I was wondering if someone could critique my argument here. The problem is to find the probability where exactly 2 people in a room full of 23 people share the same birthday.
My argument is that there are 23 choose 2 ways times $\displaystyle \frac{1}{365^{2}}$ for 2 people to share the same birthday. But, we also have to consider the case involving 21 people who don't share the same birthday. This is just 365 permute 21 times $\displaystyle \frac{1}{365^{21}}$. To summarize:
$$\binom{23}{2} \frac{1}{365^2} \frac{1}{365^{21}} P\binom{365}{21}$$