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Questions tagged [statistics]

For questions about statistical analysis or probability assessment of genealogical problems.

1 vote
0 answers
123 views

Distant Cousin of Shakespeare [duplicate]

A family member just emailed me to inform me that he did some genealogical research and that we are distant cousins of William Shakespeare (1st cousin 14x removed). I don't know anything about ...
Tom's user avatar
  • 119
5 votes
2 answers
121 views

Assessing the frequency of surname in an 18th century English parish

I have a set of marriage and baptism records for an 18th century/early 19th century English parish, and want to assess the probability that the participants are related in some way, before I spend ...
user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
354 views

What proportion of the births or baptisms of children were recorded in early nineteenth century England?

It's usual to search for a baptism record as a substitute birth record in England in the period prior to the start of Civil Registration (i.e. pre-1837.) (Baptism records may also include birth ...
user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
133 views

How to know in GEDCOM if a filiation is unknowable?

In a gedcom file, how do I know if a child has been « found » i.e a child abandoned? In this case, the child has no known ancestor and won't have ever. Heredis program creates a custom tag « _FIL ...
claire_'s user avatar
  • 275
4 votes
4 answers
4k views

Is everyone of European ancestry actually descended from Muhammad and Charlemagne?

According to this article in The Atlantic back in May 2002, The mathematical study of genealogy indicates that everyone in the world is descended from Nefertiti and Confucius, and everyone of ...
alec's user avatar
  • 159
6 votes
0 answers
126 views

How many British men and women were serving in the Boer War at the time of the 1901 census?

I have several young men and women who I cannot trace on the British 1901 census, despite numerous and extensive efforts. While there are a number of reasons why I might not be able to find them, one ...
Harry V.'s user avatar
  • 18.9k
8 votes
4 answers
792 views

Statistical analysis of data within my genealogy program?

I wish to find a program which will allow me to pose certain specific questions and have my genealogy program answer them such as: What is the average age of a named person's direct male ancestors? ...
Siturc's user avatar
  • 81
3 votes
1 answer
223 views

What are chances of a yDNA match by chance and not by close common ancestor?

On FamilyTreeDNA, they have their TiP Report that gives the probability that two matching members shared a common ancestor within the last number of generations. E.g., for a yDNA-37 match with 4 ...
WilliamKF's user avatar
  • 5,307
4 votes
1 answer
940 views

Determining average number of people that have same surname as random person?

This website gives the approximate number of people with a particular surname in all countries: http://forebears.io/surnames It spits a number, for example "1500 people", but the problem is that I ...
user50746's user avatar
  • 141
4 votes
1 answer
477 views

How many generations back is suggested by 6 mutations on a yDNA-67 match?

I have a yDNA-111 test that finds a match with a yDNA-67 test with 6 mutations and a name variation, Thorp vs Tharp. Statistically, how many generations away would our common ancestor be to give a ...
WilliamKF's user avatar
  • 5,307
3 votes
1 answer
92 views

Gramps' Prolog Export Function: fancy filter or statistical tool?

Gramps is one of the most widely used genealogy program as far as I know and has recently seen another addition to its wide array of export features, called prolog as announced here. Can someone show ...
Til Hund's user avatar
  • 682
1 vote
3 answers
17k views

Do we have more female than male ancestors?

I have read a claim in several sources, including a New York Times article by John Tierney, that we have more female ancestors than male ancestors. "Citing recent DNA research, Dr. Baumeister ...
Harry V.'s user avatar
  • 18.9k
7 votes
2 answers
6k views

Average time between birth and baptism in the Church of England?

Because it is relatively uncommon to find sources of birth dates before the start of civil registration in England in 1837, it is a widespread (and I think not unreasonable) convention for ...
Harry V.'s user avatar
  • 18.9k
4 votes
2 answers
225 views

Where can I access annual reports of the registrar-general for England after 1920?

The annual reports of the registrar-general relating to births, marriage, and deaths in England and Wales were published every year since civil registration began, and are available at the Histpop ...
Harry V.'s user avatar
  • 18.9k
5 votes
1 answer
67 views

Can we estimate the distribution of last names in 19th century Rhode Island?

I am researching the histories of a number of Rhode Island families. It would be very useful for me if I had historical data on the distribution of last names in Rhode Island at any point before the ...
two sheds's user avatar
  • 305

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