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Let $\underline{X}$ ~ Be(p) of size n. Obtain UMVUE for p.

My idea is the MLE of that problem is the UMVUE but i think its wrong. Can someone help me?

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  • $\begingroup$ One way is to find a complete sufficient statistic for p, then a function of that whose expectation is p will be the UMVUE of p. don't have time to go through the steps $\endgroup$
    – Vons
    Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 7:36
  • $\begingroup$ If MLE is unbiased and complete sufficient, it has to be UMVUE. Where are you stuck? $\endgroup$ Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 7:39
  • $\begingroup$ $$\sum_{i=1}^n \frac{(X_i)}{n}$$ $\endgroup$
    – Sergio
    Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 7:40
  • $\begingroup$ Is that a complete sufficient? $\endgroup$
    – Sergio
    Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 7:41
  • $\begingroup$ It is. You can prove this from definition using the distribution of $\sum X_i$. $\endgroup$ Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 7:44

1 Answer 1

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There are several ways to show that $T=\overline{X}_n$ is the UMVUE for $p$

This is one; I chose this because it allow us to do further considerations about that important estimator:

$$\mathbb{E}[\overline{X}_n]=p$$

Thus $T$ is unbiased and its variance is

$$\mathbb{V}[\overline{X}_n]=\frac{p(1-p)}{n}$$

Now let's calculate the lower bound for the variance of unbiased estimator for $p$ using Cramér-Rao inequality;

$$\mathbb{V}[T]\geq \frac{1}{-n\mathbb{E}\left\{\frac{\partial^2}{\partial p^2}\log f(x|p) \right\}}=\dots=\frac{p(1-p)}{n}$$

Thus $T=\overline{X}_n$ is UMVUE for $p$ AND its variance also attains the Cramér Rao lower bound....and this does not happen so frequently among UMVU Estimators


here are the calculations for CR lower bound, as requested.

$$f=p^x(1-p)^{1-x}$$

$$\log f=x\log p+(1-x)\log(1-p)$$

$$\frac{\partial}{\partial p}\log f=\frac{x}{p}-\frac{1-x}{1-p}$$

$$\frac{\partial^2}{\partial p^2}\log f=-\frac{x}{p^2}+\frac{1-x}{(1-p)^2}$$

Now observe that $\mathbb{E}[X]=p$ and $\mathbb{E}[1-X]=1-p$ thus substitute and immediately conclude

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  • $\begingroup$ Can you show full solution of cramer rao $\endgroup$
    – Sergio
    Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 8:27
  • $\begingroup$ @Sergio : added in the edited answer $\endgroup$
    – tommik
    Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 8:41
  • $\begingroup$ Thank you so much $\endgroup$
    – Sergio
    Commented Feb 11, 2021 at 10:45
  • $\begingroup$ Can i ask one more problem to you? $\endgroup$
    – Sergio
    Commented Feb 12, 2021 at 4:27
  • $\begingroup$ Sir? Is it okay? $\endgroup$
    – Sergio
    Commented Feb 12, 2021 at 4:56

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