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Understanding the generalized "Birthday Problem" formula [duplicate]

While practicing frequently asked probability questions during interviews, I came across the classical "Birthday problem". While I understand some of the reasoning explained on wikipedia, ...
Julien Maas's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
96 views

Where in the original statement of the birthday problem is the order people of assign matter in the numerator of the probability?

In $\dfrac{365 \choose \#people}{365^{\#people}}$ this counts no repeats for the probability of none assuming Jan, Feb, March is the same thing as Feb, March Jan. If We interpret the question as ...
user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
236 views

Birthday Problem: Finding a Probability Function of an Event

Problem: Ignoring leap days, the days of the year can be numbered $1$ to $365$. Assume that birthdays are equally likely to fall on any day of the year. Consider a group of $n$ people, of which you ...
80808learn's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
1k views

Find the probability that at least two people out of $k$ people will have the same birthday

The Birthday problem. Find the probability that at least two people out of $(k=5)$ people will have the same birthday. The usual approach would be to use $$p=1-\frac{P_{365,5}}{365^5}$$ However, I ...
wd violet's user avatar
  • 1,360
2 votes
1 answer
320 views

Probability of at least 3 people sharing a common birthday

What is the probability that 3 or more people share a common birthday, in a group of 160 people? Approach: We have: $P(X\geq 3)= 1-[P(X=0)+P(X=2)]$. (where $X\geq i$ means at least $i$ people share a ...
satan 29's user avatar
  • 986
1 vote
0 answers
51 views

Birthday problem but with $2^{128}$ different days in the year [duplicate]

I am trying to calculate how many randomly generated ids I need to produce for there to be a 1% probability I get a duplicate id. There are $2^{128}$ possible ids. I understand this is just the ...
Moe Sanjaq's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
572 views

Birthday problem: solving with permutations vs combinations

I have a problem with an exercise: If k people are at a party, what is the probability that at least two of them have the same birthday? Suppose that there are n=365 days in a year and all days are ...
Idris Buhari's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
232 views

Birthday paradox question

I am solving the question: How large must a class be to make the probability of finding two people with the same birthday at least 50%? The first solution I came up with is rather simple. It's based ...
user5965026's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
589 views

What is the probability of 1st January being the birthday of two persons among 500?

$\mathbf{Question:}$ What is the probability of $1$st January being the birthday of $two$ people when chosen (two persons are picked randomly) among $500$ people? ($365$ days in a Year). $\mathbf{...
Subhasis Biswas's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
696 views

What is the probability that in a company of $500$ people, only two persons will have birthdays on New Year’s Day?

What is the probability that in a company of 500 people, only two persons will have birthdays on New Year’s Day? I feel the answer is =$\frac{1}{365}\cdot\frac{1}{365}\cdot\frac{364}{365}\cdot\frac{...
Piyush Sawarkar's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
460 views

Birthday probability of $k$ people and $n$ days a year such that at least $2$ people have the same bday

A certain planet has n days in one year. What is the probability that among $k$ people on that planet there are (at least) two who share their birthday? My answer to this practice question is: There ...
james black's user avatar
  • 1,913
3 votes
1 answer
2k views

Birthday Paradox 2 pairs

I have followed the various birthday paradox posts. Can someone please assist with the logic for finding the probability of two pairs of people with the same birthday in a group of $23$. If $n=23$ ...
AndrewD's user avatar
  • 31
1 vote
1 answer
233 views

Distinct birthdays problem. Verification of solution.

Question Consider $n$ people who are attending a party. We assume that every person has an equal probability of being born on every day of the year, independent of everyone else. Assuming that nobody ...
bibo_extreme's user avatar
15 votes
3 answers
5k views

Group of $r$ people at least three people have the same birthday?

What is the probability that in a randomly chosen group of $r$ people at least three people have the same birthday? $\displaystyle 1- \frac{365\cdot364 \cdots(365-r+1)}{365^r}$ $\displaystyle \frac{...
Mithlesh Upadhyay's user avatar
7 votes
3 answers
41k views

At least two people have the same birthday

If there are 85 students in a statistics class and we assume that there are 365 days in a year, what is the probability that at least two students in the class have the same birthday? I tried solving ...
pepperjack's user avatar