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Daniel Scocco
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I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability, given that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday, is (1 - 1/365) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability, given that none of the previous people in the room didn't share a birthdaydid, is (1-P(3)) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for the Nth person, the probability of him sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, given that no one before did, P(N), is:

P(N) = (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365) 

And P(1) = 0.

If you want to calculate the probability with 23 people in the room, therefore, you just need to add all the individual P(N).

I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for the Nth person, the probability of him sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, P(N), is:

P(N) = (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365) 

And P(1) = 0.

If you want to calculate the probability with 23 people in the room, therefore, you just need to add all the individual P(N).

I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone, given that the previous people didn't, is (1 - 1/365) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone, given that none of the previous people did, is (1-P(3)) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for the Nth person, the probability of him sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, given that no one before did, P(N), is:

P(N) = (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365) 

And P(1) = 0.

If you want to calculate the probability with 23 people in the room, therefore, you just need to add all the individual P(N).

added 129 characters in body
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Daniel Scocco
  • 831
  • 1
  • 7
  • 13

I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for everythe Nth person N, the probability of him sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, P(N), is (1 -:

P(N) = (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365) 

And P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365) = 0.

If you want to calculate the probability with 23 people in the room, andtherefore, you just need to add all the individual P(1N) = 0.

I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for every person N, the probability of sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, P(N), is (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365), and P(1) = 0.

I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for the Nth person, the probability of him sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, P(N), is:

P(N) = (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365) 

And P(1) = 0.

If you want to calculate the probability with 23 people in the room, therefore, you just need to add all the individual P(N).

Source Link
Daniel Scocco
  • 831
  • 1
  • 7
  • 13

I think I found it (partially based on Thomas answer above). Here's the correct reasoning:

  1. Put the first person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 0.
  2. Put the second person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is 1/365.
  3. Put the third person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (2/265). Therefore (364/365)(2/365)
  4. Put the fourth person in the room. His probability of sharing a birthday with anyone is (the probability that the previous people in the room didn't share a birthday) * (3/365).

So on and so forth.

So basically for every person N, the probability of sharing a birthday with anyone in the room already, P(N), is (1 - P(N-1)) * ((N-1)/365), and P(1) = 0.