San Francisco, California, United States
Contact Info
2K followers
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Activity
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I'm hiring a Business Data Scientist to join YouTube's Impact Measurement Team. https://lnkd.in/gbFDECQg
I'm hiring a Business Data Scientist to join YouTube's Impact Measurement Team. https://lnkd.in/gbFDECQg
Shared by Ignacio Martinez
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Super exited to see "LongBet: Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation in Panel Data" on arxiv. Thanks Meijia Wang and P. Richard Hahn! This paper…
Super exited to see "LongBet: Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation in Panel Data" on arxiv. Thanks Meijia Wang and P. Richard Hahn! This paper…
Shared by Ignacio Martinez
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I’m hiring a Senior Music Economics Data Scientist! This person will be a part of the impact measurement team and work closely with the Music +…
I’m hiring a Senior Music Economics Data Scientist! This person will be a part of the impact measurement team and work closely with the Music +…
Shared by Ignacio Martinez
Experience & Education
Publications
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RISK OF WORKFORCE EXIT DUE TO DISABILITY: STATE DIFFERENCES IN 2003–2016
Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology
A better understanding of trends in workforce exit due to disability and how these trends vary across states and subgroups can help federal and state policymakers identify both individual-level and state-level factors associated with increased risk of workforce exit due to disability. Using national survey data and Bayesian multilevel modeling techniques, we produce yearly estimates of trends in the risk of workforce exit due to disability for states and demographic subgroups. These estimates…
A better understanding of trends in workforce exit due to disability and how these trends vary across states and subgroups can help federal and state policymakers identify both individual-level and state-level factors associated with increased risk of workforce exit due to disability. Using national survey data and Bayesian multilevel modeling techniques, we produce yearly estimates of trends in the risk of workforce exit due to disability for states and demographic subgroups. These estimates are more stable and have narrower uncertainty intervals than estimates produced using classical statistical methods. We identify Current Population Survey respondents as being “newly at-risk” of exiting the workforce due to disability if they reported being employed in one month and out of the labor force because of a disability in the next month, and we refer to their share of the working-age population as the “at-risk rate.” We find that age, education, race, and gender are important factors for the at-risk rate, in decreasing order. Holding demographics constant across states and time reduces the cross-state variation in the at-risk rate but does little to reduce variability over time. State at-risk rates are typically higher than application rates for the Social Security Administration’s disability programs, but the relationship between these rates varies considerably by state. Our preliminary exploration of the reasons for cross-state variation in this relationship suggests that differences across states may be due to differences in their industrial composition, job opportunities, and safety net structure.
Other authorsSee publication -
Speaking on Data’s Behalf: What Researchers Say and How Audiences Choose
Evaluation Review
Bayesian statistics have become popular in the social sciences, in part because they are thought to present more useful information than traditional frequentist statistics. Unfortunately, little is known about whether or how interpretations of frequentist and Bayesian results differ. In this paper, we test whether presenting Bayesian or frequentist results based on the same underlying data influences the decisions people made.
Other authorsSee publication -
What Works for Whom? A Bayesian Approach to Channeling Big Data Streams for Public Program Evaluation
American Journal of Evaluation
In the coming years, public programs will capture even more and richer data than they do now, including data from web-based tools used by participants in employment services, from tablet-based educational curricula, and from electronic health records for Medicaid beneficiaries. Program evaluators seeking to take full advantage of these data streams will require novel statistical methods, such as Bayesian approach. A Bayesian approach to randomized program evaluations efficiently identifies what…
In the coming years, public programs will capture even more and richer data than they do now, including data from web-based tools used by participants in employment services, from tablet-based educational curricula, and from electronic health records for Medicaid beneficiaries. Program evaluators seeking to take full advantage of these data streams will require novel statistical methods, such as Bayesian approach. A Bayesian approach to randomized program evaluations efficiently identifies what works for whom. The Bayesian approach design adapts to accumulating evidence: Over the course of an evaluation, more study subjects are allocated to treatment arms that are more promising, given the specific subgroup from which each subject comes. We identify conditions under which there is more than a 90% chance that inference from the Bayesian adaptive design is superior to inference from a standard design, using less than one third the sample size.
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The Productivity of Pell Grant Spending: Enrollment Versus Attainment
Change: The Magazine of Higher Learning
Does the share of students enrolling in a college receiving federal Pell grants correspond to a college’s effectiveness in equipping students with economically meaningful postsecondary credentials? Focusing on four-year institutions, we propose an alternative measure that estimates the expenditures in Pell grants needed to produce one baccalaureate degree recipient at an institution (“Pell cost”). Our estimates of “Pell cost” tell a compelling story that contrasts sharply with public…
Does the share of students enrolling in a college receiving federal Pell grants correspond to a college’s effectiveness in equipping students with economically meaningful postsecondary credentials? Focusing on four-year institutions, we propose an alternative measure that estimates the expenditures in Pell grants needed to produce one baccalaureate degree recipient at an institution (“Pell cost”). Our estimates of “Pell cost” tell a compelling story that contrasts sharply with public pronouncements made by organizations such as the New York Times and Education Trust, which have chastised institutions for low representations of students receiving Pell grants. There is wide variation in the Pell cost among four-year colleges and institutions with the same Pell shares vary considerably in their efficiency in using federal dollars. The measures presented in this paper are a “proof of concept” which rely on a number of assumptions necessitated by the limitations of available aggregate data. As such, they are intended to underscore the need for a fuller use of detailed administrative data to assess how well colleges and universities are helping low-income students to achieve goals of economic prosperity.
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MOOCs as a massive research laboratory: opportunities and challenges
Distance Education
Massive open online courses (MOOCs) offer many opportunities for research into several topics related to pedagogical methods and student incentives. In the context of over 20 years of online learning research, we discuss lessons to be learned from observational comparisons and experiments on randomly chosen groups of students. We target two MOOCs for our study. We investigate dropout rates and how students who decide to drop out differ from those who continue courses. We discuss class forums…
Massive open online courses (MOOCs) offer many opportunities for research into several topics related to pedagogical methods and student incentives. In the context of over 20 years of online learning research, we discuss lessons to be learned from observational comparisons and experiments on randomly chosen groups of students. We target two MOOCs for our study. We investigate dropout rates and how students who decide to drop out differ from those who continue courses. We discuss class forums and video lectures and how these interactions correlate with achievement. We explore the strong correlation between procrastination and achievement and implications for MOOC design. We examine the role of certifications offered by MOOCs and how different options can affect outcomes. We also examine the potential of linking data across courses. We discuss survey data in the context of these MOOCs. These research opportunities offer big data challenges, which are addressed with parallel computing techniques.
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Honors & Awards
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Renaissance Innovation Award
Google Finance
The Renaissance Awards recognize individuals who exhibit behaviors aligned with Finance values, such as acting as a Trusted Advisor, exemplifying Guardianship or taking Innovative Risks.
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Mathematica Policy Research Human Services Division Staff Recognition Award for contributions for creating new and interactive visualization tools and displays
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Robert J. Huskey Travel Fellowship, University of Virginia
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University-Wide Search Committee for VP of Information Technology
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Big Data Initiative Award sponsored by the Jefferson Trust and the VP for Research
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U.Va. Parents Committee Grant
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Bankard Pre-doctoral Fellowship
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Snavely Prize for Outstanding Dissertation Proposal
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Department of Economics Graduate Fellowship, University of Virginia
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1st place PRO.DI.BUR (stock market simulation)
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Languages
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English
Full professional proficiency
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Spanish
Native or bilingual proficiency
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French
Elementary proficiency
More activity by Ignacio
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YouTube is hiring! Come join YouTube's Deal Desk team, an energetic and ambitious group building infrastructure and simplifying processes to drive…
YouTube is hiring! Come join YouTube's Deal Desk team, an energetic and ambitious group building infrastructure and simplifying processes to drive…
Liked by Ignacio Martinez
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My team, YouTube's Business GTM team is hiring. We're an energetic and ambitious group building excellent GTM infrastructure to accelerate growth and…
My team, YouTube's Business GTM team is hiring. We're an energetic and ambitious group building excellent GTM infrastructure to accelerate growth and…
Posted by Ignacio Martinez
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You are invited to Netflix HQ in Los Gatos. Last week, I received an invitation from Will Hart to attend the ML Infra Meetup at Netflix HQ focused…
You are invited to Netflix HQ in Los Gatos. Last week, I received an invitation from Will Hart to attend the ML Infra Meetup at Netflix HQ focused…
Liked by Ignacio Martinez
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