Not only does multi-particle entanglement enable
various fundamental tests of quantum mechanics versus local realism, but
it also plays a crucial role in many quantum-communication and quantum computation schemes."