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2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Massachusetts. Primary elections will take place on September 3, 2024.[1] Incumbent Senator Elizabeth Warren was first elected in 2012, defeating incumbent Republican Scott Brown. Warren was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2018 and is seeking a third term in office. Primary elections will be held on September 3.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Elizabeth Warren (D) $18,486,081 $24,658,143 $4,920,625
Source: Federal Election Commission[25]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Robert Antonellis, nutrition software company owner[26]
  • Ian Cain, president of the Quincy City Council[27]
  • John Deaton, attorney[28]

Failed to qualify[edit]

  • Shiva Ayyadurai, entrepreneur, conspiracy theorist, and perennial candidate[29]
  • John Berman, engineer and perennial candidate[30]
  • Rebekah Etique, paralegal and campaign advisor[31]
  • Aaron Packard, retail worker[32]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Ian Cain
U.S. senators
Governors
John Deaton
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Robert Antonellis (R) $43,352[a] $37,250 $9,667
Ian Cain (R) $361,115 $312,722 $48,393
John Deaton (R) $1,690,411[b] $715,642 $974,769
Source: Federal Election Commission[25]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Robert
Antonellis
Ian
Cain
John
Deaton
Aaron
Packard
Other Undecided
YouGov[A] May 17-30, 2024 292 (A) ± 4.4% 19% 5% 15% 9% 16% 36%
Suffolk University[B] April 16–20, 2024 99(LV) ± 4.4% 4% 2% 4% 1% 89%

Workers Party primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Brandon Griffin, activist[39]

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Deceased[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[41] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[42] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[43] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[44] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[45] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[46] Solid D November 21, 2023
Split Ticket[47] Safe D April 9, 2024

Polling[edit]

Elizabeth Warren vs. Robert Antonellis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Robert
Antonellis (R)
Other/Undecided
YouGov[C] May 17-30,2023 700 (A) ± 4.4% 50% 23% 27%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Ian Cain
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Ian
Cain (R)
Other/Undecided
YouGov[D] May 17-30,2023 700 (A) ± 4.4% 48% 24% 28%
Elizabeth Warren vs. John Deaton
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
John
Deaton (R)
Other/Undecided
YouGov[E] May 17-30,2023 700 (A) ± 4.4% 47% 24% 29%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Aaron Packard
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Aaron
Packard (R)
Other/Undecided
YouGov[F] May 17-30,2023 700 (A) ± 4.4% 48% 23% 29%


Hypothetical polling
Elizabeth Warren vs. Charlie Baker
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
Undecided
Fiscal Alliance Foundation May 6–7, 2023 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 34% 49% 17%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Jonathan Kraft
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Johnathan
Kraft (R)
Undecided
Suffolk University February 2-5, 2023 1000 (LV) ± 3.1% 56% 33% 11%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Karyn Polito
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Karyn
Polito (R)
Undecided
Fiscal Alliance Foundation July 21–22, 2023 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 41% 29% 30%

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ $24,296 of this total was self-funded by Antonellis
  2. ^ $1,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Deaton
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll commissioned by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and WCVB-TV
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by The Boston Globe
  3. ^ Poll commissioned by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and WCVB-TV
  4. ^ Poll commissioned by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and WCVB-TV
  5. ^ Poll commissioned by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and WCVB-TV
  6. ^ Poll commissioned by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and WCVB-TV

References[edit]

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Kamisar, Ben; Shabad, Rebecca; Vitali, Ali (January 20, 2023). "Democrats Kaine, Warren and Gillibrand are all running for re-election". NBC News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa (February 9, 2023). "Rumor has it". Politico.
  4. ^ a b c d Kashinsky, Lisa (April 26, 2023). "N.H. Dems sort of back Biden". POLITICO. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  5. ^ a b Kashinsky, Lisa (October 14, 2022). "Pressley for president?". Politico. Retrieved October 14, 2022.
  6. ^ a b c d e Quinn, Melissa (March 27, 2023). "POLITICS: Elizabeth Warren announces Senate reelection bid". CBS News. Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  7. ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren for Reelection". Giffords. April 25, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  8. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa (April 24, 2023). "Healey's early flexes". Politico. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  9. ^ Chou, Lauren (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Elizabeth Warren for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  10. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  11. ^ "Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨". www.instagram.com. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  12. ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  13. ^ "Elizabeth Warren". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  14. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  15. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  16. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  17. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  18. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  19. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  20. ^ @BoldProgressive (March 27, 2023). "BIG news for your Monday morning: @ewarren is formally running for re-election! The fight for big, structural change continues. Pitch in to become a founding donor to her re-election campaign". Twitter. Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  21. ^ "ENDORSEMENTS - Progressive Democrats of America". February 22, 2021. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
  22. ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  23. ^ "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
  24. ^ Working Families Party (@WorkingFamilies) (March 28, 2023). "We're endorsing @ewarren in her re-election for U.S. Senate. We've won some big things for working people. But we have a lot more to do, and Elizabeth has proven she's able to take the battle against right-wing Republicans and corporate Democrats — and for working people — on". Twitter. Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  25. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Massachusetts". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  26. ^ Brissette, Kristen (July 2023). "Senator Warren to Face Senate Race Competition". Barnstable Broadside. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
  27. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa (April 24, 2024). "Ian Cain launches senate bid against Warren". Politico.com. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
  28. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa; Garrity, Kelly (February 20, 2024). "Crypto attorney launches Senate bid against Elizabeth Warren". Politico. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  29. ^ "AYYADURAI, SHIVA DR - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  30. ^ "BERMAN, JOHN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  31. ^ "ETIQUE, REBEKAH - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  32. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa; Garrity, Kelly (April 8, 2024). "MassGOP moves toward syzygy". Politico. Archived from the original on April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
  33. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa; Gardner, Sophie; Garrity, Kelly (May 12, 2023). "Republicans search for a standard-bearer". POLITICO. Retrieved May 12, 2023.
  34. ^ "Cynthia Lummis backs Ian Cain over crypto lawyer John Deaton for Senate". CoinTelegraph. July 8, 2024. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
  35. ^ Micek, John (June 30, 2024). "Debates and defeats. A rough week of lessons for Dems". MassLive. Retrieved July 4, 2024. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ian Cain notched the backing of former Gov. Jane Swift last week
  36. ^ a b Micek, John (April 13, 2024). "Who is John Deaton, the long-shot Republican trying to unseat Mass. Sen. Elizabeth Warren?". MassLive. Retrieved July 4, 2024.
  37. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa; Goodman, Jasper; Garrity, Kelly (April 12, 2024). "Crypto executives put money behind longshot bid to oust Elizabeth Warren". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024. Deaton has also been endorsed by Mark Cuban, who has criticized the SEC's approach to crypto enforcement
  38. ^ Massachusetts College Republicans [@macollegegop] (April 20, 2024). "🚨🚨 ENDORSEMENT ALERT 🚨🚨: MACR is proud to endorse @DeatonforSenate in his U.S. Senate Race against Washington Establishment darling Elizabeth Warren. We will do everything to help him retire Elizabeth Warren in November! Read our endorsement of Mr. Deaton below. #mapoli" (Tweet). Retrieved April 30, 2024 – via Twitter.
  39. ^ "Meet Elizabeth Warren's newest opponent for Senate, Socialist Brandon Griffin". The Republic. September 9, 2023.
  40. ^ Evans, Jordan (September 18, 2023). "Two Massachusetts Libertarian Candidates Will Not Appear on the Ballot". Independent Political Report. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  41. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  42. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  43. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  44. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  45. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  46. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  47. ^ "Category: Senate 2024 Ratings". Split Ticket. Retrieved July 17, 2024.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites