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1 vote
1 answer
101 views

Use Bayes method to solve ODE system with random noise

For ODE system $\frac{du}{dt} = \beta u$, $t>0$, $u(0)=1$, where $\beta$ is unknown. But the solution to the system at t=1 up to some noise is known: $h :=u(1) + \zeta$, where $\zeta$ is a random ...
Dddduuu's user avatar
  • 113
0 votes
1 answer
312 views

Write down the backward equations for $P_{12}$ and $P_{21}$ and use the symmetry of Q to solve these equations.

Hint: Whenever confronted with an ordinary differential equation of the form x′(t) = ax(t)+b(t), it might be beneficial to consider the function y(t) = $e^{−at}x(t)$. $$Q = \left[ \begin{matrix} ...
codelearner's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
117 views

Understanding the stochastic SIR model

I am learning about what it means for a model to be Stochastic. To do this, I am examining the stochastic SIR model found here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gillespie_algorithm (scroll down to the ...
statsAgony's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
351 views

Is jump intensity inaccurate in describing random process?

In https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%C3%B4's_lemma Under the section of Poisson jump processes, it is said that We may also define functions on discontinuous stochastic processes. Let h be the jump ...
Ka Wa Yip's user avatar
  • 948
1 vote
1 answer
2k views

Finding mean and variance of stochastic process

If I'm given a Stochastic Process Xt that satisfies a stochastic diff. equation, let's say fXt, what is the formula to find the mean and variance of Xt? I think it's: $mean = dE(X_t) = dX_0e^t$ $...
user1596241's user avatar