Is it better to invest in first- or second-time founders? I lean much more toward investing in second-time founders over first-time founders. The nice thing about second-time founders is that by the time they decide to be a founder again, you've already de-risked one of the main things, which is perseverance. I would much rather invest in somebody who is 100% going to stick with it and try to make it work, and is maybe 80% as smart, than the other way around. There are a lot of people who are smart but end up giving up because it gets hard. And it always gets hard. So when they're second-time founders, you know they're willing to put themselves through that punishment again. That alone is a strong signal to me. Plus, they've learned a lot the first time around. I'm much better because of what I learned building my first company. I also think clock speed is important in going from 0 to 1. Part of clock speed is assembling the best team to take you from 0 to 1. And as a serial entrepreneur, your network is so much better than a first-time founder who's hiring friends and anyone who will join at that stage. The caliber of person that I can hire today is far, far better than the person I could have hired when I started out. You can hire much better if your first company did well or if you sold it - this helps a lot when hiring employees who have the option to work anywhere. Is this a hot take or do you agree?
I think the framing of the Q isn't useful from an investing standpoint = the key Q is self-awareness = some founders are self-aware from the get go, while others are better at it the second time around = the challenge for investors is to grok that out before investing. If I look at you (Optimizely), Melanie Perkins (Canva), Sarah Ahmad (Stable), Timo Rein (Pipedrive), Gleb Budman (Backblaze) = all of you as first time founders were very self aware and grew in your leadership capabilities as the company grew = sure there were some lessons learnt that were "first time" lessons so it took a bit longer but that also allowed for more experimentation at new solutions to same old problems so there was also a benefit to being first time founders that one would not get the second time (the tendency to experiment on a problem one has already seen before goes down). Good news is that success is not correlated to whether it's the first or repeat founders.
Second time founders and founding/early employees from startups are very backable. I agree with you that it’s hard to prepare people for how much a startup requires out of the founders. Derisking that aspect is significant.
Interesting question. Could make arguments for both: first timers and veterans like you. But as in most cases involving betting on humans? Completely depends on the individual. Venture capital is a bet on the future, not the past. I do think experience matters FWIW. Scar tissue, battle wounds, whatever cliche or metaphor. Experience counts.
Dan Siroker, this resonates deeply. Reminds me of when I took the plunge AGAIN back in March 2020 after my first venture went so-so. Three days after registering the company - the whole world was in lockdown and getting anything done (like opening a bank account, hiring) was nearly impossible. Had to remind myself that I chose this and be resilient sticking it out.
Since I have already been a first-time founder and dissolved that company after three years, let's say I prefer someone investing in a second-time founder which I plan to be soon.
Dan Siroker While I see the value in second-time founders' experience, there's also a lot to be said for the fresh perspective and hustle of first-timers.
I thought the data says that it's third time founders that tend to have the highest success rate. I think there has to be some kind of intersection of experience and drive that produces the optimal results. Too experience might also not be a good thing.
I suspect that the notion we have of a second-time founder is going to disappear, a function of a ZIRP era. Most founders building over the past five years will ultimately determine, whether things work out or not, that they'd prefer to do something else instead next.
A second time founder may just lack the motivation to succeed when compared to a first time founder.
Founder @ Immersed, Forbes 30 Under 30, Georgia Tech A.I. PhD Drop-out 😅, Techstars 2017 Grad 🎉, Emory Alum
1wWould prefer 1st time founder who’s been at it for 7 years and is still going strong. I’ve met too many 2nd time founders who are over confident from their first win and end up flopping (many famous examples).