Monarch Weather & Climate Intelligence®

As the Tropics take a break, severe weather and heat continue to make headlines. Monarch’s Crystal Egger has an update on today’s risk area. Early warning systems are essential for taking precautions and mitigating these risks. At Monarch we provide advisory support and alerting tailored to the geo-location of your assets and operations with our proprietary product, MonarchView™. Reach out for a complimentary demo. #ConsultMonarch🌐

- Following Beryl’s landfall yesterday, its second act was the tornado outbreak it produced across parts of northern Louisiana, southern Arkansas and eastern Texas. As seen on map 1 below, there was a record-setting 110 tornado warnings issued yesterday which is the most for any July day. While there were only 15 tornado reports, we will get survey results beginning today. - Tropical tornadoes are very common with landfalling systems, but they are often brief and isolated in nature. Beryl will go down as being one of the most prolific tornado-producing tropical systems on record. #consultmonarch🌐

‣ Current status: Beryl is a disorganized tropical storm, currently fighting wind shear and ingesting dry air. Because of these factors, Beryl is expected to remain disorganized today, with any strengthening not expected to begin until tomorrow. ‣ Forecast: models overnight continued the rightward shift in the track. An incredible shift of about 250 miles compared to this time yesterday. It is still forecast to ramp back up to a hurricane on approach to landfall on the Texas coast. ‣ Timing: as the track continues to shift right, this will delay landfall Monday. Now most likely in the mid-morning to midday time. ‣ Impacts will begin being felt before landfall, with tropical storm force winds and rain from outer bands likely along the Texas coast by Sunday morning for Brownsville and Corpus Christi and by Sunday night for the upper Texas coast. ‣ The risk for flooding rainfall is increasing quickly for Houston. 4-6” of rain now being forecast which matches up well with where the moderate risk for flash flooding is already up for Monday.

Hurricane #Beryl reached historic strength Monday night, becoming the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic.   Fueled by very warm Atlantic waters, Beryl underwent rapid intensification in the last couple days. Such powerful hurricanes typically don’t form this early in the season or so far east due to less favorable conditions. Early summer ocean temperatures are usually cooler, and the low-pressure systems that emerge from the west coast of Africa often face Saharan dust storms, which hinder storm development. 
As of this morning, the powerful Cat 5 storm is tracking farther north than what was forecast yesterday. This will bring even greater impacts to Jamaica.

It is still too early to forecast possible impacts to the U.S. Texas coast as have to see if this trend continues. The risk is still low for the Gulf Coast, but slightly higher than yesterday.    How are you protecting your employees, assets, and operations during hurricane season? #consultmonarch🌐

Hurricane #Beryl is rapidly intensifying this morning, now classified as a dangerous Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds reaching 115 mph. Life-threatening winds and storm surges are anticipated to impact parts of the Windward Islands by early Monday, July 1st. Beyond its path through the Caribbean, attention will shift to the U.S. At this point the overall weather dynamics likely push this storm westward into Mexico, however residents/businesses in the U.S. should remain vigilant. More to come. #MonarchView #ConsultMonarch 🌐

Monarch's Kathryn Prociv and Crystal Egger recently had an engaging discussion on Eye On Annapolis, sharing insights from their decades of experience as meteorologists and now co-founders of Monarch Weather + Climate Intelligence. The conversation explores how Monarch supports businesses in navigating severe weather challenges across various sectors, including agriculture, insurance, real estate, and more. Additionally, they introduced MonarchView™, their proprietary tool simplifying complex weather data to deliver only the information needed. A key resource for businesses navigating the 2024 hurricane season. And yes, you’ll learn a bit more about ‘snirt’ too! Tune in for an insightful conversation with John Frenaye. Podcast link: https://lnkd.in/gdWDFQSA

Farmers across the U.S. are facing extreme weather challenges, from droughts to severe storms and flood emergencies. At Monarch, we specialize in custom forecasting for several industries, including agriculture. Using advanced meteorological tools, field-specific data, and advisory support, we help prevent crop losses due to weather extremes. Contact us for a complimentary consultation. #ConsultMonarch #Agriculture #SustainableFarming #OurChangingClimate

June 23, 2024 This Week's Key Weather Events: • Floodwaters Devastate Iowa as Rivers Surge Downstream • Multi-Day Severe Threat Plagues Plains, Midwest, and Beyond • Northern Plains Remains a Magnet for Storms • Heat Waves: A Rising Threat • Mexico in the Crosshairs of Another Tropical Storm • Sponge Cities: Asia's Solution to Urban Flooding Explore the business implications and navigate the week's weather challenges with insights from Monarch’s Weather Weekly. Full article below.

TROPICS UPDATE: We’re monitoring two areas for potential tropical development this weekend. Area #1: Off the southeast coast, possibly becoming a tropical depression before reaching the FL/GA coast tonight. Expect gusty winds/showers, but no widespread flooding is anticipated. Area #2: In the southern Gulf of Mexico, potentially developing into a tropical depression this weekend. Heavy rain could cause flooding in extreme southern Texas (Brownsville) due to recent rainfall from Alberto. #ConsultMonarch🌐

We continue to monitor the Gulf disturbance, currently classified as Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 (PTC 1), projected to develop into Tropical Storm Alberto shortly. *Flooding Risk: The moderate risk for flooding has shifted south, now excluding Houston and San Antonio, but still includes Victoria, Corpus Christi and Brownsville. An additional 5-10 inches of rain is expected today. Flooding is already occurring in vulnerable coastal areas such as Surfside Beach, Texas. *Tropical Storm Force Winds: The highest likelihood of tropical storm force winds is in extreme southern Texas. Brownsville is the largest city at risk, with a 60% chance of winds exceeding 39 mph. Stay ahead with MonarchView™ geo-locating and tracking for your locations and supply chain routes. We help you cut through the noise, delivering actionable insights and consulting to protect your people and assets while optimizing daily operations with confidence. #ConsultMonarch🌐