Reading a number of posts, I see confusion between Apple providing support for Intel Macs and Intel Macs being able to receive new features and functionality (New versions of Mac OS).
Apple has always provided support (mainly security updates) to older versions of Mac OS. When Apple says it will support Intel Macs then this is all it is signing up to. It does not necessarily mean that Apple will make future versions of Mac OS available to Intel Macs.
Apple has recently been aggressively dropping support for Intel Macs in its OS X compatibility list. Last year if you wanted to official run Sonoma, you need a 2019 Intel Mac, something with Apple Silicon, or something with an Apple T2 chip.
Already there is a list of certain Mac OS functionality that requires a Apple Silicon Mac.
- The "Presenter Overlay" mode for video calls.
- Game Mode, which promises to limit background tasks and reduce Bluetooth latency.
- High-performance mode in the Screen Sharing app.
- Getting rid of the "Hey" in "Hey Siri."
- Running games built with the Game Porting Toolkit.
- Running iOS/iPadOS apps.
- Spatial Audio in FaceTime when using AirPods.
- The 3D globe and more detailed renderings of cities in Apple Maps.
- On-device voice dictation, with no Internet connection required and no time limit.
- Portrait Mode in FaceTime.
- Live Captions transcription in FaceTime or any other app.
- "Reference mode" with the 12.9-inch M1 iPad Pro, which lets you use your iPad "as a secondary reference display" in Sidecar mode.
- Inserting emoji using voice dictation.
Personally I would only put Mac OS 15 70% likely to support Intel Machines and if it does then the compatibility list will be again aggressively restricted to Intel Macs less than 3 years old.
Mac OS 16, IMO will be Apple Silicon Only