Just returned from a great trip to the Middle East with Eric J. Mogelof, where we had some very insightful conversations with clients across the region. The overall sentiment I left with is that there’s a lot of excitement and enthusiasm for private #infrastructure investment in 2024. But the investors that will see the most success in 2024 will be the ones taking a risk-based approach and staying focused on investing behind key thematic opportunities.
For us at KKR, the most important long-term driver for private infrastructure investment remains the vast, unmet global need for it. The most commonly-cited figure says that the gap between what governments spend on infrastructure and the amount needed will reach $15 trillion by 2040. We believe private capital is likely to fill that gap, and we’re particularly focused on these key themes in 2024:
- #Decarbonization: Reducing, removing, and avoiding carbon emissions is an asset-heavy task that spans most of the economy. It is presenting opportunities for infrastructure investors up and down the risk spectrum, and with @Charlie Gailliot and @Emmanuel Lagarrigue heading up our climate strategy, we’re in a great position to help tackle these challenges.
- #Digitalization: We see a variety of opportunities here across the risk spectrum. Mature and contracted telecom businesses, for example, can appeal to a core investor, while more complex deals can appeal to opportunistic investors. In the digital space, we look for assets that have the potential to retain their value even in difficult environments and the potential for upside just as we do in any infrastructure investment. These might be established through minimum take-ups (fiber optic networks) or usage (data center), as well as established long-term contracts, inflation passthroughs, and a strong market position.
- #Deconsolidation: The challenges of pulling an asset-heavy entity out of a large corporation are real. Our experience has shown that aligning people and culture is often the primary concern in a carveout. Culture takes a long time to change, and assessing and optimizing a workforce is also the work of experts. Operational expertise, industry expertise – along with a healthy dose of humility! – are key to succeeding in this realm.
For more, I dive into this in a recent piece, How a Sweet Spot for Infrastructure Could Benefit Investors, which is available to download here: https://go.kkr.com/4a97etG
Looking to 2024: How a Sweet Spot for Infrastructure Could Benefit Investors | KKR
Read about our expectations for the year ahead, including where we see thematic opportunities in our three key areas of focus: decarbonization, digitalization, and deconsolidation.
go.kkr.com
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