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2024 Milton provincial by-election

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2024 Milton provincial by-election

← 2022 May 2, 2024 (2024-05-02) 44th →

Riding of Milton
Turnout27.72% (Decrease 14.99)
  First party Second party Third party
 
LIB
NDP
Candidate Zee Hamid Galen Naidoo Harris Edie Strachan
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Last election 43.07% 38.75% 9.70%
Popular vote 12,880 10,473 1,851
Percentage 47.04% 38.25% 6.76%
Swing Increase 3.97 Decrease 0.51 Decrease 2.94

MPP before election

Parm Gill
Progressive Conservative

Elected MPP

Zee Hamid
Progressive Conservative

A by-election was held in the provincial riding of Milton in Ontario on May 2, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Parm Gill in order to run in the 45th Canadian federal election.[1]

It was held the same day as the 2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election.[2]

Candidates

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Polling

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Polling firm Last date
of polling
Source PC Liberal NDP Green Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Liaison Strategies April 25, 2024 [11] 39% 41% 9% 5% 6% ±4.71% 433 IVR 2%
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2024 [12] 43% 43% 6% 6% 3% ±5.3% 348 Telephone Tie
Liaison Strategies March 28, 2024 [13] 39% 39% 10% 5% 6% ±4.62% 451 IVR Tie

Results

[edit]
Ontario provincial by-election, May 2, 2024: Milton
Resignation of Parm Gill
** Preliminary results — Not yet official **
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Zee Hamid 12,880 47.04 +3.97
Liberal Galen Naidoo Harris 10,473 38.25 -0.50
New Democratic Edie Strachan 1,851 6.76 -2.94
New Blue John Spina 1,102 4.02 -0.03
Green Kyle Hutton 755 2.76 -1.38
Ontario Party Frederick Weening 111 0.41
Family Rights Tony Walton 101 0.37
Independent John Turmel 64 0.23
Independent Arabella Vida 42 0.15
Total valid votes 27,379
Total rejected ballots
Turnout 27.72 -14.99
Eligible voters 98,785
Progressive Conservative hold Swing +2.24

2022 result

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2022 Ontario general election: Milton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Parm Gill 16,766 43.07 +1.40
Liberal Sameera Ali 15,086 38.75 +8.92
New Democratic Katherine Cirlincione 3,777 9.70 −12.54
Green Oriana Knox 1,612 4.14 −0.88
New Blue John Spina 1,579 4.06  
Consensus Ontario Masood Khan 107 0.27  
Total valid votes 38,927 99.41
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots 231 0.59 -0.32
Turnout 39,158 42.70 -13.40
Eligible voters 91,696
Progressive Conservative hold Swing −3.76
Source(s)
  • "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18.
  • "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Ontario cabinet minister Parm Gill quits to run for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives". The Globe and Mail. 2024-01-25. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  2. ^ "Ontario Newsroom". news.ontario.ca. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  3. ^ Wilkinson, Cameron. "Ontario PC Party announces Zeeshan Hamid as Milton candidate". FM101 Milton Now. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  4. ^ Cilliers, Roland (2024-03-26). "Ontario Liberals select son of former MPP as candidate for provincial byelection". Inside Halton. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  5. ^ Cilliers, Roland (2024-04-12). "'A moment that matters': Ontario NDP nominate public servant for Milton provincial seat". Inside Halton. Retrieved 2024-04-20.
  6. ^ Cilliers, Roland (2024-04-04). "'Small but mighty': Ontario Greens nominate community activist for Milton provincial seat". Inside Halton. Retrieved 2024-04-20.
  7. ^ Champion, Bambang Sadewo Milton Canadian (2022-05-16). "Meet John Spina, New Blue's provincial election candidate for Milton". Inside Halton. Retrieved 2024-04-20.
  8. ^ "Big names running to represent Algoma-Manitoulin". Northern Ontario. 2022-05-25. Retrieved 2024-04-20.
  9. ^ "Registered Political Parties". Elections Ontario. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
  10. ^ "Our Campaigns - Candidate - Arabella Vida". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved 2024-04-20.
  11. ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 26 April 2024. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
  12. ^ Martin, Robert (23 April 2024). "Mainstreet By-election Poll: Milton, Public". Mainstreet Research. Retrieved 23 April 2024.
  13. ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 3 April 2024. Retrieved 4 April 2024.